- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
0
Posted on 10/19/20 at 2:30 pm to FlexDawg
L
Posted on 10/19/20 at 2:30 pm to Hamma1122
quote:
Get new sources
Ok. Send me some links to the people who were wrong in 2016.
Posted on 10/19/20 at 2:30 pm to SUB
quote:
It's crazy that he could win by over 100 electoral votes but only win the popular vote by less than a million.
Not when you understand that our forefathers made the electoral voting system to defend against states exactly like California. Otherwise we would be under the tyranny of the majority, which, in CA’s case, wants to force the spread of their state policies to everywhere else.
Posted on 10/19/20 at 2:30 pm to CidCock
quote:
I'm getting really nervous. Are you guys really that confident???
Me too and no but I love projections showing this result. The last couple weeks have been pretty good to Trump and I'd take a stretch of good news for Trump in October over a fantastic 2017-2019 stretch for Trump any time.
Posted on 10/19/20 at 2:31 pm to FlexDawg
looks about right
Posted on 10/19/20 at 2:31 pm to GumboPot
quote:
Biden worse than Hillary?
Yes
This post was edited on 10/19/20 at 2:31 pm
Posted on 10/19/20 at 2:31 pm to Nappy
quote:
Looks like that account has been suspended now.
Looks like it hasn’t
Posted on 10/19/20 at 2:31 pm to FlexDawg
Vegas is wrong in some capacity every week
I still trust them to handicap games over the general public
I still trust them to handicap games over the general public
Posted on 10/19/20 at 2:32 pm to burdhead
quote:
will probably be wrong, but damn if I don't think Trump will take NY
Go with your gut, I still feel like he's taking NM.
Posted on 10/19/20 at 2:35 pm to NawlinsTiger9
Well he posted this about his opinion about polls:
Tweet with picture
But then also this:
Tweet
That pulls info from Poll Watch which grabbed it from Gallup's party affiliation tracking.
So . . .
Tweet with picture
But then also this:
Tweet
quote:
The national electorate party affiliation was D+5 in 2016 and Trump STILL managed to win.
Today, it's R+1. A national SIX POINT shift towards Republicans in 4 years!
That pulls info from Poll Watch which grabbed it from Gallup's party affiliation tracking.
So . . .
Posted on 10/19/20 at 2:44 pm to bbrownso
quote:
Well he posted this about his opinion about polls:
Tweet with picture
a bunch of "bro-science" bullshite, come on man
quote:
The national electorate party affiliation was D+5 in 2016 and Trump STILL managed to win.
Today, it's R+1. A national SIX POINT shift towards Republicans in 4 years!
That would be significant if:
A) he wasn't citing a poll when he hadn't already stated that #PollsArentReal
B) he wasn't neglecting the independent section of that poll
C) He wasn't cherry-picking results as if the result wasn't D +5 a few weeks ago (It was)
That same poll has Republicans with a +7 advantage earlier this year. Seems kind of volatile/suspect.
Posted on 10/19/20 at 3:05 pm to CidCock
I will say that trafalgar group polls were quite good in the 2016 election, IIRC. The most current polls have Trump with a slight lead in Michigan, good lead in Florida, and Ohio and Arizona essentially gone. Also, they have him on the heels of Biden in Wisconsin, and behind in Pennsylvania.
I don’t know their margin of error, but I’d almost guarantee that Michigan and Wisconsin are in it, with a decent chance that Pennsylvania and Florida are in it as well.
However, early voting/mail in voting in Michigan has been especially red (considering early voting tendencies), unless something has changed in the last 24 or so hours.
To sum up, if he gets all the ones he’s ahead in, plus one more purplish swing state then he wins (I’m assuming Georgia, Iowa, and Texas are red here, regardless of what some other polls say). This is assuming that North Carolina and New Hampshire are tossups, which they could very easily be shifted to one side already. I’d assume NC to red, and NH to blue.
TLDR: if trafalgar is accurate, then Trump looks to be in good shape. If I’m missing anything, let me know.
Edit: It appears that NC is a red lean, and Wisconsin has leaned red before. I would still keep Wisconsin as a tossup with Michigan, but NC is probably red.
I don’t know their margin of error, but I’d almost guarantee that Michigan and Wisconsin are in it, with a decent chance that Pennsylvania and Florida are in it as well.
However, early voting/mail in voting in Michigan has been especially red (considering early voting tendencies), unless something has changed in the last 24 or so hours.
To sum up, if he gets all the ones he’s ahead in, plus one more purplish swing state then he wins (I’m assuming Georgia, Iowa, and Texas are red here, regardless of what some other polls say). This is assuming that North Carolina and New Hampshire are tossups, which they could very easily be shifted to one side already. I’d assume NC to red, and NH to blue.
TLDR: if trafalgar is accurate, then Trump looks to be in good shape. If I’m missing anything, let me know.
Edit: It appears that NC is a red lean, and Wisconsin has leaned red before. I would still keep Wisconsin as a tossup with Michigan, but NC is probably red.
This post was edited on 10/19/20 at 3:18 pm
Posted on 10/19/20 at 3:09 pm to FlexDawg
Just did my part and early voted here in FL. Done in 45 minutes. MAGA
Posted on 10/19/20 at 3:13 pm to Bottom9
ME-2 went big for Trump in 16.....can't see them not going for him again this cycle.
Posted on 10/19/20 at 3:15 pm to burdhead
quote:
I will probably be wrong, but damn if I don't think Trump will take NY
I think he has a shot, but will reduce the margin of Dem victory in NY and CA and may flip a couple of House seats as well...
Posted on 10/19/20 at 3:20 pm to FlexDawg
Just wait until the dead people's votes for Biden come in.
Posted on 10/19/20 at 3:29 pm to FlexDawg
About how I projected it last week
Posted on 10/19/20 at 3:35 pm to PotatoChip
Xi Jinping will be crying on election night, if his boy Biden loses.
Page 2 of 3
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News