re: Temper your expectations

quote:

---

alajones

---

Pussy

The media and pollsters weren't all that in the tank for Clinton and she still lost. The media and the pollsters, as a whole, are in the Biden tank. I think you're the one who is going to be surprised.

There seems to be this notion that if you are skeptical of an outcome, that means you somehow don't WANT that outcome.

Akin to people accusing an LSU fan of rooting for Alabama if he doesn't think LSU will beat Alabama.

I was talking to someone else - for starters.

quote:

---

Why exactly do you believe polls in so many states can be off by 5+ points.

---

1. Most polling organizations continue to rely on long surveys conducted in person, phone or face to face. Shorter surveys via text or email are more likely to get accurate responses relatively free of dissimulation or fear of disapproval.
2. Some surveys and samples are modeled to achieve a desired result. Sorry, that's just how it is.
3. Surveys usually rely heavily on "likely" voters and simply cannot account for voters who have sat out an election or two.
4. How many hang-ups before one person answers a 20 question survey? 5? 10? 100? We are accustomed to privacy and a secret ballot. How are those voters or potential voters who are essentially saying frick off accounted for?

quote:

---

That is simply not the average case across the country. People are exhausted with Trump and ready to move on.

---

This fact is based on...MSM reporting? Polls? Traveling across the width and breadth of the Republic and hearing from her citizens?

quote:

---

I would argue that this was mostly self-damage by Trump. Yes, the left has viciously ...

---

Way too much credit to the President and barely paying lip service to the often treasonous acts of the Left.

quote:

---

I think you should start making peace with the fact that we got 3 SCOTUS picks.

---

Which of course is moot because if your dire prediction comes true the court will be packed, the electoral college will be abolished, our individual liberties will vanish, and we will become a nation without borders at the mercy of a Globalist World Order.

So taxes and taking it up the arse are the least of your worries. If you're right Winter is not coming, it's upon us.

So on a more positive note:
The President re-elected overwhelmingly by an electoral margin greater than in 2016.

The Republicans hold the Senate adding as many as three seats.

The House will possibly flip with surprise Republican success in some rural districts in otherwise reliably Blue states reducing the number of closely contested districts required to win back the House.

quote:

---

For sure, but not just one to one against you. If, say, 25 baws will agree, I will do a ban bet through the inauguration.

---

And that tells me just how confident you are in your prediction.