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Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:28 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
the total death rate in the US is well below 1% when you account for all the positives who weren't tested
That's nice for statistics. I'm at a significantly higher risk than almost every one of those people.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:29 pm to TimeOutdoors
quote:
For the record I down voted. This is exactly why you have a rainy day account. It's also why you go ahead and pay down debt when you can even though your interest rates low.
Paying down debt don’t put dinner on the table. I agree on the saving but debt can be forgiven/forgotten. Hoard cash. I don’t have much debt but frick those I do if I lose my job. They can get in line.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:29 pm to TimeOutdoors
quote:Awesome.
For the record I down voted. This is exactly why you have a rainy day account. It's also why you go ahead and pay down debt when you can even though your interest rates low.
And, I'm gonna be fine thru this.
Alas, we all know I'm not everyone.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:30 pm to longwayfromLA
quote:
My perspective is the lockdown is a sunk cost. It's actually been a sunk cost for a few weeks now. Had we done it then, we might be on the other side of it like S. Korea is
This is exactly my point. We've already went down the road, there's no sense in doing it half arse and accomplishing nothing. It's like cutting corners and fricking the job up and having to go back and redo it.
We've already established what the threshold of cases and deaths are to shutting stuff down so....
quote:
We will have to lockdown eventually, let's get it over with
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:32 pm to ShortyRob
Personal outlook also is influenced by your profession and capability of income during a lockdown. Tech industry for example will only come out of this stronger.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:33 pm to longwayfromLA
quote:Based on your graph, jumping from case isolation and house quarantine to fricking bankrupt millions of people is like 30ish percent.
longwayfromLA
So yeah.
Completely asinine.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:34 pm to Argonaut
quote:Um, you probably need to learn risk. Cause yeah, it is.
It isn't a sub 1% risk.
You see, 100% of the people aren't going to catch it. Mortality rate is for those who catch it. If I have to do that math for you, we probably aren't on an equal enough footing to go further.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:35 pm to Argonaut
quote:What rate do you think you're at?
That's nice for statistics. I'm at a significantly higher risk than almost every one of those people.
Let's say 50%. OK
Now tell me your odds of getting it AT ALL.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:37 pm to ShortyRob
quote:
Based on your graph, jumping from case isolation and house quarantine to fricking bankrupt millions of people is like 30ish percent. So yeah. Completely asinine.
When I realized this paper was driving everyone’s reactions, I just wanted to make sure we know the authors by name.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:38 pm to ShortyRob
quote:
Um, you probably need to learn risk. Cause yeah, it is.
You see, 100% of the people aren't going to catch it. Mortality rate is for those who catch it. If I have to do that math for you, we probably aren't on an equal enough footing to go further.
The numbers say it's 1.4%.
That math isn't difficult.
That's reality, not your idiotic scenario.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:40 pm to ShortyRob
quote:
What rate do you think you're at?
Let's say 50%. OK
Let's say it's 25%. That doesn't change a thing.
quote:
Now tell me your odds of getting it AT ALL.
In your scenario, it's 0%.
Sign me up.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:40 pm to Argonaut
quote:That's not your personal risk idiot.
The numbers say it's 1.4%.
1.4%, even if the correct mortality rate, is the rate for those who will CATCH IT.
Not everyone will catch it. Nowhere close to everyone will catch it.
So, the risk of dying from coronavirus isn't 1.4% or anything close
Do I have to really walk you thru that? Seriously?
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:43 pm to ShortyRob
quote:
That's not your personal risk idiot.
1.4%, even if the correct mortality rate, is the rate for those who will CATCH IT.
Not everyone will catch it. Nowhere close to everyone will catch it.
So, the risk of dying from coronavirus isn't 1.4% or anything close
Do I have to really walk you thru that? Seriously?
Jesus fricking Christ, son.
You either catch it or you don't. You say I can give up my money and have a 100% chance of survival.
I say if I catch it, I'm at a higher risk of death than most.
TLDR:
You're a fricking moron.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:43 pm to loogaroo
quote:
But...what the hell do i know.
Probably not a whole lot.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:43 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
that won't do shite though
Why not?
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:45 pm to Argonaut
quote:LOL
Jesus fricking Christ, son. You either catch it or you don't. You say I can give up my money and have a 100% chance of survival. I say if I catch it, I'm at a higher risk of death than most. TLDR: You're a fricking moron.
No. You just fricking suck at assessing risk. You'd ruin yourself for life...……..to avoid a LOW risk that hell, you have SOME control over avoiding all by yourself!
The very definition of stupidity in humans who can't assess risk.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:45 pm to 4cubbies
quote:
I’m a healthy female in my early 30s.
Well hey.
quote:
What’s a “solid percentage”?
Most countries have come in between 8%-18% of known cases needing medical attention.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:46 pm to Hurricane Mike
quote:
Why not?
Probably because you can't guarantee that you come out of the 14 days with zero carriers and, if you even have a couple hundred nationwide who caught it even during the theoretical lock down, you're right back to square 1
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:46 pm to BobBoucher
quote:The VERY key work in that sentence is "known"
Most countries have come in between 8%-18% of known cases needing medical attention.
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