- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Coronavirus has now killed more Americans in 1 month than flu killed in entire year
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:36 pm to Apollyon
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:36 pm to Apollyon
quote:Someone posted this: Santa Clara study and it kind of confirms my questions about what seemed a dubious study.
I got it
2
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:38 pm to Vacherie Saint
quote:It's all arbitrary.
No dude. Seasonal flu is not 8 f*cking months.
quote:Yeah, flu season starts from the "spike" in cases until it calms down. This obviously varies year to year and country to country. If we were marking the "start" of covid season as we do the flu, then there wasn't a "spike" in cases until March.
It’s a 13 week average according to the CDC. We’ve been logging Corona deaths since January.
It's just flat out dishonest to count January as the start of "covid season", while ignoring that we don't consider flu season to have started until after the cases "spike". You're starting covid at case #1, whereas flu season probably starts around case number half a million.
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:40 pm to Diamondawg
quote:
confirms my questions about what seemed a dubious study.
The question surrounds how good the antibody assay was, not how rigorous the study design was.
It all comes down to the assay.
As I said, its a fairly straight forward ELISA...
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:41 pm to Korkstand
quote:
It's just flat out dishonest to count January as the start of "covid season", while ignoring that we don't consider flu season to have started until after the cases "spike". You're starting covid at case #1, whereas flu season probably starts around case number half a million
Thats not true either.
I was always taught Oct-Mar
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:41 pm to Apollyon
quote:Definitely out of the bet where you're trying to compare 1 season plus 2 offseasons vs half of 3 flu seasons. That counts an extra 50% of flu cases!
So you're out?
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:41 pm to uppermidwestbama
quote:
It just kills obese, disease ridden old people. The same people who would be dead within 2 years.
quote:
uppermidwestbama
Never seen a more fitting username tied to a post. Good god what a moron.
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:41 pm to Diamondawg
quote:
Someone posted this: Santa Clara study and it kind of confirms my questions about what seemed a dubious study.
Yes, read that earlier.
Clearly, there is a large percentage of asymptotic infected out there and the adjusted CFR will be much lower than 3-4% but these new antibody tests are going to take some time to sort out.
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:42 pm to Korkstand
We already established you don't want to go apples to apples, even with a tenfold cushion, lol
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:43 pm to Apollyon
quote:Yep, 40k over 9 million works out to right around the 0.5% mortality that I estimate.
While limited in scope, if extrapolated nationally, the confirmed case number would exceed 9 MILLION. Not the current reported 700 THOUSAND.
Which dives the mortality rate WAY down (korkstand and buckeye).
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:44 pm to musick
quote:
Coronavirus has infected, at least, 742,459 people in the United States. That means it has a death rate of over 5%
Words can't even begin to describe how stupid you have to be to believe this.
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:44 pm to Korkstand
#offseason.
Meh. Too predictable.
You don't get to compare 18 months to 6.
And I gave you 10x cushion.
Weak.
Meh. Too predictable.
You don't get to compare 18 months to 6.
And I gave you 10x cushion.
Weak.
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:45 pm to Korkstand
quote:
Yep, 40k over 9 million works out to right around the 0.5% mortality that I estimate.
I also posited that the peak is gone, guess you don't understand that either, Mr. 500k dead
This post was edited on 4/19/20 at 7:46 pm
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:45 pm to Apollyon
quote:I do want to go apples to apples. You're now trying to go apples to apples + 50% more apples.
We already established you don't want to go apples to apples, even with a tenfold cushion, lol
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:46 pm to Grim
quote:
Coronavirus has now killed more Americans in 1 month than flu killed in enti
So, no one does of anything else now?
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:46 pm to Korkstand
Another Q: death tally US.
Say, this time next year?
Say, this time next year?
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:47 pm to Korkstand
Just ballpark it.
Humor me.
Humor me.
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:48 pm to Apollyon
quote:That's the common rule of thumb. I just now looked up what is more or less an "official" rule of thumb, where they only determine the start of the season after the fact of a spike in cases. I have not found how they define "spike".
Thats not true either.
I was always taught Oct-Mar
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:48 pm to Korkstand
quote:
Yep, 40k over 9 million works out to right around the 0.5% mortality that I estimate.
Michael Olsterholm predicted a .6% mortality rate back in February based on the data coming out of Asia and the Diamond Princess.
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:50 pm to Apollyon
quote:
Another Q: death tally US.
Say, this time next year?
Assuming no vaccine?
110,000-120,000 by December 31st.
Posted on 4/19/20 at 7:50 pm to Antonio Moss
quote:
based on the data coming out of Asia and the Diamond Princess.
Population extrapolation based on sample population. Please examine the sample demographic.
Page 15 of 19
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News