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Started By
Message
re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:48 pm to BPTiger
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:48 pm to BPTiger
Anybody know when the next recon flight is scheduled?
Just looking at most current visible/IR loops, the storm still seems to be battling some S/SW shear. The eye is looking more symmetrical, though, and the N periphery (which has looked weak up until now) literally saw a small but significant convective burst. Like from almost nothing to an explosive pop of hot towers right in the gap.
My admittedly non-professional version is that it looks to me like it’s trying to get it’s act together, and possibly even succeeding, but not at a stage to seriously talk RI yet. If it can capitalize on that new convection to tighten up the eyewall, mix out the drier air that appeared to have been entrained earlier, and pull away from those shear effects, though, then that could make for a very different progression later in the day.
Just looking at most current visible/IR loops, the storm still seems to be battling some S/SW shear. The eye is looking more symmetrical, though, and the N periphery (which has looked weak up until now) literally saw a small but significant convective burst. Like from almost nothing to an explosive pop of hot towers right in the gap.
My admittedly non-professional version is that it looks to me like it’s trying to get it’s act together, and possibly even succeeding, but not at a stage to seriously talk RI yet. If it can capitalize on that new convection to tighten up the eyewall, mix out the drier air that appeared to have been entrained earlier, and pull away from those shear effects, though, then that could make for a very different progression later in the day.
0
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:48 pm to tigafan4life
quote:
Anything about cat 1 winds. Sustained cat 1 winds. I’m more worried about the wind and tornadoes than flooding.
I’m not at all confident those are off the table for BR, especially the south parts of the parish.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:48 pm to tigers25
Hooters has fat chics working? Which one? Asking for friend
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:48 pm to MaxDraft
quote:no idea but I get emails from my kids school saying their lines are down and that’s when it is sunny outside.
Maybe odd question, but what's the likelihood we lose old school telephone lines in BR? Does that typically happen in a hurricane?
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:48 pm to tarzana
quote:
You should still be able to light the stove with a Bic Aim 'N Flame.
THE DUDE'S STOVE MIGHT HAVE SOME TYPE OF GAS CUTOFF VALVE THAT SHUTS OFF THE GAS TO HIS BURNERS IN THE EVENT THAT IT LOSES POWER.
IT HAS BEEN ESTABLISHED THAT MOST OF US CAN FIRE UP A BURNER WHEN WE LOSE POWER.
I'm sure more information will be provided about this feature soon, bc it seems to have piqued some interests.
Eta: the caps aren't directed at the quoted poster...that baw was just the latest to make the comment
This post was edited on 8/28/21 at 12:50 pm
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:48 pm to burdman
that looks better than yesterday
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:48 pm to MaxDraft
That’s a good question…I completely forgot about the land lines. Haven’t used ours in years.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:48 pm to rds dc
Weather channel is awful
Anyone know a good live stream to watch? YouTube? Twitch?
I found the WWL stream of just radar and models
Anyone know a good live stream to watch? YouTube? Twitch?
I found the WWL stream of just radar and models
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:49 pm to BeepNode
quote:
I wonder how recently the weather forecasters would have looked at that and then guessed that Florida and Mobile was about to get whacked, not realizing it was on a track to west of NOLA?
Don't know, but we evacuated NOLA for Ivan and Dennis.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:49 pm to Fatty Magoo
quote:
nyone know a good live stream to watch?
HTV Houma. Martin Folse uses a stick to project the path of hurricanes.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:49 pm to SohCahToa
Yes they did
When I checked the thread at 9am everyone was saying TWC had said it’s going to be a 2. I flicked on the TV and TWC was saying it will be a 4. I’m not sure the source of confusion.
I think what is happening is they are expecting rapid intensification right before land fall. And that hasn’t happened yet - but it will. So people are underestimating what may happen in the next 30 hours or so.
Idk.
When I checked the thread at 9am everyone was saying TWC had said it’s going to be a 2. I flicked on the TV and TWC was saying it will be a 4. I’m not sure the source of confusion.
I think what is happening is they are expecting rapid intensification right before land fall. And that hasn’t happened yet - but it will. So people are underestimating what may happen in the next 30 hours or so.
Idk.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:50 pm to tigafan4life
quote:
no idea but I get emails from my kids school saying their lines are down and that’s when it is sunny outside.
St Aloysius?
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:50 pm to GEAUXmedic
Phew, 15 mph in 3 hours.
BULLETIN
Hurricane Ida Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021
100 PM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021
...IDA INTENSIFYING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO...
...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION TODAY IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST...
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 86.6W
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM SE OF HOUMA LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
BULLETIN
Hurricane Ida Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021
100 PM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021
...IDA INTENSIFYING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO...
...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION TODAY IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST...
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 86.6W
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM SE OF HOUMA LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
This post was edited on 8/28/21 at 12:52 pm
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:51 pm to LSUgrad04
Sjv and Smhs must be the diocese.
must be the diocese. 
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:51 pm to Fatty Magoo
I really like Fox8 weather.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:51 pm to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:51 pm to Oates Mustache
@JackSillin
quote:
Big new convective burst in #Ida's northern eyewall is (likely) located within the storm's radius of maximum winds.
Why is that important? Firing convection on the inner edge of the eyewall shrinks the eye. Like a figure skater pulling their arms in, this makes it spin faster. LINK
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:52 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Firing convection on the inner edge of the eyewall shrinks the eye. Like a figure skater pulling their arms in, this makes it spin faster
Science is f'ing amazing sometimes.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:53 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
@ZackFradellaWx
·
5m
Ida keeps wobbling right of track or more east. This is not what SE LA wants to see. Trends are not good right now for a miss west. #lawx
@FOX8NOLA
Posted on 8/28/21 at 12:53 pm to LegendInMyMind
I am guessing that is a good thing?
I don’t want to be dumb and assume stuff or say the eye is recycling lol
I don’t want to be dumb and assume stuff or say the eye is recycling lol
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