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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:36 am to Pelican fan99
I think either candidate really needs Pennsylvania.
It's a 40 point swing.
He needs Michigan or Penn or WI+MN.
It's a 40 point swing.
He needs Michigan or Penn or WI+MN.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:36 am to KosmoCramer
quote:
It all will come down to turnout. Trump voters are highly energized, Biden voters aren't.
Anti Trump voters are energized
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:36 am to Clemsontigers02
TRump will win PA by 2.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:39 am to La Place Mike
His best path is still the same as 2016. Get FL, OH, and NC. Hold the Republican strongholds AZ and GA. Go pick off Wisconsin for the win.
WI and NC should be ground zero for the campaign.
WI and NC should be ground zero for the campaign.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:39 am to Clemsontigers02
Pennsylvania is looking real good.
Trump’s doing better than polls showed in 2016.
Trump’s doing better than polls showed in 2016.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:40 am to StopRobot
quote:Historically, those voting against someone rather than for someone do not show up at the polls as reliably.
Anti Trump voters are energized
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:42 am to Jake88
quote:
Historically, those voting against someone rather than for someone do not show up at the polls as reliably.
Historically, I agree with you. This is not a typical election though.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:42 am to crazyatthecamp
quote:
He needs Michigan or Penn or WI+MN.
As of right now, MI WI and MN are gone. He wont win those. Still an outside shot at PA but not looking good. If Trump loses PA and the other three Midwest states its over. He cannot win. If he does win PA then he needs to still win OH, NC, AZ, FL to win. All states he is behind in. Biden has much more options to win right now.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:43 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
Historically, I agree with you. This is not a typical election though.
I know, this time it is different...right?
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:43 am to PorkSammich
quote:
Trump’s doing better than polls showed in 2016.
The only difference is that PPD and Trafalgar are conservative leaning pollsters (methodology is there to get the shy Trump vote and doesn't seem like they are biased media pushing a narrative that sleepy Joe is up 50 points). Still within striking distance, but I'd feel that either Trafalgar or PPD have to have him leading in a key rust belt state for me to feel positive going into election day.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:43 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
This is not a typical election though.
Lol, neither was 2016, amirite?
Your tears will be the best...
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:44 am to StopRobot
quote:
As of right now, MI WI and MN are gone. He wont win those.
You are a fricking idiot.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:44 am to StopRobot
quote:
As of right now, MI WI and MN are gone. He wont win those. Still an outside shot at PA but not looking good. If Trump loses PA and the other three Midwest states its over. He cannot win. If he does win PA then he needs to still win OH, NC, AZ, FL to win. All states he is behind in. Biden has much more options to win right now.
I think he's up in OH, NC, AZ, and FL. Nate Silver and RCP probably have him down, but the reliable polls seem to show him up in those states (but down in the core four rust belt states).
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:44 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:We hear that all the time. It becomes typical when you look back. The enthusiasm and voter registration is in favor of Trump in FL, NC, and PA. He's got OH and IA.
Historically, I agree with you. This is not a typical election though.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:45 am to StopRobot
quote:
As of right now, MI WI and MN are gone. He wont win those.
Lol. Y'all never learn.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:46 am to tigerskin
quote:
Rain would definitely keep some Biden voters home
Hell, a mildly amusing infomercial would keep Biden voters home.
No one is really enthusiastically voting for Biden.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:47 am to Clemsontigers02
I listened to PPD a little today and he mentioned that he thought PA would be Trump's best chance based on his old rust belt polling where some of the other states have gone back to lean D.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:50 am to Mickey Goldmill
How has it felt coming to terms that you no longer vote in favor of political ideology but instead purely on how a candidate makes you feel?
Does the song, “I feel like a woman” describe you well?
Does the song, “I feel like a woman” describe you well?
This post was edited on 10/13/20 at 9:51 am
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:51 am to Clemsontigers02
If it's a MOE race in PA I think Trump pulls it out in PA given: 1) lack of Amish in the polling, 2) Trump's superior ground game and 3) higher rejection rate for Dem heavy mail in ballots.
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