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re: CNN: The GOP are leading +5 pts ahead of midterms
Posted on 4/6/26 at 2:28 pm to hawgfaninc
Posted on 4/6/26 at 2:28 pm to hawgfaninc
Source update
0
Posted on 4/6/26 at 3:08 pm to hawgfaninc
Will just make more lazy republicans stay home. " rah rah i cant vote I gotta work today rah"
Posted on 4/6/26 at 4:40 pm to hawgfaninc
Nice!
Posted on 4/6/26 at 7:55 pm to Gusoline
I hope not
Posted on 4/6/26 at 9:14 pm to sorantable
lol
Posted on 4/6/26 at 9:17 pm to hawgfaninc
It’s hard to tell when both parties are in a race to be the most unlikeable
Posted on 4/6/26 at 9:24 pm to DyeHardDylan
Posted on 4/6/26 at 9:36 pm to hawgfaninc
No fricking voting reform though
Posted on 4/6/26 at 10:53 pm to hawgfaninc
What is he talking about? The Democrats lead every generic congressional ballot. They shouldn’t, but they do.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/generic-congressional-vote
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/generic-congressional-vote
Posted on 4/6/26 at 10:57 pm to hawgfaninc
Wait dude did you watch the clip, Republicans are at minus 5...
I watched that this morning.
Minus 5 is still good, but not plus 5...
Harry was comparing previous elections of midterm Republicans where the numbers were way worse.
Why do people do this...
Red does not mean Republican
I watched that this morning.
Minus 5 is still good, but not plus 5...
Harry was comparing previous elections of midterm Republicans where the numbers were way worse.
Why do people do this...
Red does not mean Republican
This post was edited on 4/6/26 at 11:03 pm
Posted on 4/6/26 at 11:04 pm to armtackledawg
quote:
But you can bet that if the election were held today, Dems would take the House.
If “if’s” were skiffs, I’d be banging your mom in Lafitte.
Posted on 4/6/26 at 11:36 pm to UtahCajun
quote:
Everything I have seen has the GOP keeping the Senate with a slim margin.
Where do you see that?The prediction/betting markets have us losing the senate now too. No they aren't always right but more often than not they are.
This post was edited on 4/6/26 at 11:38 pm
Posted on 4/7/26 at 8:29 am to Powerman
Powerbottom crying so it must be good news
Posted on 4/7/26 at 8:54 am to junkyarddawg3
No. It is not a "change over time." - the poll is a favorabilty poll just like a "do you approve of x" poll
It may be that 95% of electorate approve of Democrats and 100% approve of Republicans; 0% have favorable view of Democrats and 5% Republicans; or anything in between - just that Repubicans are up 5 points over Democrats.
Also, Republicans can be up 5 in favorability but down a lot in a generic race. Just think only 30% of electorate have a favorable view of either party and the other 70% break for an actual Democratic candidate 80-20. Democrat wins in landslide despite party being down 5 in favorability.
It may be that 95% of electorate approve of Democrats and 100% approve of Republicans; 0% have favorable view of Democrats and 5% Republicans; or anything in between - just that Repubicans are up 5 points over Democrats.
Also, Republicans can be up 5 in favorability but down a lot in a generic race. Just think only 30% of electorate have a favorable view of either party and the other 70% break for an actual Democratic candidate 80-20. Democrat wins in landslide despite party being down 5 in favorability.
Posted on 4/7/26 at 9:40 am to JimEverett
Good points
Posted on 4/7/26 at 11:01 am to JimEverett
quote:
No. It is not a "change over time." - the poll is a favorabilty poll just like a "do you approve of x" poll It may be that 95% of electorate approve of Democrats and 100% approve of Republicans; 0% have favorable view of Democrats and 5% Republicans; or anything in between - just that Repubicans are up 5 points over Democrats. Also, Republicans can be up 5 in favorability but down a lot in a generic race. Just think only 30% of electorate have a favorable view of either party and the other 70% break for an actual Democratic candidate 80-20. Democrat wins in landslide despite party being down 5 in favorability.
Interesting. I appreciate your time and effort.
I know nothing about polls. But then, I don’t care enough about the topic enough to learn.
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