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Message
Posted on 8/2/21 at 8:29 pm to NawlinsTiger9
You Bolshevik shite weasels wouldn't know the truth if it walked up and kicked you in your election stealing asses.
Posted on 8/2/21 at 8:32 pm to VoxDawg
Idiots will believe any thing this board and republican voters confirm it I believe the last republican president who actually won his election was the ( wake up to sign the papers Reagon ) .
Posted on 8/3/21 at 1:07 pm to VoxDawg
So wait. How is this different than Nate silvers model that estimates votes but is never exact? Other than he's calling the difference fraud instead of modelling inaccuracy?
Posted on 8/3/21 at 1:09 pm to VoxDawg
We all know what happened, but I have zero confidence anything will be done about it. I’m not sure how low America needs to sink before there is a revolution.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 1:10 pm to oklahogjr
quote:
Seth Keshel examined the final vote counts in all 50 states compared to the estimated numbers based on changing state dynamics and trends to come up with his estimated voter fraud in each state.
He's got a model that calculates the variance from assumptions to reality is all he's got there.
his theory is 81 million!
that cant be!
no. no.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 1:13 pm to cajuntiger1010
quote:
Texas needs to audit.... They tried to flip TX hard
Every state needs an audit. IMO they've been setting the narrative about TX flipping for the past 2 elections. Rig the vote so it starts to appear closer, then when TX "turns blue" it won't be so obvious.
I'm not convinced this hasn't been happening in CA for some time now. Everyone now considers CA solid blue and doesn't bat an eye.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 1:14 pm to dallastiger55
quote:
I can’t keep track
Sorry that you're stupid in that case. I know it is all bullshite but I can keep up nonetheless.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 1:18 pm to GUAPLORD
quote:
Asking for a friend.
Tell your friend F-U & to go F himself.
You two are gonna be busy.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 1:20 pm to timm6971463
quote:
Idiots will believe any thing this board and republican voters confirm it I believe the last republican president who actually won his election was the ( wake up to sign the papers Reagon ) .
Of course you believe that, you're signing in from a federal prison. Should we call you Commish or Govna? Hack
Posted on 8/3/21 at 1:22 pm to VoxDawg
Will this information be part of the "conference" being oraganized by Mike Lindell.
Isn't that supposed to start soon now that I think of it?
Isn't that supposed to start soon now that I think of it?
Posted on 8/3/21 at 1:23 pm to VoxDawg
I said this in another thread...
...
The flaw in this analysis is that counties/parishes that have always been cheating show up as green like Orleans Parish. Parishes with a lot of suburban women likely went against historical trends in 2020, like St. Tammany (albeit still voting for Trump).
I do not believe St. Tammany cheated but they are showing up red. I do believe Orleans Parish cheated. They are showing up green and showing up green because there is cheating happening every election in Orleans Parish.
Nonetheless, St. Tammany and Louisiana still went bigly for Trump.
...
The flaw in this analysis is that counties/parishes that have always been cheating show up as green like Orleans Parish. Parishes with a lot of suburban women likely went against historical trends in 2020, like St. Tammany (albeit still voting for Trump).
I do not believe St. Tammany cheated but they are showing up red. I do believe Orleans Parish cheated. They are showing up green and showing up green because there is cheating happening every election in Orleans Parish.
Nonetheless, St. Tammany and Louisiana still went bigly for Trump.
This post was edited on 8/3/21 at 1:32 pm
Posted on 8/3/21 at 1:33 pm to oklahogjr
quote:
How is this different than Nate silvers model that estimates votes but is never exact?
Wait. Before we go further, are you saying agree that Silver's numbers are garbage?

Posted on 8/3/21 at 1:35 pm to GumboPot
quote:
I do not believe St. Tammany cheated but they are showing up red. I do believe Orleans Parish cheated. They are showing up green and showing up green because there is cheating happening every election in Orleans Parish.
Then it should ALL be audited. Every single instance of voter fraud that is allowed to go undiscovered disenfranchises a lawful, American voter.
That is unacceptable.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 1:42 pm to VoxDawg
quote:
Wait. Before we go further, are you saying agree that Silver's numbers are garbage?
I'm not saying they're garbage and don't mean anything. I'm just saying that any model is going to be off from reality as you can't predict the future perfectly.
You can approach a good estimation of the likely scenario(s) and how likely each one is through good data science practice.
You can even take a great model, overfit it to past periods and watch it be radically off at predicting things but line up great for historicals...
Posted on 8/3/21 at 1:46 pm to GumboPot
quote:
The flaw in this analysis is that counties/parishes that have always been cheating show up as green like Orleans Parish. Parishes with a lot of suburban women likely went against historical trends in 2020, like St. Tammany (albeit still voting for Trump).
I do not believe St. Tammany cheated but they are showing up red. I do believe Orleans Parish cheated. They are showing up green and showing up green because there is cheating happening every election in Orleans Parish.
Nonetheless, St. Tammany and Louisiana still went bigly for Trump.
From one of our TexAgs brethren:
quote:
I think the idea is they pilfer votes from republican-heavy areas, not enough to flip the county/parish but enough to affect the statewide totals
The same way they pad the heavy blue districts to scream #MuhPopularVote
Posted on 8/3/21 at 1:47 pm to oklahogjr
quote:
You can approach a good estimation of the likely scenario(s) and how likely each one is through good data science practice.
You can even take a great model, overfit it to past periods and watch it be radically off at predicting things but line up great for historicals...
Like this?

Posted on 8/3/21 at 1:49 pm to VoxDawg
So that's a great example of cherry picking facts with no context. If i showed up to present to an executive with that detail I wouldn't be employed long.
The data analysis should come together to tell a coherent story with underlying explainable facts.
The data analysis should come together to tell a coherent story with underlying explainable facts.
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