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Posted on 5/22/19 at 9:18 pm to
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 5/22/19 at 9:18 pm to
River changes course for good
Morgan city is gone
Mississippi River we currently know (downstream of ORCS) will begin to silt in
Navigation and shipping is vastly affected.
Salt water wedge pushes up the Mississippi River to nola possibly cutting freshwater supply all up and down the river
Sooooo not good

Not to mention all of the infrastructure such as bridges in the Atchafalaya floodplain that are not designed for the full flow of the River that may fail. So 90 could conceivably be shut down.
This post was edited on 5/22/19 at 9:21 pm
Posted by LSUDAN1
Member since Oct 2010
8973 posts
Posted on 5/22/19 at 9:22 pm to
It's called a Spillway for a reason. Everyone knew this when they built camps and other structures in it.
Posted by upgrade
Member since Jul 2011
13028 posts
Posted on 5/22/19 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

Need some dredging or diversions. Quick



I think they need to study those diversions for 100-400 more years before we can break ground on them.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 5/22/19 at 9:28 pm to
Diversions downstream of NOLA won’t help in this situation. Unless you mean diversions at or upstream of ORCS
Posted by upgrade
Member since Jul 2011
13028 posts
Posted on 5/22/19 at 9:33 pm to
The crazy thing is, 2011 was the highest the river has been in my lifetime. At the time I was working on a dock on the river. The very next year, the river was so low, barge tows above Baton Rouge were having to break down in order to navigate.
Posted by bakersman
Grant parish
Member since Apr 2011
5711 posts
Posted on 5/22/19 at 9:55 pm to
It will open. The levees have been holding flood waters for too. Levees are saturated and under tremendous stress. This is the longest that the Mississippi has been above flood stage in history
Posted by shawnlsu
Member since Nov 2011
23682 posts
Posted on 5/22/19 at 10:05 pm to
And the spillway itself is already in flood stage unlike the last time they opened it and the spillway was bone dry. This one's gonna hurt.
This post was edited on 5/22/19 at 10:06 pm
Posted by bakersman
Grant parish
Member since Apr 2011
5711 posts
Posted on 5/22/19 at 10:18 pm to
On top of that, the red River is above flood stage from 3 rivers all the way north. Which was not the case in 2011. I’ve been saying since January that this flood season will be a bad one , and here we are
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 5/22/19 at 10:25 pm to
quote:

And the spillway itself is already in flood stage unlike the last time they opened it and the spillway was bone dry. This one's gonna hur


Yea this is the big issue. They have flooding there right now they didn’t have when it was opened last time. When they add to it they are gonna have some real problems
Posted by jimjackandjose
Member since Jun 2011
6496 posts
Posted on 5/22/19 at 11:13 pm to
Didn’t some guy post and say an old timer said it was gonna flood


Also, I was referring to diversions upstream of orcs. Make 2 rivers at this point
Posted by TigerBait413
CenLA
Member since Sep 2011
3280 posts
Posted on 5/22/19 at 11:47 pm to
Just seen where they are predicting 7-8” of rain in Iowa the next few days so not going to get any better soon.
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 5/23/19 at 12:57 am to
Yep that was me. I’ll try and find my post and link it tomorrow. I got a lot of shite on here for it
Posted by celltech1981
Member since Jul 2014
8139 posts
Posted on 5/23/19 at 4:25 am to
quote:

And dude did you intentionally remove the word may from what you quoted in the text?


No, I straight up copy pasted the text. The title wouldn't copy right on my phone so i typed that.

Posted by LSURoss
SWLAish
Member since Dec 2007
15317 posts
Posted on 5/23/19 at 6:50 am to
Well we are headed to Belle River to sandbag. God speed to everyone.
Posted by celltech1981
Member since Jul 2014
8139 posts
Posted on 5/23/19 at 7:14 am to
quote:

celltech is good people. Not sure why he would do that




they changed the article up on me after I posted lol
Posted by deaconjones35
Thibodaux
Member since Sep 2009
9802 posts
Posted on 5/23/19 at 7:40 am to
There’s been water on the road by the Dow plant on Hwy 70 for two weeks now. Never seen it like that before. Opening the spillway will help that water recede or make it worse?
Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
66763 posts
Posted on 5/23/19 at 7:44 am to
Worse.

Opening the spillway helps the ms river levee system below the control structure. That's it. Everything down that way is going to be affected my dramatically increased flow in the atchafalaya
This post was edited on 5/23/19 at 7:45 am
Posted by shawnlsu
Member since Nov 2011
23682 posts
Posted on 5/23/19 at 7:46 am to
My post from the other thread:
quote:

ETA: also, won’t the opening of the morganza help the belle river/ verret area, while hurting the areas around morganza?


quote:

Quite the opposite. The lower Grand turns into Belle river and all that flows down to Morgan city and into the spillway via Bayou Chene. My camp has had 3' of water around it for a week. When the spillway is high, all that water drains painfully slow. When they sink that barge and block the drainage, any new rains will make the already flooded rivers rise faster and more.
It's a fricked up situation all around.
Posted by choupiquesushi
yaton rouge
Member since Jun 2006
30549 posts
Posted on 5/23/19 at 7:58 am to
quote:

onder if this will flood the higs out of sherburne
brings more
Posted by mikeytig
NE of Tiger Stadium
Member since Nov 2007
7075 posts
Posted on 5/23/19 at 9:04 am to
quote:

Opening the spillway helps the ms river levee system below the control structure. That's it. Everything down that way is going to be affected my dramatically increased flow in the atchafalaya


This is just not true. Most of the damage being done is backwater off river flooding - other side of the levee- which cant go anywhere because of the high river. Opening Morganza will not only lower the river but almost overnight take this backwater out.

Its sad when politics gets involved but this is very much the case with Morganza. There is a lot of big money invested in camps/farmland in Morganza and there were several times in the last 4-5 years when it should have been opened and it wasn't.
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