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re: Iowa Selzer poll has Kamala in the lead

Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:08 pm to
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
35156 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:08 pm to
Ok great, so that’s the signal to the right that this thing isn’t in the bag and to reenergize and double down on efforts to “get out the vote.”

That’s how I’m viewing it. Why shouldn’t I?
Posted by TakingStock
Member since Jun 2009
7355 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:08 pm to
This is probably just another way to try and demoralize Trump supporters. So Harris is up in Iowa yet Trump is leading in Wisconsin and closing hard in Virginia and New Hampshire? No way.
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 6:09 pm
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
22121 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:08 pm to
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
58962 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:09 pm to
Trump was +7 in 2016 and 2020. This is a shocking poll
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
58962 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:09 pm to
quote:

That’s how I’m viewing it. Why shouldn’t I?


+1
Posted by Eric Nies Grind Time
Member since Sep 2012
25421 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:09 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 8:14 pm
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
22121 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:09 pm to
Look at the data I posted. That poll doesn’t make sense
Posted by Shamoan
Member since Feb 2019
13255 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:10 pm to
While they were going full force in battleground states to stop the steal, they rig a solid red state or two or three….that’s the hook.
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
27668 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:10 pm to
Not happening. Iowa is not going Harris.
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
58962 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:10 pm to
I hope you're right. Emerson has him +10 and this down 3? That's insane
Posted by SouthEasternKaiju
SouthEast... you figure it out
Member since Aug 2021
42987 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:11 pm to

There's no scenario where Kamala wins that's legal.


None.


Read the room.
Posted by alabamabuckeye
Member since Jun 2010
22258 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:11 pm to
Selzer is one of the more accurate and reliable polls
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
38580 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:12 pm to
Holy shite
Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
24717 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:13 pm to
quote:

 rig a solid red state or two or three


Not any with a strong Republican SoS, not unless Dominion is flipping votes. That would be the ONLY way they could pull off a cheat in Louisiana, and even then, it's probably not sticking because Landry and Murrill wouldn't let that slide without investigations.

Posted by WAY2GOLSU
Stick Red
Member since Dec 2007
1549 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:14 pm to
This one is the first that has shook me. There is no way to shape this that means anything good. I want to believe this isnt accurare, but ...this just isn't good. I don't think it is beneficial to deny it just because I don't want it to be true.
Posted by WAY2GOLSU
Stick Red
Member since Dec 2007
1549 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:14 pm to
Double post
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 6:14 pm
Posted by Tuscaloosa
13x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
50481 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:14 pm to
quote:

The results follow a September Iowa Poll that showed Trump with a 4-point lead over Harris and a June Iowa Poll showing him with an 18-point lead over Democratic President Joe Biden, who was the presumed Democratic nominee at the time.


Quite literally an impossible shift with no major seismic event between then and now.

Also:

quote:

The poll of 808 likely Iowa voters



Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who has abandoned his independent presidential campaign to support Trump but remains on the Iowa ballot, gets 3% of the vote.


Sure, Jan.


Posted by Shamoan
Member since Feb 2019
13255 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:14 pm to
It’s the Georgia steal model
Posted by TakingStock
Member since Jun 2009
7355 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:15 pm to
quote:

This one is the first that has shook me. There is no way to shape this that means anything good. I want to believe this isnt accurare, but ...this just isn't good. I don't think it is beneficial to deny it just because I don't want it to be true.


Are you voting for Trump? That’s exactly how they want you to feel after this.
Posted by Macfly
BR & DS
Member since Jan 2016
10040 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:15 pm to
I don't believe it.
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