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Started By
Message
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:09 pm to Pettifogger
quote:
Can someone direct me to a site where I can view the various ensembles?
Weather Underground
National Hurricane Center
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:13 pm to Geecubed
quote:I don't believe the Euro is on that map. I'm just starting to learn all of this so I could be wrong
Where is the Euro on this Map?
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:14 pm to ForeverLSU02
Your correct it's not on that map
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:15 pm to ForeverLSU02
quote:
Where is the Euro on this Map?

for Oct 8th forecast
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:17 pm to lsuman25
Do they even do the spaghetti models with the Euro?
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:18 pm to ForeverLSU02
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:46 pm to lsuman25
Spread increased on the 12z Euro EPS but a significant cluster moving into Gulf at D9:


Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:50 pm to rds dc
gonna be a interesting one to track for the next week that is for sure
Posted on 9/28/16 at 4:08 pm to lsuman25
quote:
gonna be a interesting one to track for the next week that is for sure
Typically, the data from the Global Hawk missions help clear things up but not sure it will this time given that so many of the questions revolve around far flung features.
Posted on 9/28/16 at 4:28 pm to ForeverLSU02
quote:I'm an aviation meteorologist. Haven't been participating in this thread because I've just been so damn busy
what do you do?
Posted on 9/28/16 at 4:33 pm to rds dc
quote:looking at the cyclone risk data, it's remarkable how much more the GFS has locked in as opposed to the Euro... GFS says no chance of a central/western gulf landfall while Euro keeps the door wide open even if it isn't actually the operational track
Spread increased on the 12z Euro EPS but a significant cluster moving into Gulf at D9:
Posted on 9/28/16 at 4:55 pm to baytiger
quote:Good stuff. I figured it was some sort of meteorology, but wasn't sure what kind
I'm an aviation meteorologist.

Posted on 9/28/16 at 5:07 pm to baytiger
quote:
looking at the cyclone risk data, it's remarkable how much more the GFS has locked in as opposed to the Euro... GFS says no chance of a central/western gulf landfall while Euro keeps the door wide open even if it isn't actually the operational track
Yea, the agreement and consistency of the GFS package is getting hard to argue against. There has been some westward trend with the GEFS but the overall spread has remained low. However, history tells us that the GFS is always just one run away from throwing something crazy out there.
Posted on 9/28/16 at 5:07 pm to baytiger
Double post
This post was edited on 9/28/16 at 5:23 pm
Posted on 9/28/16 at 5:19 pm to rds dc
looks like the GFS is more west this run but still moves it northward before it would hit Florida
Posted on 9/28/16 at 6:58 pm to rds dc
Matthew up to 65mph now,also slowing down now moving at 15mph
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