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re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired

Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:08 pm to
Posted by Drop4Loss
Birds Eye Of Deaf Valley
Member since Oct 2007
3967 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:08 pm to
With all these references to days, D5, D6 etc,
what day are we currently in ?

Yea, Im headed to Exuma on Sunday....

This post was edited on 9/28/16 at 3:09 pm
Posted by Palmetto08
Member since Sep 2012
4104 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

Can someone direct me to a site where I can view the various ensembles?


Weather Underground

National Hurricane Center
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52357 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:10 pm to
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52357 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

Where is the Euro on this Map?
I don't believe the Euro is on that map. I'm just starting to learn all of this so I could be wrong
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42861 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:14 pm to
Your correct it's not on that map
Posted by tke857
Member since Jan 2012
12195 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

Where is the Euro on this Map?




for Oct 8th forecast
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52357 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:17 pm to
Do they even do the spaghetti models with the Euro?
Posted by SohCahToa
New Orleans, La
Member since Jan 2011
7785 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:18 pm to
This guy isn't buying it going that far east.

Bernie Rayno
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42861 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:21 pm to
i'm not sure
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42861 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:37 pm to
Twitter Levi Cowan's twitter still shows a lot of uncertainly with Matthew
This post was edited on 9/28/16 at 3:39 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:46 pm to
Spread increased on the 12z Euro EPS but a significant cluster moving into Gulf at D9:

Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42861 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 3:50 pm to
gonna be a interesting one to track for the next week that is for sure
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 4:08 pm to
quote:


gonna be a interesting one to track for the next week that is for sure


Typically, the data from the Global Hawk missions help clear things up but not sure it will this time given that so many of the questions revolve around far flung features.
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 4:28 pm to
quote:


what do you do?


I'm an aviation meteorologist. Haven't been participating in this thread because I've just been so damn busy
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 4:33 pm to
quote:


Spread increased on the 12z Euro EPS but a significant cluster moving into Gulf at D9:
looking at the cyclone risk data, it's remarkable how much more the GFS has locked in as opposed to the Euro... GFS says no chance of a central/western gulf landfall while Euro keeps the door wide open even if it isn't actually the operational track
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52357 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 4:55 pm to
quote:

I'm an aviation meteorologist.
Good stuff. I figured it was some sort of meteorology, but wasn't sure what kind
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 5:07 pm to
quote:


looking at the cyclone risk data, it's remarkable how much more the GFS has locked in as opposed to the Euro... GFS says no chance of a central/western gulf landfall while Euro keeps the door wide open even if it isn't actually the operational track


Yea, the agreement and consistency of the GFS package is getting hard to argue against. There has been some westward trend with the GEFS but the overall spread has remained low. However, history tells us that the GFS is always just one run away from throwing something crazy out there.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 5:07 pm to
Double post
This post was edited on 9/28/16 at 5:23 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42861 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 5:19 pm to
looks like the GFS is more west this run but still moves it northward before it would hit Florida
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42861 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 6:58 pm to
Matthew up to 65mph now,also slowing down now moving at 15mph
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