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Predict main political events from now through 2020.

Posted on 2/28/18 at 8:59 am
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13104 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 8:59 am
- GOP loses House but maintains Senate in 2018 midterms
- House impeaches Trump on purely political grounds in 2019, leads to backlash which, along with continued economic growth, enables Trump re-election in 2020 (I predict another electoral college victory but popular vote loss against a far left candidate like Kamala Harris)
- GOP retakes House in 2020 election
- Kennedy retires in late 2018, Thomas retires in 2019, both replaced by Gorsuch like justices.
- RBG passes away in office during 2020 igniting a huge firestorm.
Posted by Bunyan
He/Him
Member since Oct 2016
20828 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 9:03 am to
TRUMP wins
Posted by GermantownTiger
Member since Jan 2015
3337 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 9:11 am to
MAGA
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
21238 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 9:26 am to
quote:

GOP loses House


I am so tired of this scare tactic, not going to happen.






What the media want you to believe


Actual incoming wave
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
146688 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 9:43 am to
I hereby officially nominate that as best poli board post of the year.

VERY well done and very succinctly expressed in gifs.
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13104 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 9:48 am to
I sure hope you guys are right, but if history is any guide holding the House is going to be a tall order in the midterms. The districts most at risk are in blue states with lots of suburban moms...
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
64322 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 9:57 am to


Run Schiff run!!!
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
34711 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 9:58 am to
quote:

House impeaches Trump on purely political grounds in 2019
lol no this won’t happen. Would be one of the dumbest moves ever
Posted by Gaspergou202
Metairie, LA
Member since Jun 2016
13495 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 10:08 am to
quote:

- GOP loses House but maintains Senate in 2018 midterms - House impeaches Trump on purely political grounds in 2019, leads to backlash which, along with continued economic growth, enables Trump re-election in 2020 (I predict another electoral college victory but popular vote loss against a far left candidate like Kamala Harris) - GOP retakes House in 2020 election

Off year elections usually harm the party of the president.
But.
Economy is improving. Tax cuts are just starting to put coin in the voter’s pockets, DNC resistance gets them credit for opposing these, Trump’s approval rating is good, MSM status is taking a hit from all the Trump hate and collusion collapse, and congressional generic ballot polls are favoring GOP (very rare).

I’m no Nostradumbass, but I see GOP gains in both houses of Congress.
quote:

- Kennedy retires in late 2018, Thomas retires in 2019, both replaced by Gorsuch like justices. - RBG passes away in office during 2020 igniting a huge firestorm.

Ruth Bader Ginsburg 85 lib, Anthony Kennedy 82 swing, Stephen Breyer 80 lib, Clarence Thomas 70 conservative. All can live for many years, and all can die today. Odds are good for a multi decade conservative SCOTUS like liberal 50s-80s one. But to misquote Rev. Wright, don’t count your chickens until they come home to roost.
Posted by NDonahue
Member since Apr 2016
1053 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 10:10 am to
I think Kennedy already hired law clerks for the 2018-19 term right? So it doesnt look like he's retiring for at least another year.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42277 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 10:14 am to
2018 - Republicans maintain control over both Houses of Congress (with some seats lost in the House).
2019 - One Justice retires from the Court (most likely Kennedy).
2020 - A Republican retakes Alabama's Senate seat currently occupied by Doug Jones.
2020 - Trump's base and middle-class America, tired of the Russia stuff, get him re-elected.
Posted by RammerJammer91
Member since Jan 2016
5168 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 10:45 am to
I think Trump would lose to Harris. The only Democratic candidate that I think he would beat - out of those that could realistically run - is the nutjob Senator from my state, Elizabeth Warren. I think long-term the best thing for conservatives like myself would be for Trump to not run or be impeached and then run Kasich because he'd crush any Democrat that would run. Kasich isn't perfect, and I wish he'd be a lot more vocal in his defense of traditional marriage, but with the likely blue wave we'll see in the house and senate, he would be able to help right the ship. Otherwise, my fear is that Trump loses and then we get 8 years of Harris followed by at least 4 more years of an even more socialist/far-left candidate.
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
21238 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 10:52 am to
quote:

I think Trump would lose to Harris. The only Democratic candidate that I think he would beat - out of those that could realistically run - is the nutjob Senator from my state, Elizabeth Warren. I think long-term the best thing for conservatives like myself would be for Trump to not run or be impeached and then run Kasich because he'd crush any Democrat that would run. Kasich isn't perfect, and I wish he'd be a lot more vocal in his defense of traditional marriage, but with the likely blue wave we'll see in the house and senate, he would be able to help right the ship. Otherwise, my fear is that Trump loses and then we get 8 years of Harris followed by at least 4 more years of an even more socialist/far-left candidate.


You are a lying democrat.
Posted by RammerJammer91
Member since Jan 2016
5168 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 10:53 am to
quote:

You are a lying democrat.


No, I'm a conservative. I just don't like Trump (and I voted for him) because he's not conservative.
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
21238 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 10:59 am to
quote:

No, I'm a conservative. I just don't like Trump (and I voted for him) because he's not conservative.



Posted by TigerIT
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Aug 2013
438 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 11:38 am to
quote:


No, I'm a conservative. I just don't like Trump (and I voted for him) because he's not conservative.


But you want Kasich?!? Go kill yourself.
Posted by ngadawg250
Northwest Georgia
Member since Nov 2012
1000 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 11:44 am to
GOP maintains majority in House in 2018 midterms
No impeachment of Trump
Mueller indicts Podesta brothers
DOJ indicts HRC
Bill Clinton becomes a born again Christian due to Billy Graham's preaching
Posted by RammerJammer91
Member since Jan 2016
5168 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 11:45 am to
I want him over Trump because he would have a better chance of winning a general, and my fear is that if Trumps runs he'll lose and we'll be looking at a decade plus of uber liberals and progressives calling the shots. His approval numbers are declining in most of the 12 swing states, too.

Also, Kasich is one of the most pro-life Governors and has experience balancing budgets and getting a surplus. What legislation has Trump passed that is pro-life and how has he cut down the deficit and balanced the budget? Kasich's track record is more conservative than Trump's.
Posted by JLivermore
Wendover
Member since Dec 2015
1419 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 12:22 pm to
If you want to win, Kasich is the worst possible pick.

If you don't run Trump, you only win if Trump + 2020 nominee bases are united, and the nominee is supported by Trump.

Does that sound like John Kasich?
Posted by Wtodd
Tampa, FL
Member since Oct 2013
67482 posts
Posted on 2/28/18 at 12:30 pm to
America wins
Trump says/tweets something
Media/left go batshit

Yeah same as today
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