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New: Electoral College Forecast based on average of all polling @Ribbed :)

Posted on 11/15/23 at 10:27 am
Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
9639 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 10:27 am
NEW:
@StackStrat
Electoral College Forecast (n=15,205 RVs, 10/12-11/03)

Trump 48% (292 EC Votes)
Biden 49% (246)
~~
Trump 45% (298)
Biden 46% (246)
RFK Jr. 8%
West 1%
~~
Biden 50% (359)
DeSantis 45% (178)
~~
Trump 48% (311)
Harris 48% (227)
~~
Trump 49% (319)
Newsom 48% (219)
——
Biden vs Trump
GA: R+3.3 (FLIP)
NC: R+2.6
PA: R+2.3 (FLIP)
AZ: R+1.4 (FLIP)
WI: R+0.9 (FLIP)
MI: D+0.7
NV: D+1.4
——
IA: R+12.9
OH: R+11
FL: R+7.2
TX: R+6.9
NE-2: R+1.9
---
VA: D+9
CO: D+7.8
ME: D+4.2
MN: D+3.2
NH: D+2.6
LINK
This post was edited on 11/15/23 at 10:28 am
Posted by TexSolo
Member since Oct 2023
273 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 10:28 am to
There is no way.... NO WAY Trump and PedoJoe are that close. If they really are, this country is definitely done for.
Posted by Gifman
by the mountains
Member since Jan 2021
9286 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 10:32 am to
quote:

NO WAY Trump and PedoJoe are that close.


Maybe they're taking cheating into account
Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
13956 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 10:47 am to
This is why we're seeing the lawfare to keep him off of the ballot. The margins may be too large for their cheating to overcome this time.
This post was edited on 11/15/23 at 10:48 am
Posted by Ribbed
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2023
2745 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 10:49 am to
We'll see, won't we?
Posted by bird35
Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
12167 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 10:58 am to
This is the kind of poll the media will jump on to get Biden out of the race.

Hello President Oprah.

Posted by BengalOnTheBay
Member since Aug 2022
3855 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 11:05 am to
quote:

If they really are, this country is definitely done for.


43%(ish) of this country will vote for any D, even the self-proclaimed antichrist.

A Republican candidate has to win over his own party's voters, along with 75% of the leftover 15%.

So... yes, the country is almost over with.
Posted by Wtodd
Tampa, FL
Member since Oct 2013
67482 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 11:08 am to
quote:

There is no way.... NO WAY Trump and PedoJoe are that close. If they really are, this country is definitely done for.

Every time I think this, I then remember that we (as a country) debate on what constitutes a woman.
Posted by bluedragon
Birmingham
Member since May 2020
6463 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 11:09 am to
Biden will trip and land of his head before the next election.

Jill will forget and will unplug Biden's life support, so she can charge her cell phone ......
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
32879 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 11:15 am to
I don’t believe Wisconsin flips, sadly.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57200 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 11:33 am to
quote:

Biden vs Trump
GA: R+3.3 (FLIP)
NC: R+2.6
PA: R+2.3 (FLIP)
AZ: R+1.4 (FLIP)
It's like 2022 never happened.
Posted by SidewalkDawg
Chair
Member since Nov 2012
9820 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

There is no way.... NO WAY Trump and PedoJoe are that close.


Some of you need to get out of your bubble. Large population centers in this country hate Trump. Their opinion is that a terrible economy is better than fascism. I've seen these people, they exist in large quantity.
Posted by iHEARTcorndogs
Island of Misfit Corndogs
Member since Oct 2023
1034 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 12:04 pm to
Not when you factor in the litany of problems Biden has created. The country is in bad shape and it’s impossible to ignore because it’s crushing everyone’s pocketbooks
Posted by PorkSammich
North FL
Member since Sep 2013
14237 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

Some of you need to get out of your bubble. Large population centers in this country hate Trump. Their opinion is that a terrible economy is better than fascism. I've seen these people, they exist in large quantity.


This. Trump is probably loathed nationally more than any candidate ever.

They seem to think that bc Trump is “leading” the Republican primary he’s a shoe in to win the General.
Posted by Figgy
CenCal
Member since May 2020
7172 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 12:15 pm to
If Georgia & Arizona gets their acts together they could swing back to red.

Pennsylvania is a long shot.

Wisconsin is always dangling there for the taking but that's a tough state to win for our side.

Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
24770 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

There is no way.... NO WAY Trump and PedoJoe are that close. If they really are, this country is definitely done for.

It isn't that close in reality, but the Election Fraud Machine is well oiled and ready to fire up again, so...
quote:

this country is definitely done for.
Posted by BHTiger
Charleston
Member since Dec 2017
4998 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

There is no way.... NO WAY Trump and PedoJoe are that close. If they really are, this country is definitely done for.


1. Look at our national debt
2. Look at who represents "us" in Washington and in our states
3. Look at the average person you know and think a majority of America is really more pathetic than they are.

We passed done and there was no exit
Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
9639 posts
Posted on 11/15/23 at 3:32 pm to
Good points
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