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The complete disappearing of Trump's successes in the Middle East

Posted on 5/13/21 at 1:21 am
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
33438 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 1:21 am
The so-called "Abraham Accords" basically involved Trump bringing the Sunni world into friendlier orbit with Israel (e.g. normalizing ties between UAE and Israel). At the time, I remarked on how non-existent (or nominal but utterly begrudging) the coverage was on these stunning successes.

Fast forward to today - Israel and Palestine are basically in a hot war. And, stunningly, the usual suspects at the WaPo are BLAMING IT on Trump.

So much for the Accords - Trump Made Things Worse in the Middle East

quote:

On Sept. 15, 2020, President Donald Trump trumpeted his proudest — and virtually sole — foreign policy achievement: the signing of the Abraham Accords opening formal ties between Israel and the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain. “After decades of division and conflict, we mark the dawn of a new Middle East,” he said in a White House ceremony. “Together, these agreements will serve as the foundation for a comprehensive peace across the entire region.” Fast forward eight months, and that boast appears even more risible now than it did at the time. The clashes in recent days between Israelis and Palestinians make clear that there is no “peace” and no “new Middle East.” It remains the same blood-soaked mess as ever. The Abraham Accords were nice, but they did nothing to resolve underlying conflicts in Yemen, Syria, Libya — or the West Bank and the Gaza Strip.


Max Boot is a fricking idiot.

Here's some real facts:

When Trump cast the hard sanctions on Iran, they had $120B+ in reserves. By Jan of 2021, they had only $4B! They had basically stopped paying Hezbollah and other proxies in Iraq.

If Trump had won, Iran would have probably faced mega-inflation and massive civil unrest - just as Israel and the Sunni coalition were increasingly signing agreements and ganging up on Iran.

But now Biden and Co made it first-order business to rush back to the table with Iran, which has essentially given them a lifeline and a new lease on life. This, in turn, has emboldened their "partners" and proxies like Palestine.

Totally, unbelievably fricking stupid. And the narrative is STILL OMB.
Posted by Giant Leaf
On Leaf
Member since Nov 2015
4229 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 1:36 am to
It is what it is

I think we can all sit here and agree that there is nothing that is going to solve anything there but a complete flattening of about 2 million square miles and essentially all the trash being well, trashed.

I would give the bigger cities in Saudi Arabia and the UAE a total pass because I have been to Dubai and Abu Dhabi. And they want to slurp our cum down their throats.

But I mean there are hundreds of millions of square miles of human waste out in there.

Just nuke the shite out of it and lets come back to reevaluate in the future. Who cares...
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
36311 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 7:02 am to
quote:

They had basically stopped paying Hezbollah and other proxies in Iraq.



This is absolutely not true.

quote:

If Trump had won, Iran would have probably faced mega-inflation and massive civil unrest - just as Israel and the Sunni coalition were increasingly signing agreements and ganging up on Iran.



The US and Iran had been playing a dangerous game since the summer of 2019, each trying to gain a sliver of an advantage in case of either war or negotiation. And this is a fanciful reading of internal Iranian politics, as the resumption of the sanctions regime represented a victory for particular Iranian factions.

quote:

But now Biden and Co made it first-order business to rush back to the table with Iran, which has essentially given them a lifeline and a new lease on life. This, in turn, has emboldened their "partners" and proxies like Palestine.



Again, this is a very peculiar reading of the situation. Iran has invested heavily in developing proxies, essentially using Rumsfeld's notion of taking the war anywhere but the homeland, and fighting in active theaters while preparing for the possibility of an actual invasion. That investment was still active from 2016-2020, and will be active unless somehow the threat of war from the US is lessened. As long as the Iranians believe the US wants war, they will use their proxies to ensure their survival. This notion predates Obama, Biden, Trump, and Bush II, as it was formed in the early days of the Lebanese Civil War, from proselytizing and organizing done under the initial direction of the Shah. It has continued unabated, because the Iranian security state from the era of the Shah was wholly subsumed by the revolutionary state, as Iranian regional aims are informed by events older than just American interaction.

The narratives developed in the Western press are not well-informed, unfortunately. The Iranians have developed a distinct economic structure through the IRGC that allows them to circumvent sanctions, and they've been aided in that circumvention by Russia, among other European allies as well. The notion that these particular sanctions are finally going to be the ones that results in regime-change is orthodoxy among certain think-tanks, but what have the results proved?
Posted by GhostOfFreedom
Member since Jan 2021
11711 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 7:43 am to
A destabilized middle-east. Just what the leftist oligarchy desires.

Posted by thetempleowl
dallas, tx
Member since Jul 2008
14833 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 8:29 am to
quote:

Iran has invested heavily in developing proxies, essentially using Rumsfeld's notion of taking the war anywhere but the homeland, and fighting in active theaters while preparing for the possibility of an actual invasion. That investment was still active from 2016-2020, and will be active unless somehow the threat of war from the US is lessened. As long as the Iranians believe the US wants war, they will use their proxies to ensure their survival. This notion predates Obama, Biden, Trump, and Bush II, as it was formed in the early days of the Lebanese Civil War, from proselytizing and organizing done under the initial direction of the Shah. It has continued unabated, because the Iranian security state from the era of the Shah was wholly subsumed by the revolutionary state, as Iranian regional aims are informed by events older than just American interaction.


I agree with you that Iran wants to continue funding proxy wars.

And the obvious fact is, they did. Where did the money come from to do this? Could it have anything to do with the money Obama gave them?

And let's be straightforward why palliative is firing rockets again.

They have bidenfrick in the white house. He is sympathetic to the Palestinian situation of suffering through vicious air raid after air raid by Israel for no reason other than firing hundreds of rockets at innocent cities in Israel. Yes these idiots started it.

They started it because bidenfrick returned hundreds of million in funding to this terrorist organization.

Biden should immediately stop the funding. He freaking just restored it April and they started a war within a month.

Also the leader was supposed to have elections that he was going to lose. This had given him the cover to postpone the elections. His 4 year term was supposed to be up over a decade ago. But wow, here we go again.

No one could've seen this happening...
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
36311 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 8:37 am to
quote:

And the obvious fact is, they did. Where did the money come from to do this?


It comes from a lot of places. Some of it is economic activity, some is through involvement in the drug trade, some is theft, and some is laundered through a series of Islamic charities. The system they've used to pay their proxies is just part and parcel of their entire system they've used to evade sanctions. It will continue regardless of the JCPOA or not, because the Iranian security state fundamentally believes that the US wants regime change and will invade the country if they have to, and thus, paying those proxies is a matter of national security.

quote:

Also the leader was supposed to have elections that he was going to lose. This had given him the cover to postpone the elections. His 4 year term was supposed to be up over a decade ago. But wow, here we go again.



The election is scheduled for June of this year. Rouhani is cannot run because their limits are two terms, or 8 years in office. Unless you are referring to someone else. The Supreme Leader of Iran, Khamenei, isn't in an office that has any limit on terms, and thus has been there since 1989.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73823 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 8:40 am to
Congrats on voting for this JB supporters


Posted by DesScorp
Alabama
Member since Sep 2017
6518 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 8:43 am to
quote:

"Trump made things worse in the Middle East"


The press are lying scumbags that only exist to gaslight you 24/7.
Posted by touchdownjeebus
Member since Sep 2010
24835 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 8:44 am to
As someone who spent a lot of time in the Middle East, and enjoyed a career that allowed me to do some cool shite, I was never under the belief that there would be peace there. Trump moved that needle significantly and to see all of that progress unwound is disheartening.
Posted by Toomer Deplorable
Team Bitter Clinger
Member since May 2020
17738 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 8:52 am to
It is the very definition of insanity for the United States to be picking winners and losers in these ancient sectarian rivalries and eons-old ethnic conflicts. Let’s leave the cursed sandpit once and forever.
This post was edited on 5/13/21 at 8:53 am
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89551 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 9:00 am to
quote:

eons-old ethnic conflicts.


This is somewhat misunderstood. That Arab-Jewish conflict isn't that old. They all were under the Ottoman yoke for centuries and were, sort of, united by their common hatred for the Turk. The Great War changed all of that. One of those quirks of history, that time also coincided with the rise of oil as an important energy source. So a region that barely got a mention before (for 5 or 6 centuries) among the great powers became increasingly and immensely important over the next several decades.

And here we are.
Posted by Toomer Deplorable
Team Bitter Clinger
Member since May 2020
17738 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 9:04 am to
quote:

Iranian regional aims are informed by events older than just American interaction.


Yet Iran’s current Revolutionary State is sadly in many ways a reaction and lasting legacy of past American interventionism in the region. The Shah himself was installed by a CIA sponsored putsch.

Recommended reading: America's Great Game: The CIA's Secret Arabists and the Shaping of the Modern Middle East by Hugh Wilford.

This book of deep history focuses primarily on three CIA agents and their regime change efforts in three countries after WWII: Syria, Egypt and Iran. The key figure that emerges is Kermit “Kim” Roosevelt — grandson of Theodore. Roosevelt was recruited into the CIA to work in the Office of Policy Coordination, the espionage and counter-intelligence branch of the Central Intelligence Agency.

A rather complicated chess game of competing powers in the newly formed CIA emerges — the Zionists vs. the anti-Zionists. And what a game it was. Wilford illustrates how these agent provocateurs were very short sighted in their schemes and largely viewed the indigenous populations of the Middle Eastern nations as simple pawns in a larger chess game between the Great Powers.

Kim Roosevelt, along with assistance from his cousin Archibald Roosevelt, masterminded the 1953 Iranian coup d'état which toppled nationalist prime minister Mohammed Mosaddeqh after Mosaddeqh nationalized the petroleum industry in Iran. Miles Copeland — a Birmingham Alabama native and the father of the famed rock musician Stewart — was also a CIA spook who was instrumental in shaping the Middle Eastern landscape after the end of WWII. Copeland helped orchestrate the first CIA military coup in the Arab world: the 1949 bloodless putsch by Colonel Husni al-Za’im in Syria. Archibald in turn orchestrated a second 1956 regime change operation in Syria after a violent counter-coup displaced the al-Za’im regime.

These CIA wunderkinds with blue-blood pedigrees viewed the nation states in the post-colonial era as blank slates to be shaped at will by their knowledge and intellect. Yet rather than fundamentally transform power relations in the Middle East to pro-American sentiment as promised, this spy clique of the Eastern Establishment inculcated a residual and generational resentment toward American meddling in the region that is still evident today. Whether it was braggadocio, naïveté or misplaced idealism, the failures of these nation building efforts shaped the modern Middle East that we know today.

The series of regime change operations in Syria and the ensuing instability ultimately pushed that nation closer to Moscow. The CIA’s initial backing of Egyptian General Mohamed Naguib — and his young protege General Gamal Abdel Nasser — likewise backfired when Nasser ousted his elder benefactor, turned his back on the West and nationalized the Suez Canal. As a tweak to the West, Nasser also opened diplomatic channels to the Soviet Union and supported the creation of a socialist pan-Arabic State. And of course, we all know the results of the festering resentment that finally resulted in the Iranian revolution.

Sadly, the game continues anew. The same doublespeak and false promises spew forth from the mouths of these Masters of the Universe types in our corrupt national security apparatus. Perhaps one can rule out the chaos and violent fury released upon the region after the Iraq War as an unforeseen contingency. Yet we have now seen a succession of four Middle Eastern nations — Iraq, Libya, Syria, Yemen — engulfed in violence and human catastrophe after US, NATO and Western military intervention. And now these Masters of the Universe want a war with Iran?

Not coincidentally, each of these repeated military interventions have been followed by a staggering refugee wave headed for Europe. Yet in the name of pluralism, Western nations are sternly lectured by many of these same ruling elites that it must open their borders to a deluge of immigrants whose values are wholly alien to pluralistic societies and must instead welcome these immigrants though they have demonstrated violent antagonism toward free societies?

At this point, naïveté can’t be blamed for these repeated failures. At this late stage, it is sheer madness to claim the situation in the Middle East is all an unforeseen accident. The pattern is established and is crystal clear for anyone who doesn’t regurgitate the p.c. platitudes of multiculturalism. The minute details and the exact coordination of the plan becomes irrelevant when the larger pattern is so clear. Chaos is indeed the goal.

Again, we can’t change the past. But must we be doomed to repeat it?



Posted by GeorgeTheGreek
Sparta, Greece
Member since Mar 2008
66446 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 9:06 am to
quote:

Max Boot is a fricking idiot.


Insufferable.
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
36311 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 9:08 am to
quote:

So a region that barely got a mention before (for 5 or 6 centuries) among the great powers became increasingly and immensely important over the next several decades.


Almost solely due to the relative peace of Ottoman rule. But the west Asian corridor was an extremely contentious place since the Greek-Persian rivalry. The extension of that into the Roman-Sasanian conflict played a large part in the rise of Islam, as many places in the region welcomed Arab invaders due to, at that point, nearly a millenia of rivalry between various Eastern Med and Persian empires. The warfare continued until the Turks, though the rivalry continued with Persia, but also developed the dominant Islamic culture before the rise of the Wahhabis, the Turco-Persian culture, which extended from Anatolia to Mesopotamia to Central Asia to North India.
Posted by ole man
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2007
11716 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 9:14 am to
Did you expect anything less?
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89551 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 9:15 am to
quote:

But the west Asian corridor was an extremely contentious place since the Greek-Persian rivalry.


No question - lots of ebb and flow and transition over the years, particularly between the relative stability of the Roman and Ottoman periods (and, obviously, the past century).

But, to pretend the Arabs and Jews have been at each other's throats back to the Pyramids or even to the birth of Islam isn't just an oversimplification - it's wrong.
This post was edited on 5/13/21 at 9:16 am
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
36311 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 9:17 am to
Good post. I may have that book somewhere actually, though I haven't read it.

quote:

Again, we can’t change the past. But must we be doomed to repeat it?


Yes. Despite American involvement in Iran, the Iranian security state is informed by earlier interactions with Russia and Britain. Hence why even the Shah sent out clerics to proselytize and organize, including Musa al-Sadr, well before the Iranian revolution. The Iranian security state from the Shah's era was directly subsumed, from SAVAK to SAVAMA, and thus Iranian regional aims have remained consistent, and will remain so unless that entire security apparatus is uprooted.
Posted by CDawson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2017
16417 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 9:17 am to
quote:

f Trump had won, Iran would have probably faced mega-inflation and massive civil unrest - just as Israel and the Sunni coalition were increasingly signing agreements and ganging up on Iran.

But now Biden and Co made it first-order business to rush back to the table with Iran, which has essentially given them a lifeline and a new lease on life. This, in turn, has emboldened their "partners" and proxies like Palestine.


This was all part of the reason it was so important to steal the election and get Trump out. The Globalist get their power through unrest, fear and war. Trump shut all of that down. It's easy to see how effective and easy it is to control "terrorism" and "extremism" if you really want to end it. Trump proved peace through strength is real.
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
60049 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 9:17 am to
quote:

Totally, unbelievably fricking stupid. And the narrative is STILL OMB.


Over half of MSM articles about Biden still circle back to talk about/bash Trump.
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
46150 posts
Posted on 5/13/21 at 9:27 am to
quote:

Again, this is a very peculiar reading of the situation. Iran has invested heavily in developing proxies, essentially using Rumsfeld's notion of taking the war anywhere but the homeland, and fighting in active theaters while preparing for the possibility of an actual invasion. That investment was still active from 2016-2020, and will be active unless somehow the threat of war from the US is lessened. As long as the Iranians believe the US wants war, they will use their proxies to ensure their survival. This notion predates Obama, Biden, Trump, and Bush II, as it was formed in the early days of the Lebanese Civil War, from proselytizing and organizing done under the initial direction of the Shah. It has continued unabated, because the Iranian security state from the era of the Shah was wholly subsumed by the revolutionary state, as Iranian regional aims are informed by events older than just American interaction.


There may be some truth here^^^^ but Iran's desire to carry out a proxy war using terrorism is extremely curtailed if idiots like John Kerry, Obammy, Rice, etc. hadn't delivered tens of billions of dollars to the Islamic regime. Never forget Kerry was working outside of the State Department all through Trump's presidency assuring the mullahs once Trump is ousted it will be back to BAU.
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