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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 3/30/20 at 5:05 pm to
Posted by TeLeFaWx
Dallas, TX
Member since Aug 2011
29311 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 5:05 pm to
quote:

I still have some hope we wont get above 2k/day



Same, but looking at the models, unless we have some major contamination breaches, I think it's trending towards that 2500 figure.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 5:06 pm to
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.


I changed the formating of the numbers in the table to reflect positive movements (Green) vs negative movements (Red). This will allow you to quickly see how the numbers are moving.









Posted by Spaceman Spiff
Savannah
Member since Sep 2012
20600 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 5:26 pm to
Can’t post from IG, but there is some frickery from the MSM

LINK
This post was edited on 3/30/20 at 5:27 pm
Posted by uppermidwestbama
Member since Nov 2014
2097 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 6:18 pm to
124 deaths in NYC today. Don't expect that number to go down for at least a week. Their number of cases is doubling about every 6 days now so it is slowing, but with over 2k still in the ICU's with COVID there will be lots more death being reported in the coming days.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 6:41 pm to
well, It appears yesterday was a weekend anomaly for deaths.
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
144575 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 6:45 pm to
When is the next update?
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135363 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 6:45 pm to
quote:

It appears yesterday was a weekend anomaly for deaths.
Yep, it looks like a new high today for daily deaths of 548 with at least one more update tonight before the clock starts over.
Posted by BigJim
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2010
15134 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 6:48 pm to
Wonder if that is a reporting issue
Posted by uppermidwestbama
Member since Nov 2014
2097 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 6:50 pm to
They have been saying we are not at the peak yet for daily death averages.

The mortality rate for confirmed cases based on current testing standards is close to break the 2 percent mark. In Oregon their death rate is 2.6 percent.

606 positive covid tests in Oregon.
16 deaths.

Georgia Report: 03/30/2020 (19:07:03):
[ ] increase since 11:28:11
Total COVID-19 Confirmed Cases: 3032 [223]
Hospitalized: 773 (25.49%) [66]
Deaths: 102 (3.36%) [15] in 36 counties
Comm Lab 2731 positive [224] / 11562 tests [891]
GPH lab: 301 positives [-1] / 1895 tests [0]

The dcotors will likely be right and we surpass 100k deaths. There are too many people out there that are volunerable to the COVID to not hit lots of death.

Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
109146 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 7:24 pm to
quote:

too many people out there that are volunerable


What does Tennessee have to do with this?
Posted by NoHoTiger
So many to kill, so little time
Member since Nov 2006
46202 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

What does Tennessee have to do with this?

and....this made me laugh way too loud
Posted by bogeypro
North Alabama
Member since Sep 2012
4052 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 7:38 pm to
The mortality percent will raise as new cases slow. Simple math.
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
67430 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

we surpass 100k deaths


No chance.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 8:00 pm to
Upsetting
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 8:06 pm to
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.


I changed the formating of the numbers in the table to reflect positive movements (Green) vs negative movements (Red). This will allow you to quickly see how the numbers are moving.









Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 8:08 pm to
I will update once more when the final numbers are in for the day.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 8:09 pm to
Any chance some of this is rollover from the weekend?
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 8:11 pm to
It certainly could be. Those numbers had to go somewhere.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 8:14 pm to
Hopefully tomorrow will be lower so this is just an anomaly.
Posted by TeLeFaWx
Dallas, TX
Member since Aug 2011
29311 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 8:15 pm to
quote:

Any chance some of this is rollover from the weekend?


Decent. Which is why the log total deaths graph is more important, IMO.
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