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re: Coronavirus has now killed more Americans in 1 month than flu killed in entire year

Posted on 4/19/20 at 10:56 pm to
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111576 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 10:56 pm to
quote:

Coronavirus has infected, at least, 742,459 people in the United States. How is this known?


Probably from the 3.2M tests we’ve given.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 10:57 pm to
quote:

quote:

Coronavirus has infected, at least, 742,459 people in the United States.
How is this known?

Because more than that many Americans have tested positive.

Is this going to be contentious now, too?
Posted by Metaloctopus
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2018
5917 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 10:57 pm to
So it's killed 60-80 thousand Americans? And we don't have CLEAR evidence that they are cooking the numbers up? Have you noticed nobody is dying of anything else, all of a sudden?

Live in fear, and believe lies, at your own peril. Don't bring that crap in my face.
This post was edited on 4/19/20 at 10:59 pm
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 10:58 pm to
quote:

Have you noticed nobody is dying of anything else, all of a sudden?
Nope, nobody has noticed that because it's not true. Fake news.
Posted by cave canem
pullarius dominus
Member since Oct 2012
12186 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:01 pm to
quote:

It is a flu, moron




The are about as closely related as cats and elephants.
Posted by Tigahs24Seven
Communist USA
Member since Nov 2007
12157 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:17 pm to
where have all the heart attacks gone?
quote:



Nope, nobody has noticed that because it's not true. Fake news.


It is 100% true. I know nobody in the Last month who had a heart attack, the normal flu or a stroke...you? My hospitals are coding anything suspicious as Covid 19 until proven other wise. Fact.
This post was edited on 4/19/20 at 11:21 pm
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:23 pm to
quote:

I know nobody in the Last month who had a heart attack, the normal flu or a stroke...you?
I only know one person who has had a heart attack in the last YEAR. I do know someone who had a stroke in the last month, which is actually more strokes than I've heard of in the last year. See how anecdotes work?

And flu season basically ended a month ago.
quote:

My hospitals are coding anything suspicious as Covid 19 until proven other wise. Fact.
If it walks like a duck and talks like a duck...

But are you claiming that "your" hospitals are coding heart attacks and strokes as covid? Because that's what it sounds like.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111576 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:25 pm to
quote:

I know nobody in the Last month who had a heart attack, the normal flu or a stroke...you?

Yeah. A local nursing home had a dozen patients with the flu. Good Ole plain ole flu. Took them a week to clear with the county. Then the Rona hit.

Weird how they were positive on the flu test. And then later on, different residents were positive for coronavirus.

Almost like they were testing them for different things and then they tested positive for completely different illnesses. And then they reported them to the county health department.


First we’re told that the models are way off and that there’s no way we will see hundreds of thousands dead. Then we’re told that they’re counting everything as Coronavirus.

If they were counting everything as Coronavirus, don’t you think we’d be closer to their models?
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111576 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:26 pm to
quote:

Five weeks into a nationwide coronavirus lockdown, many doctors believe the pandemic has produced a silent sub-epidemic of people who need care at hospitals but dare not come in. They include people with inflamed appendixes, infected gall bladders and bowel obstructions, and more ominously, chest pains and stroke symptoms, according to these physicians and early research.


I mean, that was one of the first sentences in the article you chose?
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35240 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:27 pm to
quote:

I know nobody in the Last month who had a heart attack, the normal flu or a stroke...you?
In the average month how many people do YOU KNOW who die of the normal flu, a heart attack, or a stroke? In fact, in a normal month how many people do you know who die?

You would have to know over 1,400 people who were representative of the entire population, to know 12 people (1 per month) to have died in a year.

I know of two (wife’s great uncle in an assisted living facility; friend’s brother in law in a Kroger parking lot) who have died of respiratory failures in the past month AND NEITHER’s death was attributed to COVID-19, despite both being unexpected.

And that includes the one who was healthy 28 year old who died in the Kroger parking lot after weeks of dealing with a respiratory illness that wasn’t diagnosed as anything specific.
This post was edited on 4/19/20 at 11:32 pm
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:28 pm to
quote:

quote:

people who need care at hospitals but dare not come in.
I mean, that was one of the first sentences in the article you chose?
That's what the whole article is about.
Posted by TigerCruise
Virginia Beach, VA
Member since Oct 2013
11898 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:31 pm to
LINK /

They keep doing antibody tests and keep finding 30%+ people have had the fricking thing.

If the mortality rate ends up being .2% or less so help these scientists
Posted by Metaloctopus
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2018
5917 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:34 pm to
quote:

First we’re told that the models are way off and that there’s no way we will see hundreds of thousands dead. Then we’re told that they’re counting everything as Coronavirus.

If they were counting everything as Coronavirus, don’t you think we’d be closer to their models?



Because without them doing this, Coronavirus is killing next to no one.

And don't be so obtuse. You know full well no one is saying that LITERALLY EVERY SINGLE DEATH is being blamed on Covid. If they went that far, they wouldn't be able to fool anyone. You have to moderate deception, otherwise you aren't very deceptive.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35240 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:35 pm to
quote:

They keep doing antibody tests and keep finding 30%+ people have had the fricking thing.
They don’t “keep finding” anything close to that.

And the antibody tests have a high false positive probability (due to the base rate), and the one used in the study linked is by far the most inaccurate test I’ve seen (about 10% positive and negative error rates).

And none of the studies have any generalizability to even their local populations (e.g., not random; recruit people more likely to infected; volunteers are even more likely to be infected than those recruited). And that study was done in an area that has a case rate 10 times the national average anyways, using a small sample.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35240 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:37 pm to
quote:

Because without them doing this, Coronavirus is killing next to no one.

Except that’s not true, and excess mortality data indicate that death totals are UNDERESTIMATING COVID-19 deaths. When it’s all said and done, we’ll likely find 1.5 to 2 times as many people died than the official case confirmed deaths. And that’s even less than the 4X (20X globally) with H1N1.
Posted by TigerCruise
Virginia Beach, VA
Member since Oct 2013
11898 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:38 pm to
They recruited people who have had 1 symptom or less in the last 4 weeks, wtf are you talking about. You bury your head in the sand and wait for the all clear from the Karens of the world
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
74078 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:42 pm to
quote:

death totals are UNDERESTIMATING COVID-19 deaths


Posted by Metaloctopus
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2018
5917 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:44 pm to
quote:

Except that’s not true, and excess mortality data indicate that death totals are UNDERESTIMATING COVID-19 deaths. When it’s all said and done, we’ll likely find 1.5 to 2 times as many people died than the official case confirmed deaths. And that’s even less than the 4X (20X globally) with H1N1


There is no excess is mortality rates. That, alone, kills this ridiculous argument.

If what you just suggested were true, the hospitals would have ACTUALLY been overwhelmed, like we were assured they would be. But it never happened.

And yet, here you are telling us the death rate is UNDERESTIMATED. I can't take you seriously with that kind of logic.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35240 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:45 pm to
quote:

They recruited people who have had 1 symptom or less in the last 4 weeks, wtf are you talking about.
No.
quote:

about half told the doctors they had had at least one symptom of COVID-19 in the past four weeks.
50% HAD AT LEAST ONE SYMPTOM. Not to mention if you had a reason to believe you were in contact with someone who had it, symptoms or not, than you would be more likely to participate.

But if 50% of a sample reported AT LEAST 1 symptom, then if you’re arguing it’s not a biased representation, then 50% of the that population also has to have had at least 1 symptom.

And even adjusting for their case rate that is 10 times the national average, that’s 5% with a symptomatic profile. Do you think 17 million people have those symptoms in a typical month?
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35240 posts
Posted on 4/19/20 at 11:48 pm to
quote:

There is no excess is mortality rates.
New York City has had 100 excess deaths PER DAY (68% above expectation; 247 vs the expected 147 per day) for an entire month EXCLUDING COVID-19 deaths (confirmed and probable combined).

The Economist is tracking excess deaths globally and it’s a trend all over. And this is despite lockdowns that have limited other common causes of deaths (like car accidents; insurance companies are even giving a rebate as a result).

Covid-19’s death toll appears higher than official figures suggest
This post was edited on 4/19/20 at 11:50 pm
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