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re: US special forces soldier charged after winning $400,000 betting on the removal of Maduro

Posted on 4/24/26 at 11:31 am to
Posted by AkronTiger
2025 NFL Survivor Champion
Member since May 2021
2959 posts
Posted on 4/24/26 at 11:31 am to
Pretty similar to what sitting congressman and senators do every day with stocks.

Two tier justice system
Posted by grape nutz
sesame street
Member since Mar 2006
3982 posts
Posted on 4/24/26 at 11:47 am to
The guy is executive branch. Just no favors on the bottom rung. Really sucks his savings are gone. Now he's gonna go in debt hiring lawyers.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
80947 posts
Posted on 4/24/26 at 11:58 am to
quote:

My only issue is that he was displaying early information of one of the greatest covert operations of all time. And it could have gotten a ton of soldiers killed. A good intelligence service could have noticed and would have been on high alert. They show up to the compound and the choppers get rpged or something. I am assuming he did it before hand and not after (but before it was publically known).


Agree - it's good to bet on yourself but if someone had noticed, they might have realized he knew something.
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5062 posts
Posted on 4/24/26 at 12:01 pm to
It’s no different than a professional player betting on his team to win the game. Now if he bet against Maduro getting captured that would be different.
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
63834 posts
Posted on 4/24/26 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

It’s no different than a professional player betting on his team to win the game.


Of course it’s different.
Posted by ATrillionaire
Houston
Member since Sep 2008
3302 posts
Posted on 4/24/26 at 12:05 pm to
Comments are confusing. People who aren't ok with Congress doing it are ok with the soldier doing it.

Maybe, instead of excusing the soldier's behavior, the comments should demand more accountability from Congress.
Posted by SulphursFinest
Lafayette
Member since Jan 2015
11707 posts
Posted on 4/24/26 at 12:45 pm to
Meanwhile Eric Trump inks $24 million deal with Pentagon for his new company
Posted by JoeyP239
Member since Nov 2025
1265 posts
Posted on 4/24/26 at 6:09 pm to
quote:

He traded on non-public government information.


Kalshi isn’t the stock market tho.

When you decide to wager there it should be implied that someone else may know more than you do.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30524 posts
Posted on 4/24/26 at 6:24 pm to
I am basically ambivalent as to what happens to him later, but he should be separated immediately, period. OpSec is incredibly important.

Maybe not Venezuela, but definitely countries like China, Russia, and yes, Iran have very sophisticated internet departments, and they are likely monitoring things this. While some forewarning might not turn the tide, it might result in US deaths, injuries, or loss of millions of dollars of equipment.

This could be an inflection point to use to change the congressional rules. The increase in oil and MIC trading before we attacked Iran very well could have given them a clue that allowed them to be better prepared. Again, it didn't change the outcome but there may have been deaths and destruction that would not have occurred otherwise.

Breaches of OpSec can NOT be ignored.

Posted by rintintin
Life is Life
Member since Nov 2008
17066 posts
Posted on 4/24/26 at 6:30 pm to
quote:

Comments are confusing. People who aren't ok with Congress doing it are ok with the soldier doing it.

Maybe, instead of excusing the soldier's behavior, the comments should demand more accountability from Congress.


People are not ok with him being prosecuted for it. He's playing by the same rules as our lawmakers and being punished for it.
Posted by jamarr
Member since Jul 2019
1767 posts
Posted on 4/24/26 at 6:37 pm to
quote:

He didn't reveal any secrets he didn't disclose anything


of course he did. prediction markets do just that, predict.

if you are a bad guy and suddenly people start betting on your capture, you should run.

its clearly a security breach.

I dunno what penalty it should be, maybe a slap on the wrist. buts wrong. its a secret mission.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182567 posts
Posted on 4/24/26 at 7:27 pm to
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