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Message
re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread
Posted on 4/15/26 at 10:46 am to WeeWee
Posted on 4/15/26 at 10:46 am to WeeWee
Part of this message has already been posted but listen to what Trump says about Greenland and NATO...
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1
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:03 am to Ailsa
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:04 am to Ailsa
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:05 am to wdhalgren
quote:
Either they never believed Russia would invade Europe, or they have practically no psychological capacity to rebuild their militaries and defend themselves.
For the first part they knew the US would be there to deter Russia. But the 2nd part is true also. With some exceptions, they’ve become complacent. They don’t care for that anymore
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:13 am to Ailsa
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:17 am to wdhalgren
quote:
Three years ago, the Europeans (and some in this country) were trying to convince everyone that Russia would continue into Europe after they were done with Ukraine. But oddly enough, Europe didn't start an immediate massive domestic military buildup to repel the Russian threat. If I thought my country was going to be invaded, I'd be building up the military at an emergency rate, but they didn't. Instead, they played proxy war and wouldn't even commit troops to that. They made plans, had meetings, issued strong statements about their intent, but three years later their militaries are still woefully inadequate to provide for their own defense without the US. Offensively, they have even less capacity.
Good comment. let's talk about it.
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:21 am to idlewatcher
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:25 am to Ailsa
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IRGC-linked paramilitary enforcers are terrorizing and extorting small businesses across Iran
A group known as “Sons of Haider” is forcing shopkeepers to hand over food and basic supplies for free, claiming it is “support for the mujahideen” and regime-backed activities.
Refuse, and they threaten to shut down your business, confiscate your assets, and label you a traitor to the revolution.
These tactics mirror the same coercion and forced “contributions” used by ISIS, where civilians and small businesses are pressured into handing over goods under ideological pretexts.
One dairy farmer in Iran was forced to hand over 100 liters of milk he had just collected, wiping out his entire day’s income and leaving his family without support.
Extortion and embezzlement are hallmarks of the regime, but its lack of political leadership and growing internal rifts are making these forces even more chaotic and predatory, digging deeper into the lives of ordinary people.
This is systematic, organized extortion targeting Iranians trying to survive under mounting economic pressure.
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:28 am to BayouBengal51
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New players enter the chat? #FreeIran?
--- Operation EPIC FURY ---
After the disappointment of what seemed to have been an aborted B-52 move across the Atlantic yesterday, we appear to have activity again! Will we see another B-52 heading to RAF Fairford?
B-52H "?" 60-0042 #AE5888 (nickname TBC)
KC-135R "PICO13" 58-0051 #AE0382 (from KBGR)
@MATA_osint
@AUX_OSINT
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:36 am to BayouBengal51
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:37 am to BayouBengal51
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The Red Sea Power Shift: Somaliland vs. Iran
As Iran and Houthi forces threaten a maritime blockade of the Bab al-Mandab Strait, the U.S. is pivoting to Somaliland. A high-level U.S. AFRICOM delegation just met with Somaliland’s military leadership to discuss a strategic partnership. By offering its territory for U.S. and Israeli operations, Somaliland aims to become the primary counterweight to Iranian influence in the Red Sea, potentially trading military access for international recognition.
This post was edited on 4/15/26 at 11:38 am
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:54 am to hawgfaninc
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The Islamic Republic is entering an economic death spiral it cannot withstand.
The warning signs are clear and accelerating:
?? The Central Bank warns recovery could take up to 12 years, with inflation potentially reaching 180% and unemployment rising by another two million
?? Oil, which funds a large share of the budget, is under severe strain due to disruptions, reduced output, and storage limits that risk forcing shutdowns
?? The United States has imposed a naval blockade through the Strait of Hormuz, targeting Iran’s ability to export roughly 1.7–2 million barrels of oil per day, choking off its main source of hard currency
?? Prolonged internet blackouts are draining tens of millions of dollars daily, crippling businesses, banking, and trade across the country
?? Shortages are now hitting basic necessities, with bread lines forming as flour supplies tighten, a critical warning sign in a heavily subsidized food system
?? War damage has hit key sectors, including steel, pharmaceutical, and petrochemical industries, along with broader infrastructure and transport networks
?? The regime continues to pour hundreds of millions to billions into foreign proxies and militias, draining resources that are urgently needed at home
?? These pressures are converging into a single cascade of inflation, shortages, unemployment, and collapsing revenue
This is not a temporary disruption but a systemic breakdown unfolding in real time.
President Trump understands that the regime cannot sustain this level of economic pressure. The strategy is to intensify that pressure, accelerating internal strain to a point where the system can no longer function or maintain control.
History shows regimes collapse when they can no longer pay, feed, or govern.
The Islamic Republic is being pushed toward that exact breaking point.
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:55 am to hawgfaninc
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:56 am to hawgfaninc
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:56 am to hawgfaninc
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:57 am to hawgfaninc
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During the first 48 hours of the U.S. blockade on ships entering and exiting Iranian ports, no vessels have made it past U.S. forces. Additionally, 9 vessels have complied with direction from U.S. forces to turn around and return toward an Iranian port or coastal area.
Posted on 4/15/26 at 11:58 am to hawgfaninc
Posted on 4/15/26 at 12:04 pm to hawgfaninc
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China just sacrificed Iran for a stable relationship with the US.
This is unbelievable.
China is complying adequately with the US blockade in the Strait of Hormuz.
And they're now praising Donald Trump for permanently opening the Strait of Hormuz for business.
And China has also agreed to stop sending weapons to Iran.
China really understands the capacity of Donald Trump and is aware Trump is the last person to fight now.
For them, a stable relationship with Trump is bigger than any alliance with Iran.
Venezuela happened.
Nigeria happened.
And now Iran.
Posted on 4/15/26 at 12:06 pm to hawgfaninc
Posted on 4/15/26 at 12:07 pm to hawgfaninc
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Food for thought.
The Six Weeks That Killed Climate-First Politics
The past six weeks have done what a decade of speeches could not: they have ended the fantasy that climate targets can sit atop the commanding heights of industrial policy.
Two shocks did the work. Iran turned the Strait of Hormuz from a taken-for-granted shipping lane into a visible weapon, proving that a single revisionist state can intermittently hold a material share of global oil and gas flows at risk with drones, missiles and maritime harassment.
The old assumption, that U.S. naval power would quietly underwrite open sea-lanes, has been exposed as nostalgia. Pax Americana, in energy terms, is over.
At the same time, AI has revealed itself as what it truly is: a horizontal general-purpose technology, akin to electricity, that will permeate every sector. Data centres and chip fabs are not metaphors; they are industrial plants with energy appetites measured in gigawatts and cooling needs measured in rivers. An economy that wants AI-driven productivity cannot be run on fragile, intermittent power systems designed to flatter climate metrics rather than maximise resilience.
Donald Trump’s return to the White House is the political forcing function that strips away the pretence. Whatever one thinks of him, his administration is explicitly re-ranking priorities: energy dominance, reshoring, and hard security first; climate as a constraint, not a veto. He is saying in public what many officials in other capitals still only admit in private.
Put all this together and the conclusion is unavoidable. The world can no longer afford an industrial strategy where “climate alignment” routinely vetoes resource projects, pipelines, mines, grids and nuclear plants while assuming someone else will keep the molecules and electrons flowing. The era in which climate change drove industrial policy ended about six weeks ago. Energy and resource security are back at the top of the pyramid; the only question is how long it will take other leaders to say so out loud.
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