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Final predictions: House

Posted on 11/4/18 at 12:49 am
Posted by HubbaBubba
F_uck Joe Biden, TX
Member since Oct 2010
45772 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 12:49 am
I think muh blue wave is done. I've gone through the races and polls. Lots of Dem oversampling, especially considering the huge Republican surge of voters at the early voting states.

I'm seeing a final count of 219 R's to 216 D's. Still very close, but nowhere near this overwhelming blue wave.

As Bill Clinton once famously said:

Posted by indianswim
Plano, TX
Member since Jan 2010
18792 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 12:58 am to
House goes Dem by 2. Lots of stupid out there. I was wrong before though. Hope I am again.

Too many people vote on emotion and Twitter has rotted the brains.
Posted by Wild Thang
YAW YAW Fooball Nation
Member since Jun 2009
44181 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 1:08 am to
I think it’s gonna be GOP by 1 in the House. Could go either way.

Senate will be 57-43 GOP. I’m positive on that.
Posted by shoelessjoe
Member since Jul 2006
9912 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 1:37 am to
GOP by 3 in the House
Posted by JEAUXBLEAUX
Bayonne, NJ
Member since May 2006
55358 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 2:19 am to
Dems by 7. We only wish.
Posted by s2
Southdowns
Member since Sep 2016
5569 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 2:28 am to
NO. we don't wish.
liberal twit.
Posted by TurkeyBaconLeg
Houston
Member since Jul 2018
1699 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 3:27 am to
A blue wave never made sense to me.

What are the Dems offering?

-Raise taxes by getting rid of the tax cuts
-Open borders
-Abolish ICE
-Endless investigations of nothing.

This is a LOSING platform.

There will be a red wave at the polls. It’s the economy stupid.

GOP keeps the House and Senate.
Posted by Little Trump
Florida
Member since Nov 2017
5817 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 4:41 am to
quote:


I'm seeing a final count of 219 R's to 216 D's. Still very close, but nowhere near this overwhelming blue wave.



If it’s that close then democrats can stwal it with voter fraud in 2 places and that’s all that’ll be needed for 218-217 democrat win

Itsthat and Gillum winning my Florida I fear
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 6:02 am to
Dems take house by 5



Posted by baobabtiger
Member since May 2009
4722 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 6:17 am to
GOP by 10. I’ve learned that polls are very left leaning and part of the agenda.

If they say we lose by 5 seats I say we win by 10.
Posted by idlewatcher
County Jail
Member since Jan 2012
79174 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 7:07 am to
quote:

especially considering the huge Republican surge of voters at the early voting states.


Do you think these R voters are regular Election Day voters who just wanted to vote early or new R voters? I’m trying to reconcile the numbers.

Example, if 100 Early R voters voted early there would be a deficit of 100 R voters on Election Day.
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
18667 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 7:16 am to
quote:

Do you think these R voters are regular Election Day voters who just wanted to vote early or new R voters?


I usually vote Election Day but have a trial out of state I have to be at. On the other hand my son voted in his first election early so he is new R as is all the guys in his graduating class.

I would say most of the early votes are net adds and the turn out game is going to favor the Rs bigly.
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
27607 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 7:20 am to
+3 Democrat majority.
Posted by idlewatcher
County Jail
Member since Jan 2012
79174 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 7:24 am to
Alrighty thanks Mid
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
46134 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 7:24 am to
Hope the R's hold the house and senate but really unsure about the house, I think the senate is still in R control after Tuesday. If the R's lose the house it's their own fault for not drawing a stronger contrast between the looney left and the stable right. The Dims gave any R running for office plenty of material to destroy them...., open borders, endorsing socialism, ANTIFA, BLM, out of control SJW's roaming our universities, and on and on. It's a shame the R's are not as effective as they could be in framing their message of positivity and attacking the Dims fricked up ideology.
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
46134 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 7:27 am to
quote:

Itsthat and Gillum winning my Florida I fear


Gillum winning the governorship of Florida is worse that McCaskill beating Hawley for US Senate in MO.
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
27341 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 7:30 am to
GOP ADDs 3 or 4 seats in the House

Senate 56 to 44 GOP
Posted by Parmen
Member since Apr 2016
18317 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 7:32 am to
quote:

I think it’s gonna be GOP by 1 in the House. Could go either way.

Senate will be 57-43 GOP. I’m positive on that.


I think this is all wrong. Dems are gonna take the House. Happened to Obama in 2010. Whatever is going on now is the Dem version of the Tea Party.

Senate will be 51-49 or 50-50.
Posted by HubbaBubba
F_uck Joe Biden, TX
Member since Oct 2010
45772 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 7:43 am to
quote:

Do you think these R voters are regular Election Day voters who just wanted to vote early or new R voters? I’m trying to reconcile the numbers.

Example, if 100 Early R voters voted early there would be a deficit of 100 R voters on Election Day.
I'll let you know on election day. I'm working at the polls that day, the entire day. Will see how the turnout compares to previous years, but just yesterday, it was announced that Denton County early voters surpassed 46%, eclipsing the 2016 election's early voting totals by over 4000 votes and galloping past the 2014 midterms by 145,485 votes.

Early voting ended Friday in Texas and already 4,884,528 (39.86 percent of voters) have gone to the polls or a mailed-in a ballot was received. In 2014, 1,715,731 (19.11 percent) voted early.
Posted by HubbaBubba
F_uck Joe Biden, TX
Member since Oct 2010
45772 posts
Posted on 11/4/18 at 7:47 am to
quote:

GOP ADDs 3 or 4 seats in the House
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