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Battleground States for 2028
Posted on 11/7/24 at 8:00 pm
Posted on 11/7/24 at 8:00 pm
The map is extremely favorable for Republicans.
It's safe to say all 7 swing states from this cycle (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada) will once again be considered swing states in 2028.
Nevada and Pennsylvania are trending Republican.
Georgia is the only state on the list that is trending Democrat.
I don't see the Democrats playing offense at all, there are no other states that went Trump they will even attempt to flip.
However there are a few blue states that were close enough Republicans could think about playing offense. New Hampshire, New Jersey, and New Mexico are candidates. Minnesota and Virginia were also "close" but are fools gold to chase IMO.
Regardless, assuming Trump's presidency is successful and the country is in good shape, the map seems favorable.
It's safe to say all 7 swing states from this cycle (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada) will once again be considered swing states in 2028.
Nevada and Pennsylvania are trending Republican.
Georgia is the only state on the list that is trending Democrat.
I don't see the Democrats playing offense at all, there are no other states that went Trump they will even attempt to flip.
However there are a few blue states that were close enough Republicans could think about playing offense. New Hampshire, New Jersey, and New Mexico are candidates. Minnesota and Virginia were also "close" but are fools gold to chase IMO.
Regardless, assuming Trump's presidency is successful and the country is in good shape, the map seems favorable.
7
Posted on 11/7/24 at 8:03 pm to StansberryRules
If enough bureaucrats are given walking papers northern va may no longer control elections
Posted on 11/7/24 at 8:09 pm to StansberryRules
quote:
Minnesota and Virginia were also "close" but are fools gold to chase IMO.
PA was fool's gold before 2016.
Posted on 11/7/24 at 8:16 pm to StansberryRules
We're gonna have to play defense in North Carolina again. Libs continue to migrate to Asheville, Charlotte, Research Triangle and the coast. But local Conservatives stay in the state and this election rattled their cage.
But the strategy going forward is twofold:
(1) the Ohio-fication of the Rust Belt.
(2) the continued conversion of Hispanics
Accomplish those two goals and nothing else matters. The predilections of central Virginians and 'This old House" New Hampshirites can do as they please.
Posted on 11/7/24 at 8:20 pm to AUFANATL
When will Oklahoma finally produce a blue county?
Posted on 11/7/24 at 8:23 pm to Srbtiger06
quote:
PA was fool's gold before 2016.
I made a meme where Pennsylvania was a football, the GOP nominee each cycle was Charlie Brown, and Lucy kept pulling it away.
Posted on 11/7/24 at 8:23 pm to StansberryRules
New Jersey could start to turn, especially if Trump can continue to make inroads in Essex (Newark) and Hudson (Jersey City) because he improved markedly from 2020 in those counties. If Republicans can expand Trump’s margins in the 5 counties that flipped from last election, it will be close. New Jersey could also elect a Republican Governor next election. They came close last election and people are outraged at the cost of living and local issues like the Democrat’s push for offshore wind.
Posted on 11/7/24 at 8:23 pm to Lynxrufus2012
Virginia will be red for a looong time if Trump 1. Eliminates or guts agencies 2. Spreads them across the country.
Posted on 11/7/24 at 8:28 pm to StansberryRules
Good way to visualize swing states
The states int he middlish are the ones that will be flip candidates.
Republicans have a nice cushion on their states, way more Blue states approaching the line.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. The states int he middlish are the ones that will be flip candidates.
Republicans have a nice cushion on their states, way more Blue states approaching the line.
Posted on 11/7/24 at 8:30 pm to tarzana
Never. They aren’t stupid.
Posted on 11/7/24 at 8:32 pm to StansberryRules
Georgia , Arizona , Pennsylvania and Nevada also have democrat senators up for re election in 2028 . I would think those states could get a little more focus . Especially if we win one or both of Arizona and Nevada this year . We are at 53 now and I would think Kemp runs in 2024 and wins Georgia back .
Posted on 11/7/24 at 8:33 pm to StansberryRules
New Jersey would be cool.
Posted on 11/7/24 at 8:47 pm to themunch
Population is trending southern, more than northern. Can't let libs invade North Carolina. Would love to somehow get Virginia but you would need to dismantle government agencies there.
Posted on 11/7/24 at 8:48 pm to StansberryRules
Texas and Florida, the second and third most populous states becoming more red, substantially this cycle is a shock. And they're both heavily urbanized
Posted on 11/7/24 at 9:11 pm to tarzana
In this many days. 
Posted on 11/7/24 at 9:19 pm to StansberryRules
Very favorable Senate map n 2028 if you can get through the tough 2026
Can take that GA seat back and with voter ID, NV is winnable. Fetterman's seat will be up in PA and that's Vance's seat in Ohio.
Can take that GA seat back and with voter ID, NV is winnable. Fetterman's seat will be up in PA and that's Vance's seat in Ohio.
This post was edited on 11/7/24 at 9:21 pm
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