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Just out: Quinnipiac presidential election 3 month trend and R primary

Posted on 1/31/24 at 1:49 pm
Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
9633 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 1:49 pm
2024 GE:
@QuinnipiacPoll
(15)
R. Primary
• Trump — 77% (+56)
• Haley — 21%

Nov. 2023
(R) Trump: 48% (+2)
(D) Biden: 46%
.
Dec. 2023
(D) Biden: 47% (+1)
(R) Trump: 46%
.
Jan. 2024
(D) Biden: 50% (+6)
(R) Trump: 44%

LINK
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
28585 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

Jan. 2024 (D) Biden: 50% (+6) (R) Trump: 44%


Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
140103 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 1:59 pm to
Is that good?
Posted by grich31
Youngsville, La
Member since May 2008
1170 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 2:00 pm to
Guess this is a bad polls for this board’s trumpers? Biden is getting more popular as 24 goes
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
140103 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

Guess this is a bad polls


Super smart leftists are awesome.
Posted by saint tiger225
San Diego
Member since Jan 2011
35371 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 2:02 pm to
Something more interesting to me is this part of it...
quote:

NATIONAL POLL: Quinnipiac (15)

Biden: 50% [+3]
Trump: 44% [-2]

Independents
Biden: 52% [+6]
Trump: 40% [=]



Trump continues only placating to his base and so far, hasn't seem interested in bringing in any new (or former) supporters.

Better hope independents vote for RFK.
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
39418 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 2:04 pm to
Yes, I can definitely see how Biden has somehow become more popular as he mumbles incoherently about beer, threatens to go to war with Texas over open borders, sees his party contemplate replacing him, and flirts with yet another war in Iran. And you could understand why Trump would slip after some of his strongest weeks on the campaign trail ever with two key primary challengers throwing in the towel and sending him their endorsements.

Totally plausible poll, you got there.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73486 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

Is that good?


Nope. We should have gone with never back down Ron. He would be up bigly
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
140103 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

Nope


Interesting
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73486 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 2:28 pm to
As interesting as never backing down?
Posted by DemGaters
Member since Apr 2010
440 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 2:32 pm to
Quinnipiac is always wildly off in their polling. Not sure why anyone references them.
Posted by SCLibertarian
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
36013 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

hasn't seem interested in bringing in any new (or former) supporters

If this poll is even close to being true, that says more about the rot of this country than it does Trump. What should Trump do to make himself more appealable to "moderate" Americans? Start a ground war in the Middle East like Bush, McCain and Romney wanted? Support minors being mutilated in the name of tranny rights like most progs? Support the arrest and detention of his political opponents like leftists have done with him and the J6 crowd? At what point do you just recognize that the American public is too far gone for anything even resembling a constitutional republic to return?
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
24953 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 2:40 pm to
Polls are like statistics all bullshite and lies.
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
140103 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 2:41 pm to
It’s interesting that you agree those numbers aren’t good.
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2004
7178 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 2:45 pm to
"Yes, I can definitely see how Biden has somehow become more popular as he mumbles incoherently about beer, threatens to go to war with Texas over open borders, sees his party contemplate replacing him, and flirts with yet another war in Iran. And you could understand why Trump would slip after some of his strongest weeks on the campaign trail ever with two key primary challengers throwing in the towel and sending him their endorsements."

I don't know about the accuracy of the polls, but I find the trend plausible. Both Trump and Biden have very high unfavorable numbers, and as Trump solidifies his position as the GOP nominee, it makes sense that it would galvanize those who either dislike Trump or are at least leery of him. I suspect that even this very pro-Trump board realizes that Trump is not likely to win a plurality of voters--and certainly not a majority--but could win a close race in the EC as he did in 2016. All this goes out the window if a credible third party candidate runs. I don't think Kennedy is that candidate, although the margins could be close enough for him to matter "bigly." A Manchin-esque No Labels candidate is the scenario I see creating the highest chance of a Trump victory.
Posted by Figgy
CenCal
Member since May 2020
7170 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 2:51 pm to
Fake polls, obviously.

We're gonna be so fricked in November if the country doesn't further nosedive.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73486 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 2:59 pm to
I also find it interesting that you like polls now
Posted by Figgy
CenCal
Member since May 2020
7170 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

What should Trump do to make himself more appealable to "moderate" Americans?


He needs to stop being a dick. It really is pretty simple. Trump keeps making enemies of allies. It is red meat for his base but it pisses almost everyone else off. Trump cannot and will not win without these voters. He needed to tone things down months ago but the party was in a civil war. He kept up the rhetoric and it may very well cost him. He should cruise to a victory but his personality won't allow for it and it's a shame.
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
140103 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 3:00 pm to
I find it interesting that you can’t link where I said I like polls now.

But, since you like ascribing bullshite..,

It’s interesting that you don’t like polls now.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73486 posts
Posted on 1/31/24 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

I find it interesting that you can’t link where I said I like polls now.



Of course
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