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re: Tornado! Rampaging Tri-State TX-LA-MS - Threat Continues Overnight

Posted on 4/22/20 at 11:26 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
148040 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 11:26 pm to
quote:

Mesoscale Discussion 0454
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1116 PM CDT Wed Apr 22 2020

Areas affected...Central LA...Southwest MS

Concerning...Tornado Watch 135...137...

Valid 230416Z - 230545Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 135, 137 continues.

SUMMARY...Environment will remain supportive of supercells capable
of all severe hazards, including tornadoes, for the next several
hours. A new Tornado Watch will likely be needed too cover this
continued threat across central LA.

DISCUSSION...Low-level moisture continues to advect northward into
central LA and southwest MS. Current surface observations show 70
deg F dewpoints into central LA and as far north as HZR in
northwestern southeast LA. Despite some modest nocturnal cooling,
moderate instability persists within this moist air mass with
several supercells currently ongoing. Strong low-level and
deep-layer vertical is also in place. KPOE VAD recently sampled 50
kt around 1 km amidst strong low-level veering and 70 kt of 0-6 km
bulk shear.

Pair of supercells in central LA continue to show severe potential.
Newer development across southwest LA has also intensified quickly
and will likely pose a downstream severe threat. Given the current
radar trends and the persistence of favorable environment, the
tornado threat will likely extend past the 05Z expiration time of
Tornado Watch 135. A new Tornado Watch will likely be needed across
portions of central LA to cover this threat.

..Mosier.. 04/23/2020

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 31319331 31819303 32129260 32239189 32009119 31579083
30709101 30269160 30109371 31319331
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53976 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 11:29 pm to
quote:

So, excuse me for my ignorance, this is basically saying family in St Francisville need to pay attention closely?


Yes, tomorrow just keep a watch
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
148040 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 11:29 pm to
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43552 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 11:32 pm to
Everyone making it out alright?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
148040 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 11:33 pm to
quote:

Everyone making it out alright?

I'm alive (for now anyway)
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43552 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 11:35 pm to
Well DFW got reallllllll lucky. That dry line wasn’t supposed to get past us that quick and we also had a cap that held in place that if it didn’t, all that crap that happened in OK would have happened here.

Hopefully things start to improve in a few hours for you buddy
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
148040 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 11:45 pm to
Posted by jose
Member since Feb 2009
29766 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 11:45 pm to
Seems like its getting bad again.
This post was edited on 4/27/20 at 3:03 am
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
148040 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 11:49 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
148040 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 11:50 pm to
quote:

Seems like its getting bad again in Alec.

nothing in Alexandria is warned... yet anyway

just a standard thunderstorm for the moment

hopefully this line is it for the night and we can get to bed here in a bit

ETA: but then... I should know about this Ellick weather... not that long ago a tornado dropped on my head from a storm that I don't believe was even severe warned
This post was edited on 4/22/20 at 11:51 pm
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
106137 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 11:51 pm to
quote:

Not for 151 people


One of them is actually a client of mine
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
148040 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 11:52 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
148040 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 11:57 pm to
and now I see there's a 2nd line of storms forming back by Leesville that will be heading this way
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
148040 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 11:59 pm to
Posted by Spankum
The Sip
Member since Jan 2007
63345 posts
Posted on 4/23/20 at 12:13 am to
Rt3, are there any warnings in the Jackson, ms area?....looks like we have some nasty stuff headed our way.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
148040 posts
Posted on 4/23/20 at 12:24 am to
quote:

Rt3, are there any warnings in the Jackson, ms area?....looks like we have some nasty stuff headed our way.

only warning in Mississippi put out by the Jackson office currently

This post was edited on 4/23/20 at 12:24 am
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178364 posts
Posted on 4/23/20 at 12:25 am to
The Jackson office has some lazy SOBs. They’re always slow on the severe trigger
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
148040 posts
Posted on 4/23/20 at 12:33 am to
quote:

000
WWUS84 KLCH 230521
SPSLCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1221 AM CDT THU APR 23 2020

LAZ028-029-031-032-230600-
AVOYELLES LA-EVANGELINE LA-ALLEN LA-RAPIDES LA-
1221 AM CDT THU APR 23 2020

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 1221 AM CDT, DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
ELIZABETH, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OAKDALE, BUNKIE, GLENMORA, CHENEYVILLE, ELIZABETH, TURKEY CREEK,
LECOMPTE, ECHO, BEAVER, FOREST HILL AND MCNARY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL,
SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA.

LAT...LON 3090 9212 3073 9281 3086 9287 3118 9221
TIME...MOT...LOC 0521Z 243DEG 33KT 3081 9277

$$

25
Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
19015 posts
Posted on 4/23/20 at 12:36 am to
Pretty hairy in LCH right now. Weather doesn’t wake me up often. Lightning was unreal 5 mins ago.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43313 posts
Posted on 4/23/20 at 12:40 am to
that Lake Charles storm looks interesting.
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