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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:22 am to L S Usetheforce
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:22 am to L S Usetheforce
quote:
It just means in terms of probabilities. Lake Charles getting hit 3 times in 12 months is not likely.
Each is a random event
The first 2 already happened. So this one could just as easily happen.
1
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:23 am to L S Usetheforce
Well he used the word climatology. Didn’t realize that could change something.
Look, I’m digging for crumbs here.
Look, I’m digging for crumbs here.
This post was edited on 8/25/21 at 6:24 am
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:29 am to L S Usetheforce
Lake Charles although close to the center is not Ground Zero in the latest model. That would be Abbeville, New Iberia, and Laffy.
The eastern side also taking it on the chin from Baton Rouge down to Houma.
That landfall location would remind me of Lili back in 2002.
It is still too early. Track has continued to shift East and at some point could shift back west to Texas. There is still no true center to track.
The eastern side also taking it on the chin from Baton Rouge down to Houma.
That landfall location would remind me of Lili back in 2002.
It is still too early. Track has continued to shift East and at some point could shift back west to Texas. There is still no true center to track.
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:31 am to Tarps99
Won’t know much until Friday imo
Plus the land interaction could shuffle up the track as well
Plus the land interaction could shuffle up the track as well
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:33 am to BallsEleven
quote:
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:33 am to Tarps99
quote:
The eastern side also taking it on the chin from Baton Rouge down to Houma.
On that specific run, BR would forget about Gustav.
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:36 am to PhillyTiger90
quote:
Won’t know much until Friday imo Plus the land interaction could shuffle up the track as well
Agreed…at this point models are only good for fear porn.
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:38 am to Tarps99
Models are good at this point for raising the flag that wherever it hits, it is likely to be a nasty one
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:38 am to Tarps99
Hey guys, fricks me.
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:43 am to PhillyTiger90
Yup, Friday is when it should find its center and then we should have a decent idea of where it’s going.
Shitty thing is that doesn’t leave much time for prep.
Shitty thing is that doesn’t leave much time for prep.
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:50 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
Hey guys, fricks me.
Startin early… I like it hahaha
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:53 am to lsugolfredman
Well I don’t like the model trends this morning
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:54 am to deltaland
quote:
I don’t like the model trends this morning
What would they look like?
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:54 am to deltaland
both gfs and euro seem to be coming to agreement this morning?
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:56 am to msutiger
quote:
Models are good at this point for raising the flag that wherever it hits, it is likely to be a nasty one
Models are good for the knowledgeable people who understand that it is only one out of many possible scenarios, but to the uninformed or doomsayers (aka weather channel types) they are used as click bait and attention getters as the gospel.
Posted on 8/25/21 at 6:56 am to Duke
quote:
itll bring a whole lot of rain with it.
Looks like latest GFS stalls it out over north La/central ms dumping all kinds of rain on my head
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:01 am to geauxtigers87
Both have increased intensity and agree on a Louisiana landfall.
Also the lesser models seem to think the same. But until a LLC forms we won’t know anything for certain.
Also the lesser models seem to think the same. But until a LLC forms we won’t know anything for certain.
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:02 am to Tarps99
I’m glad the line is on us this far out. That means it’s going to miss us.
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:03 am to Prominentwon
quote:
Look, I’m digging for crumbs here.
I’m so shell shocked from last year, I tell myself don’t look at the hurricane thread, you’ll just get nervous and pissed off.
I of course look this morning and my palms are sweating and I feel a little bit like throwing up. I miss the days of seeing a potential bad hurricane and going “eh, probably a small chance we get hit”.
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