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Message

re: Swatch Group raises prices on watches, frontloaded exports to get ahead of tariffs

Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:06 pm to
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
294390 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:06 pm to
quote:


In other words, when we either fix our economy or break it completely, the tariffs will no longer be necessary or useful. Right now, they may at least forestall our day of reckoning.


No, two quarters from now you'll understand. These tariffs drag the economy, and will cause Donny to beg the fed to save his arse again.
Posted by FLTech
Member since Sep 2017
24763 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:09 pm to
They still making these shitty things?

Posted by wdhalgren
Member since May 2013
4529 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

Only if they are high enough. So far none are even close to brining cost parity.


That's why I said "reverse that process" instead of eliminate. I also said tariffs are not a cure for our economic ills, just slow the progression of disease. Economics works at the margin. Raising costs of foreign goods will reduce our trade deficits, either by reducing consumption of foreign goods, increasing consumption of domestic goods, or probably some of both.
Posted by Arkaea79
Member since Sep 2022
956 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:10 pm to
Oh no!... anyway..
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
294390 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

Raising costs of foreign goods will reduce our trade deficits, either by reducing consumption of foreign goods, increasing consumption of domestic goods, or probably some of both.



At what cost?

Y;all are overvaluing the efffects of trade deficits for wealthy nations.
Posted by wdhalgren
Member since May 2013
4529 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

No, two quarters from now you'll understand. These tariffs drag the economy, and will cause Donny to beg the fed to save his arse again.


I'm unswayed by any argument using future economic damage as a primary premise for avoiding action. Future economic damage is coming either way. Our economy is already riddled with cancer, so doing nothing is not a way to make it better. In fact, any fix that works will first cause an economic slowdown. I prefer to try something that gets at the underlying disease process.
This post was edited on 8/13/25 at 12:14 pm
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
294390 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:13 pm to
quote:



I'm unswayed by any argument using future economic damage as a primary premise


See 2019 for your affirmation.

After all the mumbo jumbo, Trump still had to beg the fed to save him in a re-election year.

He's destroying your future for short term gains to make him look better. Anyone with basic economic understanding will tell you this.

Posted by wdhalgren
Member since May 2013
4529 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

He's destroying your future for short term gains to make him look better. Anyone with basic economic understanding will tell you this.


I spent decades studying economics and finance. I'll stick to my own understanding.
Posted by Neutral Underground
Member since Mar 2024
2692 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:17 pm to
If you have enough money to buy an Omega. Just go to where the watch is made. Problem solved.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
294390 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:17 pm to
quote:



I spent decades studying economics and finance. I'll stick to my own understanding.


No, you;'ll stick to your bias.

Because if you spend decades studying tariffs you would know long term tariffs drag the economy, not lift it.
This post was edited on 8/13/25 at 12:18 pm
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62492 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

In other words, when we either fix our economy or break it completely, the tariffs will no longer be necessary or useful. Right now, they may at least forestall our day of reckoning.
Nope. They make it worse. It forces our economy to be less productive by forcing us to use capital to overpay for goods that we could buy at a discount.

Are you familiar with the “broken window fallacy”? If inefficiency built wealth we should go around breaking all the windows, so we could have an entire industry of window repair services. That way we’d have full employment, high wages and we’d all be rich.
Posted by BurlesonCountyAg
Member since Jan 2014
4525 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

No, two quarters from now you'll understand. These tariffs drag the economy, and will cause Donny to beg the fed to save his arse again.


So…. Two weeks to feel the burden?
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
294390 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

Nope. They make it worse. It forces our economy to be less productive by forcing us to use capital to overpay for goods that we could buy at a discount.


You would think a guy who has spent his life studying econ and finance would understand this objective truty.

Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
294390 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:22 pm to
quote:



So…. Two weeks to feel the burden?


I would say Trumps feeling it now, because he's begging the Fed to help him out.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62492 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

Raising costs of foreign goods will reduce our trade deficits, either by reducing consumption of foreign goods, increasing consumption of domestic goods, or probably some of both.
The focus on “trade deficit” is silly. We don’t have to pay thst back, ya know? It’s not a “debt”. In fact it indicates that the goods we’re buying… we are buying at a massive discount because of our strong currency. Effecting a “minimum wage” for imports is as silly as it is for employment.
Posted by BurlesonCountyAg
Member since Jan 2014
4525 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:23 pm to
Roger has a point: the reason so many global economies are in recession is because they have been tariffing the US. Roger should implore them to immediately drop their tariffs.
Posted by wdhalgren
Member since May 2013
4529 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

Because if you spend decades studying tariffs you would know long term tariffs drag the economy, not lift it.


Just like cancer drugs drag the body. My bias is based on my understanding which predates Donald Trump by decades. I don't like tariffs, but we've reached a state of emergency. Until we can address the underlying economic problems, they are better than doing nothing.
This post was edited on 8/13/25 at 12:24 pm
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62492 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

I'm unswayed by any argument using future economic damage as a primary premise for avoiding action.
”Dont distract me with 100’s of years of real world experience. This time it’s different!”
This post was edited on 8/13/25 at 12:25 pm
Posted by kbro
North Carolina, via NOLA
Member since Jan 2007
5298 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

Aren’t we talking about Swatch? Don’t they make those $80 plastic things?


They do make the cheap plastic Swatch watch.

But Swatch group also owns Blancpain, Breguet, Omega, Glasshutte, Tissot, Rado + others.

Thankful I bought my Omega several years ago.
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
21769 posts
Posted on 8/13/25 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

Roger has a point: the reason so many global economies are in recession is because they have been tariffing the US. Roger should implore them to immediately drop their tariffs.


Lots of countries do dumb shite. Their citizens love protectionism and taxes. Why should we copy that?
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