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If the historic levels of black support for Trump are true

Posted on 10/26/20 at 12:18 am
Posted by Blizzard of Chizz
Member since Apr 2012
19064 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 12:18 am
You have to throw out conventional wisdom for this election. Why? Because the majority of black voters are registered Democrats. Well what does that mean exactly? It means that if there is a large percentage of blacks voting for Trump and they are requesting mail in ballots, they more than likely are requesting them as registered Democrats. If that holds true, we are in for some incredible results come election night.
Posted by Three Oh Eight
Member since Sep 2020
30 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 12:20 am to
We can only hope. Definitely an increasing number of them in attendance at Trump rallies.
Posted by Langland
Trumplandia
Member since Apr 2014
15382 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 12:23 am to
Everything the dims have tried to "get" Trump over the last four years have failed. They will fail again Nov 3rd...bigly.
Posted by Blizzard of Chizz
Member since Apr 2012
19064 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 12:25 am to
The hidden Trump vote may just come in the form of registered black democrats.
Posted by bogeypro
North Alabama
Member since Sep 2012
4052 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 12:25 am to
Blake vote is and will be 90-95% Democrat. Always is....
Posted by Privateer 2007
Member since Jan 2020
6191 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 12:27 am to
I could see black males going 20% Trump.

That 10-20% jump alone in Michigan/Pennsylvania could easily swing those states.
Posted by crazyatthecamp
Member since Nov 2006
2100 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 12:28 am to
It's going to be delicious and healthy.

Posted by West Palm Tiger561
Palm Beach County
Member since Dec 2018
1530 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 12:29 am to
quote:

Blake vote is and will be 90-95% Democrat. Always is....


I'd be shocked if there was no increase in the black vote this go around.
Posted by Blizzard of Chizz
Member since Apr 2012
19064 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 12:29 am to
quote:

Blake vote is and will be 90-95% Democrat. Always is....



Four years ago I would have agreed with you. I simply don’t believe you can rely on the percentage anymore. Not saying Trump will get 40 or even 20 percent of the vote, but if it gets into the mid teens, the game is changed. Also his approval is not an anomaly. It’s been consistent among blacks for many many many months.
Posted by LordSaintly
Member since Dec 2005
38918 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 12:30 am to
quote:

I could see black males going 20% Trump.


Yep.

Black women will be about 2% Trump though
Posted by Blizzard of Chizz
Member since Apr 2012
19064 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 12:33 am to
And that’s why I said in the op, if the support we are seeing is real, you can’t rely on conventional wisdom anymore. You can’t say Dems are outperforming repubs in mail in ballot requests because black Trump voters are more than likely requesting mail in ballots as registered Dems.
Posted by PEEPO
Member since Sep 2020
1820 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 12:35 am to
Exactly. Black men are almost all of Trump's black support, he could win 15-20% of them.

Meanwhile black women vote Democrat 98-99% of the time.
Posted by DesScorp
Alabama
Member since Sep 2017
6520 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 12:54 am to
quote:

Blake vote is and will be 90-95% Democrat. Always is....


I think Trump wins bigger than most think. And I also think that when it's all said and done, the black vote will be about the same as it always is.
Posted by Kino74
Denham springs
Member since Nov 2013
5344 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 1:19 am to
quote:

Blake vote is and will be 90-95% Democrat. Always is....


That may be accurate. I don't see Trump getting north of 10% like a lot of posters think. The brainwashing for decades doesn't get erased after a few years and in case anybody hasn't noticed that despite Trump's best efforts at reaching out to them he is routinely called a racist.

We will find out after this election but IMHO it'll take more than one GOP presidency to make a real dent.

Posted by 98eagle
Member since Sep 2020
1968 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 1:23 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/30/21 at 5:47 pm
Posted by Christopher Columbo
Member since Jun 2015
2103 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 1:25 am to
Trump may get 20% of the black vote, but it won't beat the 150% black vote Biden will get.
Posted by TigerCrude
Member since Oct 2019
1878 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 1:40 am to
quote:

Black men are almost all of Trump's black support, he could win 15-20% of them.


The ones that are either successful businessmen that understand finance and economics or the ones work for industries like puke and gas. Like the blue collar workers have pension and/or 402k and want to retire.
Posted by MizzouBS
Missouri
Member since Dec 2014
5845 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 1:52 am to
It’s not, but the Hispanic vote is what is more important. His Hispanic vote gets him elected. He could get over 40% in Florida and 30% in Arizona.

The Hispanic is more important than the black vote.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162231 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 3:15 am to
Trump may win. But it won't be because he gets any relevant portion of the black vote

That's just fever dream shite
Posted by Little Trump
Florida
Member since Nov 2017
5817 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 3:24 am to
quote:

by PEEPO
Exactly. Black men are almost all of Trump's black support, he could win 15-20% of them.

Meanwhile black women vote Democrat 98-99% of the time.



^^^ My theory is that women act on emotions only and black women on HYPER EMOTIONS

Black women seem 100% illogical
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