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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:03 pm to
Posted by WavinWilly
Wavin Away in Sharlo
Member since Oct 2010
8783 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:03 pm to
I don't know what TVCY is but I don't like that one.
Posted by Bama and Beer
Baldwin Co, AL
Member since Oct 2010
80988 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:04 pm to
I'm just here for the pictures and not the words and bull shite back and forth non sense in this thread

Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:04 pm to
12z UKMET

Posted by WavinWilly
Wavin Away in Sharlo
Member since Oct 2010
8783 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:05 pm to
Gonna be kinda cool to see a fujiwhara in the Atlantic if it happens.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

I don't know what TVCY is but I don't like that one.



Its just another consensus model.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:06 pm to
Well, I just hope it shifts more east. I'm tired of seeing it constantly moving westward. Don't wish it on anyone if I could but better Bama, Florida or Mississippi than Louisiana right now...

At least give us some goddamn time to recover, shite. We were hit in March too. When was the last time anyone remembers 2 major floods fricking the same area like that?
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 3:08 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85396 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

People who do not follow models will think what he is saying is likely to happen, even if he clearly says it is just a possibility. They know it is coming from a meteorologist so they take it as gospel.


If he posted that on a weather forum, he knows exactly what he is doing. That kind of talk gets people all riled up. When it starts getting reposted other places it starts getting out of hand, hence the original post is irresponsible.

To my knowledge, you'll never see baytiger or rds say something like that in these threads.
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5314 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

quote:
I don't know what TVCY is but I don't like that one.


Its just another consensus model.


And is very very close to the 12z Euro
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

Gonna be kinda cool to see a fujiwhara in the Atlantic if it happens.



Depends on Fiona, she's basically dead.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85396 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

12z UKMET


Not too often you see a model run at basically the same heading for a week straight.
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52185 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:07 pm to
So it's predicted Gulfcoast landfall from that model is a week from today?
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 3:09 pm
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
43018 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:08 pm to
This thing has gone from something that is interesting to watch to something that is potentially concerning for us Gulf Coast state folks. Where this thing ultimately goes though depends on the exact placement and strength of the ridge to the north.
Posted by Wimp Lo
My nipples look like Milk Duds
Member since Aug 2016
4548 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:08 pm to
My question was why are people afraid to say Katrina?
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96053 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:09 pm to
No one is afraid to say Katrina. Let it go dude.
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
58412 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:09 pm to
My dad's boat is in orange beach, it's a very nice boat and I don't like the looks of this. Insurance requires us to move it north in the event of major storm
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:09 pm to
And the NAVGEM.. so we have a consensus of three major models.

Posted by MightyYat
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2009
24533 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

My question was why are people afraid to say Katrina?


No one is afraid to say Katrina but some of us had a really bad experience with that bitch 11 years ago, coach.
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 3:11 pm
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
43018 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:10 pm to
Also, I think it is important to stress to those who may read this thread that aren't weather nerds that the model output posted is NOT a forecast, and what it shows is NOT guaranteed. What each model shows is simply a possible solution, and is not definitive this far out.
Posted by Wimp Lo
My nipples look like Milk Duds
Member since Aug 2016
4548 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:10 pm to
Actually, you're wrong as I've seen it posted on other forums quite often. You're clueless.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166995 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

Insurance requires us to move it north in the event of major storm


ROLL OUT
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