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the polling before the paxton/cornyn runoff
Posted on 9/17/26 at 2:49 pm
Posted on 9/17/26 at 2:49 pm
showed the race within the margin of error two weeks before the start of early voting
University of Houston (Hobby School of Public Affairs) (Surveyed April 28 – May 1, 2026; 1,200 likely voters; MoE ±2.83%):
Ken Paxton: 48%
John Cornyn: 45%
paxton won the race by 28 points!
rule number one, people will lie
rule number two, refer to rule number one.
University of Houston (Hobby School of Public Affairs) (Surveyed April 28 – May 1, 2026; 1,200 likely voters; MoE ±2.83%):
Ken Paxton: 48%
John Cornyn: 45%
paxton won the race by 28 points!
rule number one, people will lie
rule number two, refer to rule number one.
Posted on 9/17/26 at 2:50 pm to dickkellog
Primary ? General
This post was edited on 9/17/26 at 2:51 pm
Posted on 9/17/26 at 2:53 pm to TIGERHOLD
quote:
Primary ? General
before the runoff after the primary
Posted on 9/17/26 at 2:59 pm to dickkellog
quote:
the polling before the paxton/cornyn runoff showed the race within the margin of error two weeks before the start of early voting
That was before Trump endorsed Paxton on 5/19, I think. Then the election was 5/26.
That stated, I’m not arguing that polls are not flawed, or that I think Paxton will lose.
This post was edited on 9/17/26 at 3:05 pm
Posted on 9/17/26 at 3:01 pm to dickkellog
Republicans hate answering polls,, older voters still do but under 60 it drops
So a poll asking Republican voters would obviously be flawed
paxton will still lose
as Ive been saying long before any poll
Funny thing was yo we're all loving the polls when Trump was ahead two years ago I predicted Trump was gonna win in September two years ago and you nervous nellies were all afraid that the Democrats gonna turn out the National Guard to keep Trump from taking the oath of office even after he won
So funny y'all sit here and talk about politics as if you know something
but you're in a vacuum
This board is just so full of confirmation bias,
and none of you are willing to admit that there might be something to someone else's opinion
I blame y'all for allowing talrico to win because I warned yall..
something could've been done..
shite yall think yall solved a murder; a Senate election would've been easy
So a poll asking Republican voters would obviously be flawed
paxton will still lose
as Ive been saying long before any poll
Funny thing was yo we're all loving the polls when Trump was ahead two years ago I predicted Trump was gonna win in September two years ago and you nervous nellies were all afraid that the Democrats gonna turn out the National Guard to keep Trump from taking the oath of office even after he won
So funny y'all sit here and talk about politics as if you know something
but you're in a vacuum
This board is just so full of confirmation bias,
and none of you are willing to admit that there might be something to someone else's opinion
I blame y'all for allowing talrico to win because I warned yall..
something could've been done..
shite yall think yall solved a murder; a Senate election would've been easy
This post was edited on 9/17/26 at 3:13 pm
Posted on 9/17/26 at 3:04 pm to dickkellog
No way Texas votes in the fruity freak.
Posted on 9/17/26 at 3:20 pm to OWLFAN86
That’s kind of what you get with anonymous message boards. Many people talk like they know. Some do know. Some do not. Many of us are in between and know at least something. Almost none of us are experts. Like just about any measurement involving humans and human behavior, the curve is usually bell-shaped.
Confirmation bias is human nature. We are all prone to it (including you), but to varying degrees.
While you’re “talking” down to and blaming us for anything that might happen in the future, please explain what we could have done about it that you already warned us about.
Confirmation bias is human nature. We are all prone to it (including you), but to varying degrees.
While you’re “talking” down to and blaming us for anything that might happen in the future, please explain what we could have done about it that you already warned us about.
Posted on 9/17/26 at 3:29 pm to dickkellog
Paxton is a well known name in Texas and has won many statewide races.
The thought that he is somehow unpalatable to Texans is absurd.
The thought that he is somehow unpalatable to Texans is absurd.
Posted on 9/17/26 at 3:46 pm to dickkellog
Seems like the polls in a lot of states seem fishy . Are voters that disappointed with things now or have moved left ? Seems like people think Ossoff is going to win Georgia. But he had 1.8% less votes then Purdue in 2020 and then won the runoff by 1.2% . It’s going to be a wild election with a lot of surprised people.
Posted on 9/17/26 at 3:51 pm to junkyarddawg3
quote:
While you’re “talking” down to and blaming us for anything that might happen in the future, please explain what we could have done about it that you already warned us about.
A fair point and a respectful question, so I will do for you as I do for anyone: return energy with equal energy
As far as what could have been done, not really a lot I mean, maybe there are 100 or so Texas voters on this page actively reading the threads. Even if it was 10 times that it wouldn't have changed the outcome of the election.
The hyperbole was to try to get some attention about it because there is so much misinformation on this board and a ton way too much confirmation bias on this board
As a Christian first Coservative second, I fear what this country can turn into if Texas becomes Democrat It's not becoming Democrat but it's going to become a lot more Democrat for the next few years because Texas Republicans, just like this board, are so full of their own pride and assurance that they never consider that other people might disagree with them, and at a certain point those other people become the majority
I am more than happy to have a rational, reasonable discourse with anyone on this board who chooses to do so
but there's very little of that
And for emphasis, I've stated on here before: I worked and still do work in politics for Republicans in Texas have done so for nearly 40 years successfully
I think that does give me a little bit of familiarity with these issues
I nailed it September two years ago that Trump was going to win when the Democrats walked out of the Texas legislature I explained that it was pure theater and nothing would happen to the Democrats
both turned out to be true and accurate
sadly, I fear I was right about the Senate race,, I've said for a while Republicans are gonna lose at least two statewide elections this year.
In Harris County thats Houston we're gonna lose 2 to 4 incumbents to Democrats
and its not that the dems are better,,Republicans have been lazy and assuming the win for 20 years
its caught up to them
dan patrick is the biggest villian in all this,, he's a fraud and a real piece of shite with a tiny, malformed penis
According to the medical records
true stort,, Spring Shadows was the loony bin he checked into, to avoid bankruptcy court
80's after he lost his sportcaster gig
This post was edited on 9/17/26 at 3:57 pm
Posted on 9/17/26 at 3:56 pm to dickkellog
quote:
rule number one, people will lie
rule number two, refer to rule number one.
rule number three, republicans don't poll
rule number four, Texas Republicans really dont poll
Posted on 9/17/26 at 3:57 pm to supatigah
quote:
rule number three, republicans don't poll
rule number four, Texas Republicans really dont poll
bingo
Posted on 9/17/26 at 3:58 pm to OWLFAN86
Thank you for your response.
Posted on 9/17/26 at 3:59 pm to CastleBravo
quote:
Paxton is a well known name in Texas and has won many statewide races.
The thought that he is somehow unpalatable to Texans is absurd.
Senate and AG are didderent races
Posted on 9/17/26 at 4:02 pm to junkyarddawg3
quote:
Thank you for your response.
Of course, and thank you for the question
Im here all week
Don't forget to tip your admins

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