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re: What’s the current death rate of covid for the average adult?

Posted on 7/3/20 at 11:52 pm to
Posted by PetroBabich
Donetsk Oblast
Member since Apr 2017
5176 posts
Posted on 7/3/20 at 11:52 pm to
Everyone who gets it dies. It's 100 percent fatal.
Posted by Tigris
Cloud Cuckoo Land
Member since Jul 2005
13235 posts
Posted on 7/4/20 at 6:08 am to
On a long enough time line, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero.
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
54243 posts
Posted on 7/4/20 at 6:18 am to
Less than 1 in 10000 under 50 no comorbidity
Posted by WylieTiger
Member since Nov 2006
14806 posts
Posted on 7/4/20 at 6:33 am to
The CDC has screwed numbers, though. They count a posiitive antibody test as an active case. Also, one person can have 5 tests and if the have 5 positive results, they are counted 5 times.
Posted by MikeBRLA
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2005
17243 posts
Posted on 7/4/20 at 6:56 am to
quote:

Everyone who gets it dies. It's 100 percent fatal.


Would t surprise me if that was an actual CNN headline.
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
31599 posts
Posted on 7/4/20 at 7:02 am to
I’m sure not accurate but: LINK


quote:


We don't know what percentage of the population in this age group has an underlying condition, so at this time we are not able to accurately estimate the fatality rate for the under 65 years old and healthy.

But we can calculate it for the entire population under 65 years old (both healthy and unhealthy): with 6,188 deaths (26% of the total deaths in all age groups) occurring in this age group, of which 5,498 deaths (89%) in patients with a known underlying condition, the crude mortality rate to date will correspond to 6,188 / 7,214,525 = 0.09% CMR, or 86 deaths per 100,000 population (compared to 0.28% and 279 deaths per 100,000 for the general population).

So far there has been 1 death every 1,166 people under 65 years old (compared to 1 death every 358 people in the general population). And 89% of the times, the person who died had one or more underlying medical conditions.

Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
3181 posts
Posted on 7/4/20 at 8:52 am to
Case fatality rate for Dept of Defense (Active duty, reserves, dependents, civilian employees, and contractors) is .2%

Case fatality among health care providers is .5%

These groups are generally healthy people under 65.

In ochsner's antibody test their were about 5 times more health care providers that had antibodies than counted as cases.

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