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re: US Military Vs Civilians

Posted on 10/4/17 at 3:43 pm to
Posted by Lakeboy7
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2011
28324 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 3:43 pm to
quote:

take and hold the continental U.S


Good god, why in the world would you want to take and hold anything? sit on your well stocked bases and wait for the grocery stores to empty and then then turn the lights out, it would be over in 5-7 days.

The biggest problem would be administratively processing all those wanting to surrender.

And can we please not compare modern American civilians to the North Vietnamese of the 60s, you know the guys (and girls) that fought the Japanese, French and Americans. Probably a little more salty than an modern American Patriot.
Posted by AbuTheMonkey
Chicago, IL
Member since May 2014
8641 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

Good god, why in the world would you want to take and hold anything? sit on your well stocked bases and wait for the grocery stores to empty and then then turn the lights out, it would be over in 5-7 days.

The biggest problem would be administratively processing all those wanting to surrender.

And can we please not compare modern American civilians to the North Vietnamese of the 60s, you know the guys (and girls) that fought the Japanese, French and Americans. Probably a little more salty than an modern American Patriot.


That is also pretty idiotic. Sitting on bases for a few weeks? They aren't that well-stocked, for starters. And they would have to quickly turn to some sort of civilian logistics (farms, food production, etc.) for food as well. They don't operate in a vacuum. They'd have to occupy key logistics points all over the country very quickly, and a couple hundreds thousand armor and infantry guys aren't going to get it done in a country the size of the U.S., especially with as many people as we have if the population is truly motivated and turned on them. They'd be lucky to control a quarter of the country.
Posted by Lakeboy7
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2011
28324 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

They'd be lucky to control a quarter of the country.



You DONT have to control anything, ever read Lord of the Flies?
Posted by Napoleon
Kenna
Member since Dec 2007
74216 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 3:56 pm to
You can't assume that the military wouldn't switch sides.
Posted by SoFla Tideroller
South Florida
Member since Apr 2010
40847 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 3:58 pm to
If you had a population willing to fight, civilians win. Modern America where people bitch if their power is not restored within 24 hours after a hurricane? Toss up.
Posted by AbuTheMonkey
Chicago, IL
Member since May 2014
8641 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

quote:
They'd be lucky to control a quarter of the country.


You DONT have to control anything, ever read Lord of the Flies?


The military doesn't have anywhere close to the numbers to control anything meaningful beyond 20 to 25% of the country, and that's being generous. Important logistics nodes, bridges, communications centers, on and on and on. The country is far too big for for that.

Think about Chicago: you'd need at least a full BCT just to control important spots in and around O'Hare. That's without getting into all of the highways, expressways, huge distribution warehouses, refineries, bridges, railroad hubs, airports big (MDW and ORD) and small, ports, server farms, and on and on just in Chicago metro. You're probably looking at at least 2, and more likely 3, full divisions just to control important points of contact just in Chicago metro. Oh, and the closest fighting formation is 500 miles away at Fort Campbell. A quarter of your entire combat power required just to hold the key points in one large metropolitan area.

The military just isn't even close to big enough - and there aren't anywhere near enough air or ISR assets - to try to take more than a part of the country unless it resorted to nuclear weapons. It would need to scale 5X to 10X to actually have a shot.
This post was edited on 10/4/17 at 4:09 pm
Posted by Lakeboy7
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2011
28324 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

Important logistics nodes, bridges, communications centers, on and on and on. The country is far too big for for that.


I hear you man and I think we are talking past each other, cheers.
Posted by crash1211
Houma
Member since May 2008
3709 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

Exactly, the idea that a bunch of inbred country bumpkins could stop trained professional and very well equipped soldiers because they hunt and shoot all the time is a fricking pipe dream.


Yeah, what were those arse holes in 1776 thinking?
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102585 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 4:21 pm to
A lot of military would jump ship and side with the citizens.

I would imagine this would lead to the defectors/citizens taking over some military bases and its equipment. Particularly in the south
Posted by ctiger69
Member since May 2005
31030 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 4:43 pm to
quote:

A lot of military would jump ship and side with the citizens.


Exactly. All of these American soilders are from America with family and friends back home. Do you think they will just follow orders and shoot kill other soilder's families while at the same time worried if their own family is ok?? What do you think they are going to do when their own family or friends are attacked by the military sworn to defend them? Probably 80% of the military will jump sides immediately or just flat out refuse the orders.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

The "rules" we placed on our military placed them in a very unfair disadvantage. Doubtful those would ever be put into place in such a scenario as a citizen uprising.


What rules? Don't kill civilians?

I mean even if you say you will take the gloves off... We projected that we would need a kill ratio of 10:1 to win in Vietnam. I'm pretty sure we got close to that and still couldn't gain control.

Now in the US that would translate to a kill ratio of 30:1 if we are talking 60 mil resistance fighters. And that is probably drastically underestimating what you would need just like in Vietnam.

I'm comparing to Vietnam because it involves resistance fighters mixed in with normal citizens and guerilla warfare
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 4:58 pm to
Ok let's slightly modify the question.

New scenario... Our military is completely incapacitated. Zero military or military assets.

Could 2 mil Russian soldiers and the Russian military take over the US?
Posted by sgallo3
Lake Charles
Member since Sep 2008
27030 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

More than 15,000 active-duty, Air Force Reserve members and civilians make up Barksdale's workforce. About 44 B-52 Stratofortress aircraft are also assigned to the wing.



OT baws would have that air base taken over in the first week, only problem would be getting the rest of the country to target their nearest air force base asap. the Navy would still frick our shite up tho, but at least we would have some retired pilots with bombers to fight back
Posted by crimsonsaint
Member since Nov 2009
37831 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 5:33 pm to
quote:

You'd also probably have 40% (if not even more) of the military refusing to fight an all out war against US civilians.


And just how many civilians do you think would step up to the plate against the US military?
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
25790 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 5:41 pm to
quote:

Ok let's slightly modify the question.

New scenario... Our military is completely incapacitated. Zero military or military assets.

Could 2 mil Russian soldiers and the Russian military take over the US?


Still no. It is logistics and people. 2 million cannot control 300 million.
Posted by jackmanusc
Columbia, SC
Member since Apr 2012
3948 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 5:46 pm to
Civilians win. No battles, disrupt supply lines and engage in a Fabian style strategic plan
Posted by northshorebamaman
Mackinac Island
Member since Jul 2009
38301 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 5:55 pm to
quote:


Just like they did in Iraq or Afghanistan?

People keep bringing this and Vietnam up but I'm assuming in the OP's scenario that it's a total war. Had the we fought a total war in Iraq or Afghanistan we could have literally leveled everything but the Office of Tourism ("See the ruins!").

Political considerations, not lack of capability, are the reasons those countries still exist.
Posted by GulfstreamTiger
Sondheimer Louisiana
Member since May 2017
796 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 5:58 pm to
Who wins? I assume you are asking about US citizens.

The law of the land and what it says about the use of the military against its own people. That's who wins.
This post was edited on 10/4/17 at 6:00 pm
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 6:02 pm to
quote:

Still no. It is logistics and people. 2 million cannot control 300 million.


Agree. It was actually a set up question, if you say no to Russians taking over America but yes to Americans taking over America then you are going to have to demonstrate how we have that much of an advantage over the Russian army in this type of war.

Aircraft carriers don't help you
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 6:04 pm to
quote:

People keep bringing this and Vietnam up but I'm assuming in the OP's scenario that it's a total war. Had the we fought a total war in Iraq or Afghanistan we could have literally leveled everything but the Office of Tourism ("See the ruins!").


Correct. That's why we keep asking everyone to specify if the aggressor cares about civilian deaths.

The "handcuffs" of total war you refer to were a result of trying to limit civilian deaths
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