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Nothing going for the Dems

Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:44 pm
Posted by joshua2571
Member since Nov 2015
8293 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:44 pm
The Dems has thrown everything and the kitchen sink at the Trump campaign.
However, Trump has 67% chance of winning the election according to Polymarket and it keeps climbing.
Posted by genuineLSUtiger
Nashville
Member since Sep 2005
77203 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:45 pm to
It’s all about the fraud.
Posted by BhamTigah
Lurker since Jan 2003
Member since Jan 2007
17413 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:45 pm to
They only need to win at cheating. Nothing else matters.
Posted by pitchandcatch27
Huntsville,AL
Member since Jul 2018
4225 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:46 pm to
How reliable is the Polymarket prediction, does it factor in the Dems cheating again!
Posted by MemphisGuy
Germantown, TN
Member since Nov 2023
14077 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:47 pm to
Just out of curiosity, how accurate of a predictor is Polymarket?
Posted by pitchandcatch27
Huntsville,AL
Member since Jul 2018
4225 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:49 pm to
According to the Sports Odds History archive, you have to go back to 1976, when President Jimmy Carter won over Gerald Ford, for the last time betting odds called the election the wrong way—and even then, Carter's odds were only slightly better than Ford's at +100.
Posted by lake chuck fan
Vinton
Member since Aug 2011
22032 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

They only need to win at cheating. Nothing else matters.


You can say you said so, IF Trump loses.

The awareness about election fraud is much higher than last election. Also, there are more eyes and ears focused on it. Think about the stories we see everyday about voting machines, about ballot boxes burning, about fake poll workers telling folks to go home, etc.

Dems will try, but I don't think they will be able to fabricate enough to win.
Posted by TigerIron
Member since Feb 2021
3933 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

They only need to win at cheating. Nothing else matters.


But people betting would/ should be accounting for the possibility of cheating. Maybe they're underestimating it, but it's very unlikely they're not aware of the possibility.
Posted by ClientNumber9
Member since Feb 2009
10007 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

According to the Sports Odds History archive, you have to go back to 1976, when President Jimmy Carter won over Gerald Ford, for the last time betting odds called the election the wrong way—and even then, Carter's odds were only slightly better than Ford's at +100.


Uh, 2016 Trump had crazy long odds. He was definitely the underdog in the betting markets
Posted by BhamTigah
Lurker since Jan 2003
Member since Jan 2007
17413 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:53 pm to
I hope you're right. Finding new and inventive ways to work the system is the one thing dems have always been better at.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
76653 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:54 pm to
All this jubilation makes me more nervous than anything.
Posted by TigerIron
Member since Feb 2021
3933 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

According to the Sports Odds History archive, you have to go back to 1976, when President Jimmy Carter won over Gerald Ford, for the last time betting odds called the election the wrong way—and even then, Carter's odds were only slightly better than Ford's at +100.


Odds as of when?

Also, Hillary was the betting favorite all the way to the day of the election till the time the polls closed, I'm pretty sure.
Posted by prouddawg
Member since Sep 2024
8234 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:57 pm to
They have CHEATING and a crooked MSM, judiciary, intelligence community and law enforcement going for them. That’s quite a bit.
This post was edited on 10/29/24 at 2:02 pm
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