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re: National debt tops $22 trillion for the first time as experts warn of ripple effects

Posted on 2/13/19 at 2:20 pm to
Posted by cahoots
Member since Jan 2009
9134 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

Budgets and spending does get changed during the FY, though. That ARRA was passed in Feb.



Look, I get that Obama should get some responsibility for the 2009 deficit based on ARRA, but let's think hypothetically here. Let's say the Rs controlled Congress. Do you really think we pass a minuscule stimulus package? Probably more tax cuts and somewhat less spending, but I just can't see a situation where we don't have a huge deficit in 2009.

I just think it's disingenuous not to factor in the economic and political realities of the time. Comparing 2009 to 2018 or something. It's just apples to oranges even if you disagree with how things were done by Democrats

As i said earlier, spending increased by over 5% (6%?) just between 2005 and 2006. Republican majorities and president. Well before the economy tanked.
This post was edited on 2/13/19 at 2:24 pm
Posted by wickowick
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
45818 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

Look, I get that Obama should get some responsibility for the 2009 deficit based on ARRA, but let's think hypothetically here. Let's say the Rs controlled Congress. Do you really think we pass a minuscule stimulus package? Probably more tax cuts and somewhat less spending, but I just can't see a situation where we don't have a huge deficit in 2009.


Do you understand that the following year (2010) the dems did not pass a budget, they took the previous years budget and added the automatic 5-6% increase and then deemed it passed. EVERY YEAR from 2009 till now, that money is being included every year and that money is compounding at 5-6 annually.

This is the reason why we don't see a budget peak in 2009 and then a drop in 2010. It just continues to grow. They kept it in the budget till it couldn't be removed.
Posted by 90proofprofessional
Member since Mar 2004
24445 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

the following year (2010) the dems did not pass a budget, they took the previous years budget and added the automatic 5-6% increase and then deemed it passed. EVERY YEAR from 2009 till now, that money is being included every year and that money is compounding at 5-6 annually

link this bullshite
Posted by 90proofprofessional
Member since Mar 2004
24445 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

As i said earlier, spending increased by over 5% (6%?) just between 2005 and 2006. Republican majorities and president. Well before the economy tanked.

for 2018 q1 was up 4%, q2 was up 6%, and q3 was up 6%. likely we'll see 5%+ for the year there

tcja on top of it
Posted by cahoots
Member since Jan 2009
9134 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

Do you understand that the following year (2010) the dems did not pass a budget, they took the previous years budget and added the automatic 5-6% increase and then deemed it passed. EVERY YEAR from 2009 till now, that money is being included every year and that money is compounding at 5-6 annually.

This is the reason why we don't see a budget peak in 2009 and then a drop in 2010. It just continues to grow. They kept it in the budget till it couldn't be removed.


Can you show us some numbers? Spending actually decreased somewhat after 2009 (not seasonally adjusted). I don't see how there is a 5-6% increase every year
This post was edited on 2/13/19 at 2:36 pm
Posted by cahoots
Member since Jan 2009
9134 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

for 2018 q1 was up 4%, q2 was up 6%, and q3 was up 6%. likely we'll see 5%+ for the year there

tcja on top of it


2018 deficit is going to be far higher than 2017. Not even close.
Posted by 90proofprofessional
Member since Mar 2004
24445 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 2:43 pm to
december's cash numbers just came out (delayed from shutdown)

a quarter of the way thru this fiscal year, we're already at 40% of last year's deficit. spending is up ~10% year-to-date over the same 3 months last year

LINK
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 2:49 pm to
quote:

If I were selling you a car, I'd tell you it's $200/month.

I can only assume the dude finally realized his error cause he went ghost!
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

I think the least painful cut is to first restrict SS in specific ways. For example, you shouldn't be able to collect more than you put in unless you are unable to provide for yourself otherwise. That seems pretty basic.

This converts it to basically a welfare program. Either way, CLEARLY, you can't make that change without grandfathering it. Either way, why not just gut SS entirely and replace it with a pure welfare program(again, you'd have to grandfather it).
Posted by wickowick
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
45818 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 2:55 pm to
I have linked the documents in the past, but it has been years. I am driving, so it will be later when I get home to be able to locate the documentation.
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6--Brazos River Backwater
Member since Sep 2015
26306 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 3:44 pm to
Tax cuts are poisonous. Out operating national debt is careering out of control, and although not begun by the republicans, it has been made geometrically worse by Trump's tax cuts.

The election results of 2018 must be carefully conned to reveal the sheer unpopularity of Trump's tax policy. Democrats not only gained a net 41 seats in the House, but recaptured State houses and governor mansions throughout the land.
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 3:45 pm to
You are full of shite

Stop lusting after other people’s money
This post was edited on 2/13/19 at 3:46 pm
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57358 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 3:59 pm to
quote:

For example, you shouldn't be able to collect more than you put in unless you are unable to provide for yourself otherwise. That seems pretty basic.
Thst takes out spouses and survivors insurance right off the top. Why do you hate women and children?
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57358 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

Look, I get that Obama should get some responsibility for the 2009 deficit based on ARRA
By itself it was 22% of the budget, and over half of the deficit.

quote:

let's think hypothetically here. Let's say the Rs controlled Congress. Do you really think we pass a minuscule stimulus package?
So yes... let’s blame republicans for what they hypothetical might have done instead of Obama for what he actually did. Makes perfect sense.

quote:

Probably more tax cuts and somewhat less spending,
You do realize the ARRA included huge payroll tax cuts right?

quote:

I just can't see a situation where we don't have a huge deficit in 2009.
Of course not. You’ve made up a hypothetical in your head. That’s kinda like evidence, eh?

quote:

I just think it's disingenuous not to factor in the economic and political realities of the time. Comparing 2009 to 2018 or something.
Oddly no one does this for Reagan, who arguably had a worse economic situation that had been lagging far longer. Nor do you do it for Bush43 who had a recession in 2001-2003. You’re exposed as f*ck.

quote:

As i said earlier, spending increased by over 5% (6%?) just between 2005 and 2006. Republican majorities and president. Well before the economy tanked.
So increase of 5% with declining deficits, and a growing economy. And you’re accusing others of not viewing thing in economic contests? k.
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
35456 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 4:16 pm to
quote:

While that is true, most of that debt piled up is because of the stimulus money that was never removed from the budget. That money is still in the budget, still being added every year and compounding at 5-6% interest annually.
That is not true at all. The total stimulus package was about $750b spread out over several years, most in the first 3. A lot of it was in tax cuts and credits that contributed to the deficit but not to spending.
Posted by cahoots
Member since Jan 2009
9134 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

So yes... let’s blame republicans for what they hypothetical might have done instead of Obama for what he actually did. Makes perfect sense.





Dude shortyrob just went on a rant about how republicans hypothetically spend less than democrats do. You guys say all the time that they do (even when they don't). Hence this line.

quote:

You do realize the ARRA included huge payroll tax cuts right?



Yes, hence the use of the word more to indicate more of something that already was in the bill

quote:

Of course not. You’ve made up a hypothetical in your head. That’s kinda like evidence, eh?




Once again, I didn't bring up fricking hypotheticals. I am giving you my opinion because you guys have given me yours. I asked shortyrob to produce evidence of republicans controlling spending and you know what he gave me? Hypotheticals.

quote:

Oddly no one does this for Reagan, who arguably had a worse economic situation that had been lagging far longer. Nor do you do it for Bush43 who had a recession in 2001-2003. You’re exposed as f*ck.





You're comparing 2008 to Reagan and GHWB's admins. Wow.

quote:

So increase of 5% with declining deficits, and a growing economy. And you’re accusing others of not viewing thing in economic contests? k.



The deficit did not decline between 2005 and 2006. You are mistaken.
This post was edited on 2/13/19 at 4:21 pm
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57358 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 4:21 pm to
quote:

Can you show us some numbers? Spending actually decreased somewhat after 2009 (not seasonally adjusted). I don't see how there is a 5-6% increase every year
Not all of the stimulus bill was spending. Some was tax cuts. Regardless you cannot point to *any* year (or series of years) where spending decline by an equivalent $787B.

I went back to 1980. Federal spending decreases only three years.

2009 +$535B
2010 -$60B
2011 +$145B
2012 -$66B
2013 -$82B
2014 +$51B
2015 +$182B
2016 +$164B

Did we have some recession in 2015 no one heard about?
Posted by cahoots
Member since Jan 2009
9134 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

I went back to 1980. Federal spending decreases only three years.



Right and that poster said spending was automatically increasing 5-6%. Clearly it did not. What am I missing?
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57358 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

Stop lusting after other people’s money
Leftists would do well to stop worrying about millionaires bank accounts and start worrying about the government’s trillions in debt.
This post was edited on 2/13/19 at 4:24 pm
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57358 posts
Posted on 2/13/19 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

Dude shortyrob just went on a rant about how republicans hypothetically spend less than democrats do
1/ whataboutism at its finest. 2/ you’re substituting a hypothetical for reality.

quote:

Once again, I didn't bring up fricking hypotheticals.
No one typed your words for you as AFAIK. ShortyRob didn’t make you do that.

quote:

You're comparing 2008 to Reagan and GHWB's admins. Wow.
Yeah. I am. You should have a look at employment patterns, fiscal policy, and the effects of outside borrowers. The US was GREATLY aided in 2008-2010 by the rest of the world flight to safety of the US Treasury. Your illiteracy is hampering you.

quote:

The deficit did not decline between 2005 and 2006. You are mistaken.
It most certainly did.

Deficits
2004 -$412B
2005 -$318B
2006 -$248B
2007 -$160B


This post was edited on 2/13/19 at 4:39 pm
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