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re: More bad news for Democrats

Posted on 1/15/25 at 10:33 am to
Posted by SoFla Tideroller
South Florida
Member since Apr 2010
41056 posts
Posted on 1/15/25 at 10:33 am to
Don't worry, the US Census Bureau will have another "tabulating error" that they won't discover until after the congressional reapportionment is complete just like in '20. Whoopsie!
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
20624 posts
Posted on 1/15/25 at 10:37 am to
That is a projected 13 electoral votes moving from Dem strongholds to states that voted GOP. That's like picking up another state without doing anything.

If these numbers hold, Trump would have won 325-213. A GOP candidate could win without Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania AND Arizona in the post 2030 map.

Posted by OU Guy
Member since Feb 2022
30093 posts
Posted on 1/15/25 at 10:38 am to
quote:

The problem is they’ll make it more difficult in red states after they fled their dem states and will continue their dumb beliefs with them. Texas is an example with way too many Dems and dumb reps that should never be in power.


OK has grown a lot with newcomers and I was worried pre election how the voting rolls changed so looked them up. What I found shocked me. The Dems lost lots of registered voters and Pubs gained a ton. I expected to stay ruby red but the Pubs overwhelmingly gained where Dems lost.

So the data isn’t showing these commies changing our electorate. At least not yet.
Posted by WhiskeyThrottle
Weatherford Tx
Member since Nov 2017
7254 posts
Posted on 1/15/25 at 10:43 am to
The map of California is geographically overwhelmingly red. That means millions of voters are conservative in California and are just simply outnumbered by the concentrated population centers that are blue. I have had a dozen neighbors in my current neighborhood and previous neighborhood that left California and are red as can be.

The liberals I know here are from already red parts of Texas. I do live out in a slightly more rural than urban area, so I'm curious if the location they relocate to is more indicative of voting behavior than the sheer number.

One of my current neighbors was a high enough earner that he was subject to the exit tax California is trying to impose on high earning residents leaving the state. So far he hasn't had to pay anything to them despite their efforts.
Posted by JimEverett
Member since May 2020
2424 posts
Posted on 1/15/25 at 11:28 am to
Exit tax? Lord have mercy.
Posted by PaperTiger
Ruston, LA
Member since Feb 2015
26666 posts
Posted on 1/15/25 at 11:31 am to
That's awesome.

Wish they would do an actual census and I wonder what the numbers would be.
Posted by SirWinston
Say NO to War
Member since Jul 2014
104464 posts
Posted on 1/15/25 at 11:33 am to
Thats a heckin swing if 23 EVs
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
76528 posts
Posted on 1/15/25 at 11:38 am to
Tells me the rats are migrating east and south!
Posted by AUWDE
Member since Oct 2013
3544 posts
Posted on 1/15/25 at 11:47 am to
Trump did about 3% better in Austin this year than 2020 or 2016. He also won the state with almost 57% of the votes. Hardly trending blue. Dems just want you to think it’s a battleground. It’s not.
This post was edited on 1/15/25 at 11:48 am
Posted by bhtigerfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
33618 posts
Posted on 1/15/25 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

That's plus 10 electoral votes for non battleground states with 3 more for states that went red in 24.
Yeah, this is huge.

I remember scenarios where if Trump didn’t win Pennsylvania, he had to win maybe Nevada and another state to just reach 270.

This opens up many more avenues to win 270 for the right.
This post was edited on 1/15/25 at 12:22 pm
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