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re: Snow Tease for Baton Rouge (Saturday) UPDATE (1/20)

Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:11 pm to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50724 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:11 pm to
I don’t think it’ll be a disaster of any kind but could it end up being a somewhat significant event that we blew off yesterday? Very well could be. I just don’t think there will be enough moisture for it to really be a “disaster” if any kind.
This post was edited on 1/20/22 at 12:12 pm
Posted by ThuperThumpin
Member since Dec 2013
9358 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

could it end up being a somewhat significant event


Define significant....we talking abundance of caution school closures and icy conditions till noon or wide spread power outages and other manners of suck.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15740 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:19 pm to
im concerned if we do end up with 0.25" of ice, how will all the weakened trees from the hurricane hold up
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111389 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:20 pm to
He has been praying for chaos this entire thread.

Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:23 pm to
39° at my house on BR. I was just thinking the temp seems to be dropping quick
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75112 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:24 pm to
The freeze line is pretty much right where the 12z NAM said it was going to be. That's using the SFC Temp model and current, real time OBS from multiple locations to track it.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50724 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:26 pm to
I’d say significant enough for road closures and maybe a couple power outages.
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25907 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:26 pm to
Yeah our school here in Pearl River county just decided that it won’t get cold enough to cause problems tomorrow so school isn’t cancelled. Guess they are missing the fact that the cold is over performing by 3-5 degrees I suspect many will be unpleasantly surprised tomorrow. Even local mets starting to change their tune on social media
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50724 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:29 pm to
I believe you have me confused with someone else. Or maybe you have a weird definition of “chaos”.
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
30334 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

im concerned if we do end up with 0.25" of ice, how will all the weakened trees from the hurricane hold up



the weak ones already fell. only the strong survive.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50724 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:35 pm to
I have a weakened tree from the hurricane that is cracked down the middle. Waiting to have it cabled right now. If we get a significant amount of ice, say a tenth of an inch or more, half of it could very well come down.
Posted by bigcatfish
Member since Feb 2009
1283 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:38 pm to
What does this mean?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50724 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:40 pm to
It means that although the temps are going down faster than Kamala Harris in an interview, the freeze line is holding steady as forecast.
Posted by trussthetruzz
Member since Sep 2020
9374 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

Even local mets starting to change their tune on social media


Link?
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:43 pm to
So we getting ice in BR? More than expected or still around .13"?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50724 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:44 pm to
The models have started to hint at ice again, though not a lot, this morning. Makes sense that they would start changing their tune. More moisture is present over Texas than anticipated and it’s heading this way.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50724 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

So we getting ice in BR? More than expected or still around .13"?

Probably and probably not more than expected. A tenth of an inch seems reasonable.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75112 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

What does this mean?

Temps are dropping more or less North to South. The line where the temps are currently at or below freezing is pretty much right where the NAM model forecast it to be in its most recent run.
This post was edited on 1/20/22 at 12:48 pm
Posted by trussthetruzz
Member since Sep 2020
9374 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:49 pm to
I believe you, just haven’t seen any local mets say the same. They have been consistent the past two days saying very little ice if any
Posted by La Place Mike
West Florida Republic
Member since Jan 2004
31390 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

The line where the temps are currently at or below freezing is pretty much right where the NAM model forecast it to be in its most recent run.


and where would that be?
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