How are we feeling about Florida?

Didn't R's crush in early voting in Florida?

No. massive blue wave, democrats retake the south.

Rs currently up only about 2.3% on D for early voting and mail in. Lots of smoke around Jolly winning governor. Nixon may be more of a long shot but it’s possibly. Moody and Donalds were dreadful picks.

The manipulation operation is in high gear.

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The manipulation operation is in high gear.

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This isn't about polling as much as early voting data.

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I haven't followed this race closely, for obvious reasons, but this isn't good for Donalds.

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Democrats already have surpassed their entire 2022 early and mail-in vote totals in 15 counties, compared with four counties for Republicans.

Nearly every poll shows independent voters favoring Democrats by double digits, so Republicans need a heavy turnout advantage.

About two-thirds of Florida voters typically cast ballots before Election Day, making the early and absentee margins critical.

Among voters who waited until Election Day in 2022, roughly 60,000 more Republicans than Democrats have already voted this year, Democratic strategist Steve Schale found.

That means some voters Republicans rely on for their Election Day surge in 2022 have already cast ballots — potentially shrinking their usual Tuesday advantage.

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Black and Hispanic voters, who are leaning more toward Democrats this year in Florida polling, are making up a growing share of the early electorate, accounting for a larger share of newly reported ballots.

Across racial and ethnic groups, Democrats are voting at higher rates than Republicans. Among active Democrats, 50% of white voters, 39% of Black voters and 34% of Hispanic voters have cast ballots, compared with 35%, 21% and 28% of Republicans in those groups.

Young voters show another substantial gap: 25% of active registered Democrats under 30 have voted, compared with just 9% of Republicans.

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It's likely not quite as bad as it's being reported, but if those numbers are real then this race is going to be closer than projected months ago.

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"We always win Election Day, and we know how to do this," state GOP chair Evan Power said. "A lot of the nerves here are because the last time we had a close election was eight years ago, and people forgot what a close election looks like here."

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LINK

I think Donalds still wins, but this is more than smoke or random polling.

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So just party registrant voting info?

I would think that in Florida many of those registered D voters voted R.

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Why?

And Donalds isn't doing well in the reddest areas, where he struggled in the primary.

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Republican turnout is weakest in parts of the conservative Panhandle and rural North Florida, including many of the 17 counties Donalds lost in the Republican primary.

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I know a lot of the panhandle counties voted for Collins in the primary. I just don't see them voting for Jolly over Donalds though.

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Read the quoted words

They aren't voting. It's a turnout issue in the panhandle.

Just got back from a long weekend there in South Florida. I feel fine about Florida.

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Lots of smoke around Jolly winning governor


^^^ lol.

Besides a handful of shithole voting districts, Florida is solid red.

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Yep. Jolly will win Wilton Manors, maybe St. Pete and a couple shithole gay lib places like that... But he's toast otherwise.