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Message

re: The low flu cases

Posted on 2/2/21 at 9:21 am to
Posted by Havoc
Member since Nov 2015
28175 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 9:21 am to
quote:

This is going to blow your mind, but both are true. Plenty of flu cases are reported as covid deaths and covid protocols have majorly cut down flu transmissions.

I agree with you, Ed. It’s a logical conclusion.
Posted by Bear88
Member since Oct 2014
13172 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 9:25 am to
quote:

Dude, have you spent any time in New Orleans recently? Why don't you come down to Mardi Gras and report back to us how it was this year. Or if you are in Bham, how is Highlands Bar and Grill doing these days? Eaten there recently?


Canceling a large gathering event is not a lockdown . What is up with the Bar and Grill? Serious question IDK. I see some restaurants not as crowded bc people choose to stay away from places like that but are not forced to stay away . Maybe I am misinterpreting “lockdown” but to me it means business forced to close and people staying home only to go to essential businesses . It not like that in the places I have been in Ms, and Al

I am not condoning actual lockdowns I just pointed out that everything is pretty normal where I live and most on here. N.O. Is different but that is your mayors fault . Is everything locked down or just bars ?
This post was edited on 2/2/21 at 9:30 am
Posted by dgnx6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
68377 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 9:35 am to
quote:

Bruh, this stupid shite has been debunked monthly. Stop being stupid, or at least stop being willfully misinformed by the idiotic media that you consume.





So flu cases arent down?
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
57230 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 9:40 am to
quote:

the fact that, literally everywhere, when COVID numbers increase, flu numbers decrease


First - the size of the flu virus is roughly the same as the corona virus (80-120 microns for the flu to 60-140 microns for COVID) - so the mask argument is moot. Both can fly through a standard mask.

Now with that said - follow the math:

In 2019, there were estimates of 50 million flu cases (last full year of numbers)
In 2020, there were 26 million COVID cases

That would be AT MAX 76 million cases combined
And twice as many flu cases as COVID cases

There are estimates of a 98% drop in the flu meaning 1 MILLION cases this year (if that were accurate and went all year)

Apply that to the numbers we know

We lose 49 MILLION cases of virus A
But only GAIN 26 MILLION of virus B

Meaning we only have 35% of all total possible cases of both and would only lose - AT MAX half the flu cases if COVID was 100% effective at interfering with the flu

And ASSUMING that 100% interference exists with COVID while knowing the viruses both can pass through standard masks, where did the other 25 million flu cases go?

Maybe there IS some cross interference
This post was edited on 2/2/21 at 9:42 am
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83517 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 9:40 am to
Flu cases are down.

But there are more reasonable explanations than "our entire, worldwide, healthcare systems are all conspiring together and marking all flu cases as COVID"
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83517 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 9:43 am to
quote:

First - the size of the flu virus is roughly the same as the corona virus (80-120 microns for the flu to 60-140 microns for COVID) - so the mask argument is moot. Both can fly through a standard mask.


oh ffs

neither the flu nor COVID are "flying" around on their own FWIW

quote:

In 2019, there were estimates of 50 million flu cases
In 2020, there were 26 million COVID cases

That would be AT MAX 76 million cases combined
And twice as many flu cases as COVID cases


no difference in 2019 and 2020, eh?

quote:

Maybe there IS some cross interference



if you can find data that shows flu cases increasing and COVID cases decreasing, I'd like to see it

Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
57230 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 9:52 am to
Are you retarded?

I was comparing the last full “non-covid” flu year/season as a control aka 2019

= 50 million

to COVID cases from 2020

= 26 million

Now apply the rate of flu drop this season based on the control years

Doing the math - we would be seeing way more cases of the flu ANYWAY just based on the control numbers alone between both viruses

Where are the other half of flu cases going that outnumber COVID (seeing they both can pass through masks)?

Maybe there is a biological mechanism that can interfere both ways not fully studied yet that can limit BOTH COVID and the flu - keeping both numbers lower

It’s either that or someone really is cooking the books
This post was edited on 2/2/21 at 9:53 am
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
105376 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 9:53 am to
Duh
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83517 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 10:02 am to
quote:

Are you retarded?


are you?

quote:

Now apply the rate of flu drop this season based on the control years


you are reducing human activity, viral movement, and a host of other facts into a nice, simple math equation

real world doesn't work like that

quote:

(seeing they both can pass through masks)?


and the fact that you keep saying this shows that you don't want to have an honest discussion

Posted by BRtoATL
Bogota
Member since Aug 2009
232 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 10:25 am to
"To know and not to know, to be conscious of complete truthfulness while telling carefully constructed lies, to hold simultaneously two opinions which cancelled out, knowing them to be contradictory and believing in both of them, to use logic against logic, to repudiate morality while laying claim to it, to believe that democracy was impossible and that the Party was the guardian of democracy, to forget whatever it was necessary to forget, then to draw it back into memory again at the moment when it was needed, and then promptly to forget it again: and above all, to apply the same process to the process itself -- that was the ultimate subtlety: consciously to induce unconsciousness, and then, once again, to become unconscious of the act of hypnosis you had just performed."
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
98914 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 10:28 am to
quote:

First - the size of the flu virus is roughly the same as the corona virus (80-120 microns for the flu to 60-140 microns for COVID) - so the mask argument is moot. Both can fly through a standard mask.



Masks aside, standard mitigation practices for respiratory illnesses is hand washing and distancing. Also staying home from school/work when you are sick.

Or are you just pretending this is exclusively about masking? If so, your argument is completely moot.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41526 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 10:31 am to
I love the OT but there are times when I feel I should take a break. Most Covid threads give me that feeling.
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
57230 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 10:38 am to
quote:

Masks aside, standard mitigation practices for respiratory illnesses is hand washing and distancing. Also staying home from school/work when you are sick.


So this kills 25 million flu cases but doesn’t stop COVID? who’s pretending now?
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83517 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 10:40 am to
quote:

So this kills 25 million flu cases but doesn’t stop COVID? who’s pretending now?


the only person pretending is the person that continues to reduce this to one variable

Posted by Bert Macklin FBI
Quantico
Member since May 2013
8891 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 10:41 am to
quote:

Can’t have it both ways

If masks stop the flu and NOT COVID - but the flu ALSO interferes with COVID

Shouldn’t we NOT wear masks so that we get the “non-pandemic” flu and let it interfere with getting COVID?



Since Chemo makes people's hair fall out and Cancer kills people, we should just shave everyone's heads so that everyone will just be cancer free.
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
98914 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 10:44 am to
quote:

So this kills 25 million flu cases but doesn’t stop COVID? who’s pretending now?


You do get we’re talking about two different levels of contagion correct? One with a long established vaccine as well?

Or maybe you don’t.
This post was edited on 2/2/21 at 10:45 am
Posted by Vote4MikeAck504
Go Cocks!
Member since Mar 2019
3098 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 10:44 am to
Bruh, where has this been debunked? Other than people saying it's not true. Where is THE SCIENCE?! Where da flu go, yo?!
Posted by Vote4MikeAck504
Go Cocks!
Member since Mar 2019
3098 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 10:49 am to
quote:

Internist here. Flu cases are down. It’s not a hoax. Masks likely work better against the flu than against covid.


I don't give a F if you're an internist. The flu kills 50,000 to 60,000 people a year in this country every year, before this year, mysteriously. Some years it kills more. 2017 it killed 80,000+ Americans. That's WITH instant testing and a vaccine readily available. The flu is highly contagious.

Now it's almost non-existent? Go research some more or go film some dancing tic toc videos cuz you whack, yo.
Posted by Vote4MikeAck504
Go Cocks!
Member since Mar 2019
3098 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 10:53 am to
quote:

Social distancing and less handshaking/hugging also at play I’m sure.

Once flu returns, will it be more severe?


Except we're being told COVID numbers are crazy because people AREN'T wearing their masks... and are not social distancing... and are gathering in crowds and hugging their grand parents etc. So, which is it? If those are the reason for COVID cases being so high, it would seem pretty obvious that flu cases should also be pretty high.

You all don't really think about these contradictions at all, do you?
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83517 posts
Posted on 2/2/21 at 10:54 am to
the answer to your questions are in this thread

but like others, you have chosen to ignore it

why is that?
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