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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:49 pm to TutHillTiger
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:49 pm to TutHillTiger
quote:
A 5 mile difference in the eye position can make a 50 miles or more difference in landfall.
That's one hell of a guess though.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:49 pm to slackster
quote:
Puncher's chance at the longest thread in TD history?
You can sit over there with Oates.
No one gives a shite about the sanctity of the game anymore.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:49 pm to GEAUXmedic
Fear Factor tomorrow AM, feel it already…
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:50 pm to longhorn22
100%. People will be in panic mode.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:50 pm to longhorn22
quote:
Probably know you…
Now, this has a chance to be a legit BINGO.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:50 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Puncher's chance at the longest thread in TD history
Ppl who make this comment show their age… smh
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:50 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
St Amant has a downtown?
Wait until you find out there is a downtown and back Acy.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:50 pm to maisweh
Amazing the difference in 30 miles or so with zeta. We got well over 100 mph winds and had a ton of tree damage. A good many sheds and mobile homes were damaged pretty badly. Hell, we were without power for 6 days after Zeta but my genny kept me comfy until the gas bill came in. LOL
Thibodaux, on the other hand, hardly got TS force winds and very little to no damage. Amazing.
Thibodaux, on the other hand, hardly got TS force winds and very little to no damage. Amazing.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:50 pm to slackster
quote:
Puncher's chance at the longest thread in TD history?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:51 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
You can sit over there with Oates.
No one gives a shite about the sanctity of the game anymore.
At least "puncher's chance" was a new take on it.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:51 pm to red sox fan 13
9 min til..where is it
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:52 pm to fightin tigers
I
Well, we do have a ton of frozen titty milk id hate to see go to waste
quote:
f shite does get bad and you end up needing something while in NOLA reach out here. Others like myself will do whatever we can to try and help.
Well, we do have a ton of frozen titty milk id hate to see go to waste
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:52 pm to longhorn22
quote:
...HURRICANE WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION -----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 80.5W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMAN ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM SE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Storm Surge Watch has been issued from Sabine Pass to the Alabama/Florida border including Vermilion Bay, Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Mobile Bay
A Hurricane Watch has been issued from Cameron, Louisiana eastward to the Mississippi/Alabama border, including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and metropolitan New Orleans.
A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from the Mississippi/Alabama border to the Alabama/Florida border.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Sabine Pass to Alabama/Florida border * Vermilion Bay, Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Mobile Bay
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cameron, Louisiana to the Mississippi/Alabama border * Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cayman Islands * Cuban provinces of Matanzas, Mayabeque, Havana, Artemisa, Pinar del Rio, and the Isle of Youth
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Mississippi/Alabama border to the Alabama/Florida border.
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 9:54 pm
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:53 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
The storm has been wobbling around, but smoothing through the recent erratic motion yields an initial motion estimate of 320/10 kt. A mid-level ridge centered off the southeast U.S. coast is expected to shift westward on Friday and over the weekend. This feature should keep Ida moving in a general northwestward motion for the next 2 or 3 days, taking the core of the system over western Cuba Friday afternoon or evening and then across the southern and central Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Although there is some timing differences in the models, they are in fairly good agreement that Ida will make landfall in Louisiana late Sunday or early Monday. The GFS and ECMWF ensemble members basically span a similar region and are most concentrated across the state of Louisiana. Users are reminded to not focus on the exact forecast track as impacts will extend far from the center and the average 72-hour track error is around 120 miles.
There is some southwesterly vertical wind shear affecting Ida at the moment, which is the likely part of the reason the cloud pattern and wind field are asymmetric. However, the global model show the upper-level pattern becoming quite favorable late Friday and through the weekend. These more conducive winds aloft combined with very warm SSTs and abundant moisture is likely to result in steady or rapid intensification until Ida makes landfall in the U.S. The intensity guidance unanimously show Ida becoming a hurricane, but there is notable spread in how strong the system will become. Given the expected favorable environmental conditions for the storm, the NHC intensity forecast lies near the high end of the model guidance, in best agreement with the regional hurricane models. It is also worth noting that even though the global models are not particularly accurate in predicting tropical cyclone winds, the GFS and ECMWF show the minimum pressure falling more than 35 mb from the current conditions. Based on all of this information, there is higher-than-normal confidence that a significant hurricane will be approaching the Gulf coast late in the weekend.
Format sucks on desktop, but should work well on mobile.
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 9:54 pm
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:53 pm to LegendInMyMind
Weather Channel running reality TV shite, wtf..
Guess all of their anchors are en route to Louisiana… understanding they are about to go 48 hours commercial freee..
Guess all of their anchors are en route to Louisiana… understanding they are about to go 48 hours commercial freee..
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:53 pm to GEAUXmedic
Mais dat don’t tell me shite
Posted on 8/26/21 at 9:54 pm to slackster
quote:That's very Questionable.
Puncher's chance at the longest thread in TD history?
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