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Posted on 4/9/25 at 12:26 am to thelawnwranglers
Maybe speculate on TLT a bit if you’re bettting on quick decline in rates.
Posted on 4/9/25 at 12:28 am to SDVTiger
quote:
They have to be dumping massive amoubts for that bounce its insane
As I’ve asked for weeks and no one here can explain - even if China dumped its entire holdings, it’s less than 1/12th of what the US needs to refinance in the next 10 months. How are we to lock in these “low” rates hypothesized here if China can move the market 50 basis points by dumping their pittance?
Keep in mind, they only own $700B altogether, and a much lower amount in long term treasuries. The entire “let’s refinance the debt at low levels for long terms” narrative is clueless to the actual market for long term treasuries.
This post was edited on 4/9/25 at 12:32 am
Posted on 4/9/25 at 12:30 am to OU Guy
quote:
Gold
Is down 4% since the tariffs were announced.
Posted on 4/9/25 at 12:32 am to slackster
I guess there’s always crypto then.
Posted on 4/9/25 at 12:34 am to Riverside
Ain’t pretty there either.
Posted on 4/9/25 at 1:09 am to slackster
Posted on 4/9/25 at 5:42 am to SaturatedPhat
quote:
Is Powell sleeping?
Probably making a "powerful" speech somewhere.
Posted on 4/9/25 at 5:50 am to SaturatedPhat
quote:
Is Powell sleeping?
Most likely, it’s late.
Posted on 4/9/25 at 7:26 am to thelawnwranglers
quote:
am sure market will recover - hence I am not willing to sale equities to buy treasuries
Did you mean ‘sell’?
Or do you plan to “run a special” on equities? Maybe 25% off would be a good sale.
Posted on 4/9/25 at 7:38 am to slackster
quote:
Oh my. Some of you are dumber than I thought.
Are you suggesting that short term interest rates set by the Federal Reserve have no impact on longer term interest rates? If that's what you're saying, I wouldn't be too aggressive about criticizing other posters' intellect.
This post was edited on 4/9/25 at 7:39 am
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