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Are these 2020 presidential odds reversed?

Posted on 2/3/20 at 10:56 am
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16854 posts
Posted on 2/3/20 at 10:56 am
Trump to win the president is at -190. You you have to lay 190 to win 100.


But there’s another one where if you select Republican Party to win, it’s only -160.

Wouldn’t the republican option be the better way to go?
Posted by Turbeauxdog
Member since Aug 2004
23175 posts
Posted on 2/3/20 at 10:57 am to
quote:

But there’s another one where if you select Republican Party to win, it’s only -160.

Wouldn’t the republican option be the better way to go?



Small risk premium for trump not running for whatever reason.

shite I screwed up
This post was edited on 2/3/20 at 12:09 pm
Posted by dcbl
Good guys wear white hats.
Member since Sep 2013
29676 posts
Posted on 2/3/20 at 10:57 am to
yes
Posted by HurricaneTiger
Coral Gables, FL
Member since Jan 2014
3028 posts
Posted on 2/3/20 at 10:58 am to
If (BIG if) Trump gets impeached, then another republican would run. Therefore, slightly less odds.

That small drop shows how likely they think impeachment is btw.
Posted by BayBengal9
Bay St. Louis, MS
Member since Nov 2019
4171 posts
Posted on 2/3/20 at 11:03 am to
Not necessarily true. Trump could run again, even if impeached.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16854 posts
Posted on 2/3/20 at 11:03 am to
It’s better odds. Because republican includes Trump, Pence, or whoever. And you’re paying less premium for more possible candidates. Whereas you’re paying a higher premium for only trump.
Posted by Pigimus Prime
Arkansas
Member since Feb 2012
4086 posts
Posted on 2/3/20 at 11:10 am to
quote:

Trump gets impeached


I hate to be the bearer of bad news...
Posted by Meauxjeaux
98836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
39933 posts
Posted on 2/3/20 at 11:19 am to
So Trump! gets impeached and removed from office. He’s gone for about 6 months and then elected again.... loloooolllololoooll
Posted by MOT
Member since Jul 2006
27815 posts
Posted on 2/3/20 at 11:25 am to
Yes, it has to be a mistake.

On the site I use it’s listed the way it should be with the higher premium being on the “republican”, but the difference isn’t as large.
This post was edited on 2/3/20 at 11:27 am
Posted by AggieHank86
Texas
Member since Sep 2013
42941 posts
Posted on 2/3/20 at 11:32 am to
I find myself wondering “Who goes to Vegas to bet on elections?”
Posted by keakar
Member since Jan 2017
29999 posts
Posted on 2/3/20 at 12:01 pm to
maybe that republican party line means as a whole group including congress?

its far less certain rinos will win as they will be primaried and anything can happen with that and just look at louisiana as an example of an unelectable dimrat edwards winning because abrahms supporters stayed home
This post was edited on 2/3/20 at 12:03 pm
Posted by BamaPig
Gulf Coast,Alabama
Member since Jan 2020
1314 posts
Posted on 2/3/20 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

If (BIG if) Trump gets impeached


Breaking News

Not happening

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