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Message
re: Arizona Early Vote: Republicans Surge to +163,345
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:18 am to Billy Blanks
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:18 am to Billy Blanks
quote:
Anyone concerned that the good polling numbers might be due to all the early voting?
polls are polls
early voting data is early voting data
they're two completely different things
0
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:31 am to John Barron
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:31 am to Clemsontigers02
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:09 am to deltaland
quote:
PA Dems had a 1.1 million firewall going into Election Day in 2020. They only have a 380k firewall this time. They need a 800k EV lead to have a shot
This relies on a ton of assumptions about day-of voting. The issue is it is being compared to 2020 Covid election, which was a historic outlier in regards to EV and mail-in vote trends in addition to the two campaigns complete reversals of how they treat EV and mail-in voting.
This post was edited on 11/1/24 at 7:11 am
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