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Message
re: Tropical Storm Cindy
Posted on 6/17/17 at 2:07 pm to jcaz
Posted on 6/17/17 at 2:07 pm to jcaz
quote:
What kind of intensity do you think we'll see? Weak tropical system, strong tropical storm, Cat 1?
Even with the model spread, both the GFS and Euro keep this thing relatively weak. Doesn't get below 1000 mb with either.
1
Posted on 6/17/17 at 2:16 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
What kind of intensity do you think we'll see? Weak tropical system, strong tropical storm, Cat 1?
Even with the model spread, both the GFS and Euro keep this thing relatively weak. Doesn't get below 1000 mb with either.
I posted this earlier, but it was at the dreaded position of being at the bottom of the page, thus I doubt as many saw it.
This chart shows a bit about a comparison of mb values and hurricane strength. a 1000 mb storm could reach possibly a weak cat 1 hurricane, most likely still a TS
Posted on 6/17/17 at 2:55 pm to East Coast Band
There is not yet much warm water depth in the northern and western GOM to support a strong system. The upper 990s is about all this thing will be able to drop.
Posted on 6/17/17 at 3:45 pm to Ba Ba Boooey
Well, that's kind of what I'm looking for... casual expert opinion without the forum environment.
Yknow, like the weather channel but with 95% less idiots/shite I don't care about and 99% less advertising.
I love these threads, not trying to detract from here or take anything away. I would just like to be able to see rds/geaux/supernova's opinions on the storms without wading through 3 pages of comments.
Yknow, like the weather channel but with 95% less idiots/shite I don't care about and 99% less advertising.
I love these threads, not trying to detract from here or take anything away. I would just like to be able to see rds/geaux/supernova's opinions on the storms without wading through 3 pages of comments.
Posted on 6/17/17 at 3:47 pm to Fatty Magoo
ctrl + F and type in their username
Posted on 6/17/17 at 4:16 pm to Fatty Magoo
quote:
weather channel
quote:
99% less advertising
Still would be too much.
weather.gov > weather.com
Posted on 6/17/17 at 5:30 pm to NorthEndZone
I'm in punta Cain what's the status?
Posted on 6/17/17 at 8:04 pm to NorthEndZone
18Z GEFS has the projected paths tightening up.
Posted on 6/17/17 at 9:30 pm to jcaz
00z model suite really narrowed the potential path down. *sarcasm*
Posted on 6/17/17 at 10:14 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
These models are initializing on a spot that isn't defined yet. Until a plane goes down these tracks are as good as the screen they are shown on.
Posted on 6/17/17 at 10:17 pm to dukesilver72
quote:
These models are initializing on a spot that isn't defined yet. Until a plane goes down these tracks are as good as the screen they are shown on.
True. NHC may be sending a plane in to it tomorrow, based on their latest update.
Posted on 6/17/17 at 11:16 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
The GFS Para refuses to fold! 
Posted on 6/17/17 at 11:23 pm to rds dc
So GFS Para gonna look like a genius, or it will be a big time bust with this system.
Posted on 6/17/17 at 11:28 pm to lsuman25
quote:
So GFS Para gonna look like a genius, or it will be a big time bust with this system.
The GFS Para is resolving the upper levels differently than the Euro. This is resulting in a new "center" forming well off to the NE of where the models are currently looking.
Posted on 6/17/17 at 11:28 pm to rds dc
So there's a chance we'll get two storms back to back?
Posted on 6/17/17 at 11:29 pm to lsuman25
quote:
So GFS Para gonna look like a genius, or it will be a big time bust with this system.
Hopefully it verifies at least better than the operational GFS -- simply cause the meteorology community hates it and this might get them on board, and it will make it not a total waste of time and money.
Posted on 6/17/17 at 11:29 pm to rds dc
Gotcha, thanks for explaining that.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 1:30 am to lsuman25
Sunday 1:00 A.M. CDT (0600z)
Low pressure in NW Caribbean near 17.6 N 87.3 W. 60NM East of Northern coast of Belize per NHC.
current pressure at 0600z 1006mb (29.70in/hg).
Low pressure in NW Caribbean near 17.6 N 87.3 W. 60NM East of Northern coast of Belize per NHC.
current pressure at 0600z 1006mb (29.70in/hg).
Posted on 6/18/17 at 1:34 am to rds dc
Hopefully it takes down those awful confederate statues in New Orleans.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 2:12 am to jcaz
Right up terrebone parish. Someone tell Martin to go get his stick.
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