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Started By
Message
re: New WSJ/NBC Poll: Biden Landslide Coming, Up 14 Points
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:09 am to DragginFly
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:09 am to DragginFly
quote:
Clinton Holds 11-Point National Lead Over Trump: NBC/WSJ Poll NBC headline Oct 16 2016
Looks like they’re going with the same formula.
0
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:10 am to partyboy1930
quote:
but Trump turned off a lot of undecided Karens in swing states who vote on pure emotions with his terrible debate performance.
This was concluded after you did you’re internal polling?
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:51 am to LuckyTiger
I honestly believe Biden will win, but it is not at a +14 point difference.
Was Clinton even that wide of a spread?
ETA: Just saw that Clinton was at +11. There is no way Biden is higher than that.
Also, the gambling circuits are much, much closer than Trump/Clinton was.
Biden is at about 1/2 of what they initially favored Clinton at.
Was Clinton even that wide of a spread?
ETA: Just saw that Clinton was at +11. There is no way Biden is higher than that.
Also, the gambling circuits are much, much closer than Trump/Clinton was.
Biden is at about 1/2 of what they initially favored Clinton at.
This post was edited on 10/4/20 at 9:52 am
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:52 am to Scruffy
Scruffy needs to have a little faith.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:55 am to Rebel
Scruffy is a pessimist at heart.
Assume the worst and get surprised if it is the opposite.
Assume the worst and get surprised if it is the opposite.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:55 am to Scruffy
I think so too.
It will be very close but some of these states that Trump won...AZ, NC, MI, WI, PA...will flip back to the Democrats I think. And I don’t think he flips other states such as MN.
It will be very close but some of these states that Trump won...AZ, NC, MI, WI, PA...will flip back to the Democrats I think. And I don’t think he flips other states such as MN.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:58 am to The Boat
quote:
It’ll be D+4 like 2016 at worst.
Do you have a source for dem turnout being +4 in 2016? I have been looking for a stat like this since last week.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:01 am to LuckyTiger
quote:
It will be very close but some of these states that Trump won...AZ, NC, MI, WI, PA...will flip back to the Democrats I think. And I don’t think he flips other states such as MN.
The funny thing is that I truly believe he wins Florida by a larger margin than 2016. He still carries AZ and NC.
Ohio and Iowa he dominates again and they solidify as solid red states.
He wins PA. He isn't going to win WI, Mi, Pa all again just one of them.
He isn't flipping NV or MN
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:03 am to Magician2
You think he’s winning AZ and PA?
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:06 am to Magician2
quote:I agree with all of your post with one exception, maybe two.
He wins PA. He isn't going to win WI, Mi, Pa all again just one of them.
Of PA, WI, MI I think he wins PA and WI.
I also think he has a great chance to win MN
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:06 am to Magician2
quote:
MN
Lotta people downplay it, but MN is the one state of consequence where he will actually make it on the ballot. In this particular race, who knows, that could make a difference.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:07 am to LuckyTiger
Yes.
His Latino support in Florida and Arizona is very real and it's going to exceed 2016. That will negate any white suburban women vote he loses in AZ specifically. It will be close though.
PA he has a much better chance of winning of the 3 blue Midwest because of the voter registration the GOP has done and PA has the most rural/working class vote he can win over to offset suburban voting.
WI, Mi, Pa will all be super super close again but I feel that PA is his best bet.
His Latino support in Florida and Arizona is very real and it's going to exceed 2016. That will negate any white suburban women vote he loses in AZ specifically. It will be close though.
PA he has a much better chance of winning of the 3 blue Midwest because of the voter registration the GOP has done and PA has the most rural/working class vote he can win over to offset suburban voting.
WI, Mi, Pa will all be super super close again but I feel that PA is his best bet.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:07 am to DragginFly
quote:
Clinton Holds 11-Point National Lead Over Trump: NBC/WSJ Poll
NBC headline Oct 16 2016
Lol. That’s awesome. Lefties are going to be so let down again.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:07 am to Scruffy
quote:
I honestly believe Biden will win, but it is not at a +14 point difference.
I bet you were sayin the same in 2016 with Hillary.
STOP LETTING THE MEDIA AND THEIR POLLS PERSUADE YOU! TRUMP WILL WIN!
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:09 am to Magician2
Well I hope you’re right.
I think his chances in WI are better than PA but I would love to see the republican ground game pull it off.
I think his chances in WI are better than PA but I would love to see the republican ground game pull it off.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:10 am to Scruffy
quote:
Scruffy is a pessimist at heart.
Assume the worst and get surprised if it is the opposite
Scruffy and udtiger would get along swimmingly.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:11 am to LuckyTiger
If you think trump is going to win- you are blind and crazy
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:11 am to boomtown143
quote:I was.
I bet you were sayin the same in 2016 with Hillary.
I was pleasantly surprised though.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:13 am to Skeezer
quote:I don’t think he will win, but y’all were equally as confident in 2016.
If you think trump is going to win- you are blind and crazy
I could probably find articles saying that exact same thing back in 2016.
I’m just a pessimist.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:13 am to Skeezer
quote:did you bring this out of your historical dustbin from 2016?
If you think trump is going to win- you are blind and crazy
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