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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 5/24/20 at 8:35 pm to
Posted by ValDawgsta
Member since Jan 2020
1542 posts
Posted on 5/24/20 at 8:35 pm to
Guess what I’m trying to say (or maybe hope for) is that Easter Sunday was low because it was a Sunday, not because it was a holiday weekend. The Sunday before Easter and the Sunday after Easter both had fewer new cases and fewer deaths than Easter Sunday.

I didn’t compare Monday’s though.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111507 posts
Posted on 5/24/20 at 8:36 pm to
Gotcha.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 5/24/20 at 8:58 pm to
We create ICU beds when we need them.

It’s not the first time we’ve run out of icu room, it’s actually somewhat common place during a bad flu season. The problem is these people don’t go anywhere for awhile.
This post was edited on 5/24/20 at 8:59 pm
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111507 posts
Posted on 5/24/20 at 9:00 pm to
quote:

It’s not the first time we’ve run out of icu room, it’s actually someone common place during a bad flu season.


Yeah. That’s pretty common for our city hospitals here in STL as well. January especially.
Posted by ClientNumber9
Member since Feb 2009
9316 posts
Posted on 5/25/20 at 7:44 pm to
Only 505 deaths for Monday, May 25th. Lowest daily total since March 29th, when we were skyrocketing up the curve. I don't want to jinx it but we're definitely trending downwards strongly, at least in terms of death toll.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6833 posts
Posted on 5/25/20 at 7:56 pm to
This is the link to the US state-level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/











Posted by Volsfan82169
Spring Hill, TN
Member since Aug 2016
2929 posts
Posted on 5/25/20 at 7:56 pm to
While that is a good number, it’s also a holiday weekend where reporting usually lags. If we see Tuesday and Wednesday at around 1000-1200, I’d say that’s great cause for optimism. I’d just hate to see reporting lags cause us to have a huge “spike” of over 1500 one day this week.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111507 posts
Posted on 5/25/20 at 7:59 pm to
Even if we hit 1500 tomorrow, that’s an average under 1000 for the three days.
Posted by Volsfan82169
Spring Hill, TN
Member since Aug 2016
2929 posts
Posted on 5/25/20 at 8:01 pm to
That’s true. I’m just hopeful we’ve seen the end of days where we are north of that number.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6833 posts
Posted on 5/25/20 at 8:02 pm to
Memorial day saw a new record for testing at 441K while the % positive was only 4.5% for the day. This drove new slightly up day over day but still 12% below last week.

We last saw two consecutive days of below 20K new cases on 3/27 & 3/28, almost 2 months ago.

Deaths were down 112 from yesterday an 18% decline and were also down 498 from last week, a 49% decline. How much is due to the holiday, we'll find out on Wednesday I suspect.

New tests were up 61K from yesterday and 105K from last week, a 31% increase; however, positive tests fell from yesterday and last week. A solid increase in testing without a similar effect on positive tests.

Mortality fell to 5.85%

The 7 day rolling average for deaths is really showing some sharp declines.

Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6833 posts
Posted on 5/25/20 at 8:07 pm to
On the new tracker, I'm going to remove some of the extraneous columns (the data will still be available on other tabs) and focus on the core metrics.

I'm building a sheet where you can pick the state and it will show you a "Dashboard" for that state consisting of New Cases, New Deaths, 7 Day Rolling averages for both, Mortality, # tests, # Positive Tests, 7-day rolling averages for both of those and % positive for the day and cumulative. There will be data and graphs however I'm cutting down the # of graphs.

If there is something you'd like to see preserved, please let me know.
Posted by LosLobos111
Austere
Member since Feb 2011
45385 posts
Posted on 5/25/20 at 8:46 pm to
We've been dropping an average of 20% each Tuesday so I'd expect 12-1300 tomorrow
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35236 posts
Posted on 5/25/20 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

We've been dropping an average of 20% each Tuesday so I'd expect 12-1300 tomorrow
Yeah, but after a 3-day weekend we may see a larger than normal jump.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6833 posts
Posted on 5/26/20 at 2:17 am to
This is the 1st edition of the new tracker.

New COVID-19 Tracker

There are two tabs (so far) that you can manipulate, State Dashboard and Comparative Heatmap.

On each of these you can chose a state to view (Choose US to view the US data) and a date that will be the starting point of the data tables & graphs.

I think I set the security up correctly, please go in and play with them and let me know what you think.

It takes a minute for it to update after you change the values. In the top left corner of google sheets, there is a completion bar that is light grey that shows you if it is still calculating.

UPDATE: I'm having some sharing issues with the file, I've disabled editing for the time being until I can fix it.
This post was edited on 5/26/20 at 2:42 am
Posted by Baylor
Member since May 2009
522 posts
Posted on 5/26/20 at 8:09 am to
Help me out .
All I’m seeing on tv is how everything is spiking since we started opening things up .

Is the media getting their numbers from somewhere else ?

Their stories are not matching up with these numbers
Posted by Baylor
Member since May 2009
522 posts
Posted on 5/26/20 at 8:18 am to
Yea I can’t see anything besides CA
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111507 posts
Posted on 5/26/20 at 8:57 am to
It’s amazing to look back and see at the peak of new cases, 4/10 (34,422 new cases), we were only testing 158k/day. And yesterday, 5/25, we’re testing 441k with only 19k positive.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6833 posts
Posted on 5/26/20 at 9:26 am to
Yea Baylor I'm working on it, I had to remove the ability for you to change the state.

The main issue I'm running into is that if I share the sheet with the ability for the viewer to change the state, it changes it for everyone viewing the tracker.

The only way around this I can see is 1 of 2 options:

1) Put a tab on the sheet for each state. The problem with this is in performance, the sheet is already a little slow to update, 50 additional tabs would probably drag it to a halt.

2) Share the sheet as a copy, when you click on the tracker link it will prompt you to download the file, then you can change it without affecting the other viewers, but you would have to download the file each time. Not an ideal solution.
Posted by Athanatos
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
8141 posts
Posted on 5/26/20 at 9:43 am to
quote:

Is the media getting their numbers from somewhere else ?

Their stories are not matching up with these numbers


They are looking at state-specific numbers. Nationally, the numbers are going down, but some states are experiencing spikes in cases. Depending on the state, this may be due to increased testing, increased cases, or both. The topic du jour is Virginia, but the stories rarely mention that Virginia's servers underwent maintenance over the weekend. Many of the weekend cases were delayed to yesterday and today. There may be some real rise in cases, but it will take a few days to see how much of a spike actually exists.
Posted by ValDawgsta
Member since Jan 2020
1542 posts
Posted on 5/26/20 at 10:49 am to
Well said, another thing to remember is that a “spike” in a state that had very low numbers isn’t anywhere near as deadly/dangerous as just a small increase in a hard hit state.

Numbers could triple tomorrow in Arkansas and it would still be preferable to a 20% increase in Massachusetts.

So there are some states going up in cases, but total cases are overall down a good bit from 2 weeks ago because hard hit areas are improving a lot.

The massive size of the US seems to undoubtedly cause a slower tailing off than Italy and Spain saw, but make no mistake cases and deaths are down a lot from this time a month ago.
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