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re: There's a recent new study on the use of Ivermectin for Covid

Posted on 8/18/21 at 10:38 am to
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25753 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 10:38 am to
quote:

No there wasn’t. We had excellent natural studies because of the cruise ships. They told us exactly what we needed to know. You had South Korea testing literally everyone. All of that took place before the March madness


The cruise ship told us that the virus lasted 2+ weeks on surfaces. As far as i know, that is not true.
The cruise ship also had a 2% fatality rate (and that number eventually came down to 2%). What is the expected fatality? .1%? .2%

I dont think you are remembering the cluster that we were having in March 2020.
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83624 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 10:44 am to
quote:

How does a placebo effect a positive test for someone who took ivermectin?
How does a placebo effect a hospitalization for someone who took ivermectin?
How does a placebo effect a ventilator for someone who took ivermectin?

Think about your answer.
Seriously.


Do you not understand the point of a control group in these studies?

If 6/70 people who took Ivermectin end up in the hospital and 6/70 people who did not take Ivermectin end up on the hospital, that should tell you that Ivermectin made no significant difference in outcome.

That is the point of a control group.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25753 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 10:54 am to
quote:


Do you not understand the point of a control group in these studies?

You dont understand what placebo can and cant do.
quote:

If 6/70 people who took Ivermectin end up in the hospital

Then you have solid, good data on people with ivermectin.
quote:

and 6/70 people who did not take Ivermectin end up on the hospital, that should tell you that Ivermectin made no significant difference in outcome.


Covid has been around for almost 24 months. The control group is general population (unvaccinated). You can even compare it to the general population vaccinated.

You are expecting lab rat variables for some reason. No study today on humans is able to eliminate all natural variables. The closest we can do is to compare geographic regions (to control for customs on diet, work/stress, housing, etc..)

The world is not a sterile test environment. But we can study ivermectin and compare it to what we see versus non-vaccinated and versus vaccinated people. The data is still solid even without placebo. A control group (placebo) does not prevent covid. It does not cure covid. And the studies are not doing subjective measures (on a scale of 1 to 10 how much pain are you feeling? What side effects are you experiencing?). The viral load effects positive tests, hospitalizations, and need for ventilators. We have plenty of data on people who have not taken ivermectin (most of the world).

Posted by BitBuster
Lafayette
Member since Dec 2017
1441 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 10:59 am to
the op's source is ivmmeta.com

Not the cdc, not the nih, not some research institute.

You guys like conspiracy theories, why would someone create a site just only display the data that supports their own beliefs and ignores the rest?

Are we at the point where we can just play pretend all day and make up our own reality now? Facts be damned?
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167471 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:00 am to
quote:

the op's source is ivmmeta.com


Does that discredit that this is an aggregate of a variety of studies completed on Ivermectin?
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83624 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:02 am to
quote:

You dont understand what placebo can and cant do.


I'm perfectly aware. I don't think you understand the purpose of a control group at all though.

quote:

The control group is general population (unvaccinated). You can even compare it to the general population vaccinated.


No. Absolutely not. That is the opposite of a control

quote:

But we can study ivermectin and compare it to what we see versus non-vaccinated and versus vaccinated people.


Sure.

quote:

A control group (placebo) does not prevent covid. It does not cure covid.


Yeah. No shite. Who said otherwise? Why do you keep bringing this up?

quote:

The viral load effects positive tests, hospitalizations, and need for ventilators.


Sure. But most of these studies are not measuring viral load, so again, I'm not sure why you keep brining it up.

quote:

We have plenty of data on people who have not taken ivermectin (most of the world).


A control group is literally there to remove these type of assumptions.

Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85091 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:03 am to
quote:

The cruise ship told us that the virus lasted 2+ weeks on surfaces.
No it didn't.
quote:

The cruise ship also had a 2% fatality rate
No it didn't.

You're the one remembering it wrong. Here's a nature.com article explaining it from March 26, 2020: LINK

quote:

Using the Diamond Princess data, a team reports in Eurosurveillance1 that by 20 February, 18% of all infected people on the ship had no symptoms. “That is a substantial number,” says co-author Gerardo Chowell, a mathematical epidemiologist at Georgia State University in Atlanta. But the passengers included a large number of elderly people, who are most likely to develop severe disease if infected, so the share of asymptomatic people in the general population is likely to be higher, he says.
quote:

Another team used data from the ship to estimate2 that the proportion of deaths among confirmed cases in China, the case fatality rate (CFR), was around 1.1% — much lower than the 3.8% estimated by the World Health Organization (WHO).

The WHO simply divided China’s total number of deaths by the total number of confirmed infections
, says Timothy Russell, a mathematical epidemiologist at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. That method does not take into account that only a fraction of infected people are actually tested, and so it makes the disease seem more deadly than it is, he says.
quote:

The group also estimates that the infection fatality rate (IFR) in China — the proportion of all infections, including asymptomatic ones, that result in death — is even lower, at roughly 0.5%.
quote:

Ioannidis adds that the studies using Diamond Princess data could benefit from the addition of the medical histories of those on board, such as whether or not people smoked. “We know that not only age, but also presence of medical diseases such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, heart disease, diabetes and other conditions increase the risk of a bad outcome,” he says.
The "cluster" you are describing was a result of the fear porn coming from europe and propogated by the media.
This post was edited on 8/18/21 at 11:07 am
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25753 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:03 am to
quote:

You guys like conspiracy theories, why would someone create a site just only display the data that supports their own beliefs and ignores the rest?


The point is not to be conclusive in the study.
The point is for big pharma to step aside and allow for more studies. The data hypothesizes that ivermectin has a significant, real effect.

Get the government out of the way and allow studies locally like moderna was permitted.
quote:


Are we at the point where we can just play pretend all day and make up our own reality now? Facts be damned

For some reason, people want to dismiss extremely plausible solutions... just because. The world order has gone all or nothing on vaccines. That is not the best strategy (to ignore alternatives because big pharma would make less money and the government would have less control)
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25753 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:11 am to
The UN currently reports 13 deaths on the diamond princess out of 712 infections. The infections were not an immediate spike. They continued to test positive during the ships quarantine.

And yes... the thought from both the diamond princess and the immediate spike in NY (subways) was that indoor surfaces maintained active/contageous viral load for up to 2 weeks.

Weve learned a ton in the immediate 2 months after the diamond princess. The cluster is like what happened after 9/11 (reports of attacks in places where attacks didnt happen). Reports were of people dropping dead walking the streets of europe and south america. The idea that the virus could survive surfaces. Stupid predictions like Cambridge which predicted something ridiculous like 2M deaths in the first 6 months.
Posted by Mr. Misanthrope
Cloud 8
Member since Nov 2012
5514 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:16 am to
quote:

That’s why we all hate the “double blind control yada yada”,but with a virus in which 99% of people survive, it’s absolutely necessary to know if the meds have any effect.
I thought the primary value of Ivermectin, hydroxychloroquine, quercetin, quinine is that they are all zinc ionophores and that getting zinc sulfate into the cell was a critical component in retarding viral replication. Not that Ivermectin et al are dramatic stand alone cures.

Didn’t I read somewhere earlier in the pandemic that subSaharan Africa had dramatically lower infection, hospitalization, and death rates than most other countries? There were discussions then that despite large numbers of Chinese workers arriving and leaving the region (and anyone else traveling to and from, and indigenous population) were mandated prophylactic administration of anti-Malarial drugs, particularly hydroxychloroquine?
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25753 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:28 am to
Correct.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85091 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:34 am to
quote:

The UN currently reports 13 deaths on the diamond princess out of 712 infections. The infections were not an immediate spike. They continued to test positive during the ships quarantine.
This article was from March 26th... 6 weeks after it was quarantined. That was plenty of time for analysis.
quote:

And yes... the thought from both the diamond princess and the immediate spike in NY (subways) was that indoor surfaces maintained active/contageous viral load for up to 2 weeks.
Nothing of what I said had anything to do with how it was spread. People are still arguing about it. It had nothing to do what what was happening and the lockdowns.
quote:

Weve learned a ton in the immediate 2 months after the diamond princess.
I didn't say we didn't. I'm saying we absolutely did.
quote:

Reports were of people dropping dead walking the streets of europe and south america.
That was reported in 2019. It was the damn Title of the original mega thread that was originally meant to be a joke.
quote:

Stupid predictions like Cambridge which predicted something ridiculous like 2M deaths in the first 6 months.
That was discredited almost immediately by legit scientists. It was the media that kept repeating it and using it for propaganda. You're supporting my argument, not yours.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25753 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:43 am to
We may be in agreement more than disagrement
quote:

That was discredited almost immediately by legit scientists. It was the media that kept repeating it and using it for propaganda. You're supporting my argument, not yours

Correct. And each scientist disputing it had a widely different prediction themselves (thus the cluster).

Good information hidden in hours and hours of poor information is my definition of a cluster.
Posted by TwoFace
Member since Mar 2018
1114 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:47 am to
"Otherwise, everyone would be on sugar pills as protection against covid 19"


This would be the Magic Zpack patients are begging for
This post was edited on 8/18/21 at 3:52 pm
Posted by TwoFace
Member since Mar 2018
1114 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 11:54 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/18/21 at 3:51 pm
Posted by BitBuster
Lafayette
Member since Dec 2017
1441 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

Does that discredit that this is an aggregate of a variety of studies completed on Ivermectin?


Aggregate of data means squat unless you can prove that it aggregates all of the data.

How do you know it isn't cherry picked?

One study at a time you can credit/discredit. When you're overwhelmed with a data dump several different sources, it's likely they're manipulating the result.
Posted by Areddishfish
The Wild West
Member since Oct 2015
6284 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 12:05 pm to
I feel like it is just this year's hydroxychloroquine. You can find studies for anything, but I would personally like to talk with people who it is proven they actually took it and had success. As with hydroxychloroquine, Ivermectin appears to just be tossed around as an anecdote but I've never met anyone that actually took either of those with success. As with any med used off label it is possible some people may get the exact reaction they need, but I wouldn't feel confident in saying it can work for everyone.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25753 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

feel like it is just this year's hydroxychloroquine. You can find studies for anything, but I would personally like to talk with people who it is proven they actually took it and had success. As with hydroxychloroquine, Ivermectin appears to just be tossed around as an anecdote but I've never met anyone that actually took either of those with success. As with any med used off label it is possible some people may get the exact reaction they need, but I wouldn't feel confident in saying it can work for everyone.


I dont know if it is true, but i read that the government outlawes hydrochloriquine?

The point is to do the studies locally to have results to expand practice upon. But as i said, big pharma and government dont like that approach. No money/control in it.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25753 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

How do you know it isn't cherry picked


The cherry picked data is the usage of ivermectin. Thats kind of the point.
Thats the result which is in question.

The world has enough data on people who havent taken ivermectin.
If you dont believe in it, allow the study locally and let the results stand on their merits. Moderna was permitted that in Atlanta on children.

Keep in mind that the vaccines are still not FDA approved. All of that has to start somewhere. Why not studies on ivermectin?
Posted by the LSUSaint
Member since Nov 2009
15444 posts
Posted on 8/18/21 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

While many treatments have some level of efficacy, they do not replace vaccines and other measures to avoid infection.


And now we know the vaccines don't do this, so please show yourself out
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