100 Days: Democrats see clear path to Senate majority

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Democrats have a clear path to winning back the Senate majority with just 100 days to go before Election Day, a result that could give the party total control of Congress and the White House if presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden also wins.

Biden has built up a significant lead over President Trump in polls, and his strength coupled with Trump’s weakness is lifting Democratic candidates across the country. Democrats lead in polls in Arizona, Colorado, Maine and North Carolina, enough to win back the Senate if Biden takes over the White House even if Sen. Doug Jones (D) loses his underdog reelection bid in Alabama.

Yet there are even more opportunities for Democrats, underscoring the rising fortunes for their party. Sen. Steve Daines (R-Mont.) is facing a difficult reelection battle against his state’s Democratic governor, and on Thursday the Cook Political Report shifted two more Senate races — one in Iowa and one in Georgia — into the "tossup" column.

Democrats are raising huge sums of money, ensuring the party will have the coffers to compete this fall and underscoring enthusiasm among its voters. Republicans in Kansas, South Carolina and Kentucky, all states where the GOP will be favored, have races where Democrats can’t be counted out.

“We’re in a bad place right now,” one veteran Republican Senate campaign operative said. “Unless this bounces back, [Sen. Cory] Gardner (R-Colo.) is gone, [Sen. Martha] McSally (R-Ariz.) is gone, it’s not hard to see [Sen. Susan] Collins (R-Maine) and [Sen. Thom] Tillis (R-N.C.) losing.”

Those four GOP incumbents — Gardner, McSally, Collins and Tillis — are among Senate Democrats’ top electoral targets this cycle,

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[Sen. Cory] Gardner (R-Colo.) is gone, [Sen. Martha] McSally (R-Ariz.) is gone, it’s not hard to see [Sen. Susan] Collins (R-Maine) and [Sen. Thom] Tillis (R-N.C.) losing.”

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