re: Is the scuttling of Operation Northwoods by JFK a valid assassination theory?

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Oswald’s alleged crow’s nest was on the 6th floor of the Book Depository on the corner of Houston and Elm.

The motorcade would’ve been coming towards him on Houston Street before making the hairpin left onto Elm. A head-on shot with the target moving toward you is a far easier, cleaner shot to take than a shot fired at a target accelerating away from you.

I’m sure you’ll disagree and you have your reasons. That’s my Occam’s Razor takeaway however.

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Actually, I agree with you. Based on my observations, you are 100% correct that the shot at the front end seemed easier than the ones he actually took.

But the problem with this thinking is almost "so what?" Its as if you have somehow found some golden nugget of absolute truth, when in fact, you have merely uncovered an almost incidental fact.

Maybe he wanted to shoot earlier, before the turn. But then maybe he cramped-up. Maybe he sneezed. Maybe a bird landed on the window sill.

Whatever the reason he waited... he was a good enough shot to have accomplished what he did, regardless:
- a miss
- a non-fatal hit
- a kill-shot
He completed his goal. That he didn't do it in the "easier" scenario... is all but an incidental point of fact.

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Its as if you have somehow found some golden nugget of absolute truth, when in fact, you have merely uncovered an almost incidental fact.

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I’m not claiming to have “uncovered” anything. Others brought this point up long before I ever did. My own observations of the site just confirmed it.

I’m sorry. You don’t convince me.

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The biggest thing that happened to make me wonder if there was in fact a conspiracy was Jack Ruby killing Oswald.

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Once I learned Jack Ruby's timeline that morning, I all but knew that Oswald acted alone. Really... Jack Ruby helps to destroy most conspiracy theories. His competency and his timeline are such that NO ONE in the CIA (or mafia, or Cuba. or USSR or anywhere) would hire him unless they wanted the whole thing fricked up.

Seriously, look into Ruby's timeline the morning of the killing of Oswald:
- heading downtown to pay one of his stripper's rent via Western Union
- bringing his beloved dog downtown, leaving it in car
- being AT Western Union AT the announced time of Oswald's "prisoner transfer"
- being heard asking "what's going on at the police station?" AFTER paying the Western Union

these are NOT the actions of some "silencer" hired by some all-powerful entity.

These facts are ignored by most conspiracy theorists. But why? They are beyond telling. Oswald acted alone, my friends.

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Is that report flawless? No. But the preponderance of the evidence shows it to absolute fall within the most likely sequence of events.

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The preponderance of evidence and witness testimony the Commission used.

Some evidence and testimony either was not used or never followed up. Many witnesses, some on the street with the knoll either behind them or in front of them depending on what side of the street they were on, others on the overpass looking down and into the front of the motorcade, heard shot(s) from the knoll picket fence and saw smoke and smelled burnt gunpowder. One, a Korean War vet hit the deck and looked directly to where he heard the shots coming from on the knoll.

Blood mist and tissue blown back and hitting a motorcycle police escort trailing the Presidential limousine on the left rear has not been sufficiently explained IMO.

There may be other things. Though he's allegedly been identified and deposed, I'll always think the "Umbrella man" was a range marker and I'll never understand why Greer, the limousine driver slowed down so precipitously in what became the kill zone.

Who knows? We may never really know.

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In theory, perhaps it is.

But again, going by Occam, it’s also the simplest explanation.

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I'm trying to see your point, really I am. Occam's Razor is such a good "predictor" of events that fall into the "70% likely vs. 30% likely.

But the "should have shot before the turn" is not such a great application of Occam's Razor.

Almost like 3rd and 1 from the two yard line, down by four, with 14 seconds left and one time-out remaining. You run it on 3rd down because you have the time-out, and pass it on 4th down. Or... do you pass it on 3rd down because they are expecting the run?

The human nature of an avowed communist, with sociopathic tendencies, on a perch 65 feet above downtown Dallas, with a president in his rifle-sight, approaching... its a place my mind cannot accurately replicate. And a place where Occam's Razor probably does not apply.

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His political career was launched amidst incidences of suspicious 'suicides'

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so....a Clinton.

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I'm trying to see your point, really I am.

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its a place my mind cannot accurately replicate.

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That’s because you’re way overthinking it in an effort to justify your own conclusions.

Look, you asked me what my #1 reason for believing what I believe was. I gave you the simplest answer. You believe what you believe and I have my own beliefs on the subject. It’s that simple. Let’s just leave it at that.

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Or are you unfamiliar with his attempt on Major General Edwin Walker?

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this is the confusing part.

Oswald is a sharpshooter. he shoots at Walker while walker is sitting in his dining room at a desk - stationary target. hits walker in his arm (was it), failed attempt. Kennedy, the moving target, gets a headshot kill, and gets multiple shots off in the process.