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re: The CDC has quietly updated their COVID-19 numbers in the last 24 hours or so

Posted on 5/2/20 at 11:39 am to
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73524 posts
Posted on 5/2/20 at 11:39 am to
quote:

just killed 32k in less than a month,


See this is where you are not making sense

This shite has been here since Dec.
Posted by bleedpg
Hot Springs Village, Arkansas
Member since Dec 2006
1117 posts
Posted on 5/2/20 at 12:16 pm to
Antonio Moss

I tend to think COVID-19 is worse also.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110812 posts
Posted on 5/2/20 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

Shut up, Karen. No one cares about your opinion.
You should feel embarrassed about this post.

That Dude called you on what was wrong in your OP, and you didn't even try to defend it which makes me think you knew all along you were posting bad info in hopes that no one would notice.

Posted by YipSkiddlyDooo
Member since Apr 2013
3633 posts
Posted on 5/2/20 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

So up to a bad seasonal flu year that no one would even notice, let alone shut the world down over??
Why is that??


Completely irrelevant to my point. Which is the OP posted misleading data to make his factually incorrect argument.
Posted by canyon
Member since Dec 2003
18345 posts
Posted on 5/2/20 at 1:31 pm to
I just read on a solid WaPo site that the number is actually double or triple the 60k reported.
So
Which is it?
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 5/2/20 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

How many people would it be if we just continued as normal? Better or worse than the flu?

quote:

How many people would it be if we just continued as normal? Better or worse than the flu?



Make up whatever number you want. That is what everyone else will do
Posted by Tigahs24Seven
Communist USA
Member since Nov 2007
12113 posts
Posted on 5/2/20 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

just killed 32k in less than a month,



See this is where you are not making sense

This shite has been here since Dec.


EXACTLY! I can vouch for that in my hospitals Nationwide...

What we have here are a bunch of minimum wage sky screamers who don't want to go back to making 400.00 a week when they can make 900.00 a week staying home sitting on their asses.
Time to quit sleeping late and waking up to terror post about how super scary this fricking seasonal flu like virus is.
Posted by La Place Mike
West Florida Republic
Member since Jan 2004
28798 posts
Posted on 5/2/20 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

And we have vaccines


Are you talking about the "flu shot"? You realize you have to get the shot for it to have a chance to work and a large majority of Americans do not get the Flu Shot.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
83457 posts
Posted on 5/2/20 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

less than a month with literally no kids in school
Do kids even die from this thing? What’s your point here?
Posted by HubbaBubba
F_uck Joe Biden, TX
Member since Oct 2010
45726 posts
Posted on 5/2/20 at 2:17 pm to
So, essentially, Covid-19 increased "EXPECTED" deaths by 3.1%.

Statistically, a 0.011% chance of dying from it in the U.S.
Posted by Tigahs24Seven
Communist USA
Member since Nov 2007
12113 posts
Posted on 5/2/20 at 2:45 pm to
quote:

Do kids even die from this thing? What’s your point here


Not only do kids NOT DIE...but the experts are starting to wonder if they even spread it.
Posted by longwayfromLA
NYC
Member since Nov 2007
3331 posts
Posted on 5/2/20 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

So, essentially, Covid-19 increased "EXPECTED" deaths by 3.1%.

Statistically, a 0.011% chance of dying from it in the U.S.


Can you lay out the algebra on either of these? Not necessarily saying you're wrong, just curious how you arrived there?
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28705 posts
Posted on 5/2/20 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

So, essentially, Covid-19 increased "EXPECTED" deaths by 3.1%.
Where are you getting this number? On a weekly basis, the US as a whole has been experiencing about 20% more deaths than expected for the past month. Some areas, like NYC, have experienced about 120% more deaths than expected. In other words, more than twice as many people died in April in NYC than would have been expected without covid.

quote:

Statistically, a 0.011% chance of dying from it in the U.S.
The number you are looking for is closer to 0.02%, but you have misinterpreted the meaning of it. That is the percent chance that a random person has already died of covid. Your chance of dying from it in the future would be roughly equal to the real IFR if we assume we will all contract it eventually. That number is likely to be around 0.5%.
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