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Go on record: do you believe Trump will win reelection?

Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:36 pm
Posted by Jeb Busch Lite
Member since Apr 2016
1859 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:36 pm
I think Trump’s base has grown since 2016–and his numbers amongst minorities has doubled.

Democrats are still clueless as to who may be their nominee, but it looks as if it’s down to Biden, Beto, Warren, Harris, and Booker

I think at this point Biden may be the biggest threat to Trump, especially at winning over some independents that just couldn’t handle voting for Hillary. You can say the same for Beto too.

Still, I think Trump would win re-election against either of these candidates, and I think it’d be a margin of victory comparable to 2016.

If Democrats are stupid enough to nominate the latter 3 (warren, Harris, booker), then Trump may win every state aside from California and New York

Posted by tigerbait3488
River Ridge
Member since Dec 2007
10451 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:37 pm to
No.....Dems will steal and cheat to win this election
This post was edited on 12/21/18 at 1:38 pm
Posted by Scooba
Member since Jun 2013
19999 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:37 pm to
Not unless his VP is a transgender black female.

ETA: He will win in a landslide if he can fix the monthly cost of health insurance.
This post was edited on 12/21/18 at 1:39 pm
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162217 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:37 pm to
Too early to without knowing the opponent

But if we go into a recession before the end of his first term it probably won't matter who the opponent is
Posted by The Maj
Member since Sep 2016
27117 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:38 pm to
Yes, he will win, just not the popular vote...
Posted by Parmen
Member since Apr 2016
18317 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:38 pm to
100%. He will win. Not only will he win, it'll be by a bigger margin too.

Can't wait to see how many turncoats try to jump back on the train when he wins too.
Posted by wryder1
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2008
4163 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:38 pm to
If construction of the wall starts, we will have 6years of building. If the wall is blocked.... toss up
Posted by CajunSoldier225
Member since Aug 2011
8990 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

do you believe Trump will win reelection?


Yup
Posted by Brosef Stalin
Member since Dec 2011
39187 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:39 pm to
Depends who the Dems are running. Biden-O'Rourke will get a ton of support. If there's no progress on the wall and no healthcare, a lot of Trump supporters will stay home.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81606 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:39 pm to
I'd guess "yes" but we only have about 5% of the relevant information so far.
Posted by idlewatcher
County Jail
Member since Jan 2012
79069 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:40 pm to
Nope, he's not going to win unfortunately. Wonder if he's going to get a run from the GOP as well.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37081 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:42 pm to
It's going to be decided by about 100K people in Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

And I think the biggest issue in those three states, is going to be tariffs/jobs. If jobs are coming back and the economy is improving, he will win. If not, he will lose.

In the rest of the country, no one is changing sides. I truly don't believe Trump has lost any voters, but probably hasn't gained any, either.
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
67839 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:42 pm to
He had no shot if he had not have gone to the mat with this shutdown.
Posted by 14&Counting
Eugene, OR
Member since Jul 2012
37615 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:44 pm to
I will say yes because the field of Democrats are a bunch of hacks. Trump destroyed a field of far more capable Republicans AND Hilary Clinton.

Posted by Brosef Stalin
Member since Dec 2011
39187 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:44 pm to
Florida will be tough. Maybe Arizona as well. Republicans have shown they will stand by and allow Democrat interference in elections.
Posted by Bunyan
He/Him
Member since Oct 2016
20828 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:45 pm to
Yes....easily.

Watch
Posted by bstew3006
318
Member since Dec 2007
12576 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:45 pm to
Yes

By larger margin and popular vote
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:45 pm to
Depends on the Dem nominee. He would get curb-stomped by Biden if the election were in a month.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81606 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:46 pm to
The GOP trying to undermine Trump will actually help Trump.

The amazing thing about Trump is that almost everything regarding Trump is counter intuitive. Traditional politics and strategies never apply - you can usually apply the opposite, in fact.
Posted by TheLSUTiger
Member since Dec 2011
594 posts
Posted on 12/21/18 at 1:46 pm to
How can he win if he is not president?
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