re: Southeast Severe Weather: 12/28 - 12/29

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I’m in a deer stand in woodville MS. Should I go back to the camp? All we have here now is wind and no rain.

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That all depends, I have been In Plenty of deer stands that are built far more sturdy than some of the camps I have stayed in

That being said I am currently in a nice box stand just north of Tylertown, keeping an eye on the radar , and am well prepared for a quick extraction if necessary

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 720 continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated supercell development across southern MS and
southeastern LA could pose a significant tornado threat over the
coming hours. However, displaced east from the strongest synoptic
forcing, it remains unclear how persistent the threat may be until
later this evening.

DISCUSSION...Across the eastern edge of PDS Tornado Watch 720, an
isolated supercell (with recent reports of a tornado) was observed
over northeastern Franklin County MS. Additional discrete
development has been noted farther south into southeastern LA,
likely along a subtle confluence axis stretching into the northern
Gulf of Mexico. This storm has slowly organized over the last
several hours, coincident with the northward advection of a weak
warm front. An unstable air mass with 1000-1500 J/kg of MLCAPE and
strong low-level shear (300-400 m2/s2 ESRH JAN DGX VAD) is
supportive of a continued severe threat. The strong low-level shear
is also conditionally supportive of a strong and long-track tornado
threat into central MS given the favorable storm mode.

However, much of this activity is displaced farther east from the
stronger synoptic forcing until later this evening. This could tend
to make the threat somewhat intermittent until stronger forcing
arrives. Thus, while the environment is favorable for a continued,
and conditionally significant severe/tornado threat, there remains
some uncertainty on the duration/longevity of the risk.

..Lyons.. 12/28/2024

The long tracker is back over land for the time being with a weak TDS. So, it has crossed both the Galveston Bay and Sabine Lake and remained a tornado.

ETA: It now has a strong TDS.

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Radar is at the airport. That warning box would put it south of the airport, right around the cal cam line.

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You all know more about the area than I do. I'd take this one seriously. Hopefully, it finally dies.

Tornado warning pike county

This weather has had me glued to the radar all day. We are in BR having Christmas with our friends and I’ve been watching the storms in East Texas barrel toward Calcasieu hoping they miss us.

I’ve been a weather watcher for 40 years in the Acadiana area. I can’t recall a tornado staying on the ground as long as the one near the Sabine River

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I’ve been a weather watcher for 40 years in the Acadiana area. I can’t recall a tornado staying on the ground as long as the one near the Sabine River

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It is unusual down that way, for sure. I bet it challenges records for the region. Tracking damage will be a problem, though, with all the water.