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re: Shocker: study suggests insurance companies are breaking it off in our butts

Posted on 5/2/26 at 9:45 am to
Posted by SidewalkTiger
Member since Dec 2019
72471 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 9:45 am to
quote:

It’s not a business just like any other. It is the only industry exempt from the interstate commerce clause of the United States constitution. Which helps drive these insane margins via collusive practice and antitrust behavior.

In 2024 and 2025, P&C insurers have outperformed the broader S&P 500 in stock returns (28% vs 20%) because high interest rates allow them to earn more on their massive cash reserves (surplus) while simultaneously raising customer premiums.



If there's so much margin, why don't you create an insurance company and undercut everyone else?

Why is no one else doing this? It's how a free market is supposed to work...


Posted by DCtiger1
Member since Jul 2009
11862 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 10:28 am to
quote:

Which helps drive these insane margins via collusive practice and antitrust behavior.


He's probably going to say barrier to entry is too high due to the above. I think it's hilarious he thinks the top companies collude on rate and claims activity. Completely out of touch with reality
Posted by The Third Leg
Idiot Out Wandering Around
Member since May 2014
12706 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 10:35 am to
quote:

So you'd rather your insurance company go out of business after paying out claims?

Dumb hyperbole
quote:

If the insurance company is in the red one year, they do their best to get out of the red for the following year (sometimes it takes 2 or 3 years depending upon the state DOI).

As a business, their EBITDA has been in the red once over the last 40+ years.

quote:

Are you a socialist?

Are you a retard? Because you’re missing the entire argument that was established in my very first response. This is an industry granted exemptions from interstate commerce clauses. It is the only one. They’re free to operate in ways that are illegal for everyone else in the pursuit of their profits. They can collude like drug cartels and chop up territories to fix prices, and they do.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26997 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 10:36 am to
quote:

I think it's hilarious he thinks the top companies collude on rate and claims activity.


There is so much secrecy and animosity between companies.

Progressive is killing it.
And companies are struggling to find a way to compete other than traditional tactics (teaser rate for market share and rate increases to mitigate a year or two or five of non-profitability).

I have no clue why progressive is so good. But I do know this.
They virtually only focus on auto and toys. They outsource home insurance as much as possible.

It is just something to think about for those who think insurance companies can so easily pull profits.

Home insurance is damn hard.
And most of the companies in the top 10 are scrambling to find the secret sauce on auto. 2025 and 2026 are looking more favorable. But that may not be underwriting success as much as a drive over the prior 4 years to increase rates and level set premiums. The post-covid rate give backs.
Georgia was extremely restrictive in underwriting for 2024 and 2025, and we are just now coming out on the other end.
This post was edited on 5/2/26 at 10:37 am
Posted by The Third Leg
Idiot Out Wandering Around
Member since May 2014
12706 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 10:39 am to
quote:

He's probably going to say barrier to entry is too high due to the above. I think it's hilarious he thinks the top companies collude on rate and claims activity. Completely out of touch with reality

lol. They absolutely do. It’s not even hidden. It is completely legal for them from a federal standpoint and state regulators are comically flaccid against it.
Posted by The Third Leg
Idiot Out Wandering Around
Member since May 2014
12706 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 10:44 am to
quote:

If there's so much margin, why don't you create an insurance company and undercut everyone else? Why is no one else doing this? It's how a free market is supposed to work...

People with lots of capital do this. And the industry consolidates just like every other.

This is like asking why someone doesn’t start a bank.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26997 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 10:46 am to
quote:

Are you a retard?


You are if you dont follow up with your "record high profit" argument with aim directly at every other aspect of life. Especially government.

Our county sets mileage rates for property taxes. Most of the tax is set for the county school system.
The county tax assessors office takes 2% off the county tax revenue to operate her office.

We have one of the fastest growing counties in the country. Plenty of student growth and demand upon the school resources.
But the tax assessor grabs "record profits" with the same number of employees doing the work.

Not a damn socialist gives a shite about the record profits of an organization that didn't grow one bit in terms of personnel other than to give out raises.

Sales taxes hit record profits.
Income taxes hit record profits.
All of it is based on margins at rising levels of growth.
The government isn't doing anything better. Just reaping the growth with record profits. But not a peep from the socialists.

Learn what a margin is and get off your high horse.
Margins rule the world. Even for socialists and communists.

Secondly, if you trust the federal government more than your state government then you should really consider moving.

I would 1000 times demand more local control than federal control.
My vote means more.
My politicians are more accountable and easier to eliminate.

You have a paranoia (it is irrational) of insurance companies and state legislation.

Self insure. Please.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26997 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 10:48 am to
quote:

People with lots of capital do this. And the industry consolidates just like every other.

This is like asking why someone doesn’t start a bank.


How many insurance companies should there be?
What is the correct number?

How many banks?

What does "consolidation" of insurance companies mean to you?
Posted by The Third Leg
Idiot Out Wandering Around
Member since May 2014
12706 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 10:52 am to
It’s not a paranoia, moron. It is reality. The numbers are proof. It is the most consistently profitable industry outside of public utilities in my life. They have a damn near flawless record of never losing and frick people over constantly, while being completely unchecked by the federal government. None of this is paranoia, it is reality.
Posted by DCtiger1
Member since Jul 2009
11862 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 10:53 am to
quote:

They absolutely do. It’s not even hidden


Okay so show your evidence that Progressive, State Farm and Geico collude on Home and Auto insurance.

Should be very easy from your perspective

quote:

hey have a damn near flawless record of never losing



lord have mercy
This post was edited on 5/2/26 at 10:55 am
Posted by The Third Leg
Idiot Out Wandering Around
Member since May 2014
12706 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 10:55 am to
quote:

How many insurance companies should there be? What is the correct number? How many banks? What does "consolidation" of insurance companies mean to you?

Did I make an argument that there aren’t enough? I said people start them, and the industry consolidates. The number of insurers is relatively flat over time, they get bought and sold and started, just like every other industry. There are plenty of insurers out there to service the market. Nobody engaging in this industry is an historic loser unless there mismanaging institutional investments with a risky portfolio. They don’t lose. They’re playing a rigged game.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26997 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 10:56 am to
quote:


lol. They absolutely do. It’s not even hidden. It is completely legal for them from a federal standpoint and state regulators are comically flaccid against it.


Evidence?

Collusion is illegal. Especially at the federal level for insurance companies. You are kind of a moron for stating the opposite.

And insurance companies hate the department of insurance.
I dont know how you define flaccid.

Posted by The Third Leg
Idiot Out Wandering Around
Member since May 2014
12706 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 10:56 am to
Over the last 40 years, you can’t find an industry outside of utilities that has a more consistent track record of not losing than insurance. 2001 is the only year that P&C insurers logged a net loss as an industry.
Posted by DCtiger1
Member since Jul 2009
11862 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 11:05 am to
If collusion existed, you'd be able to point to the each individual company not losing their arse vs continuing to use industry averages.

Or are you suggesting they take turns willingly losing their asses as to not draw suspicion
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26997 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 11:07 am to
quote:

It is the most consistently profitable industry outside of public utilities in my life.


AI search says it is the 19th most consistently profitable industry.

As I figured, you've got your arse all itchy about P&C for some reason.
quote:

They have a damn near flawless record of never losing

No words. Honestly.
quote:

while being completely unchecked by the federal government.

Well. They are subject to federal laws. Collusion. Monopoly. Labor. SEC. FTC. But you do you.
Rates are filed and approved by the state.
What other industries need permission from the state government to set their prices?
quote:

it is reality


Insurance companies don't lose.
I agree. But you are completely wrong in how they get there.

Every claim is paid by policyholder premiums. Insurance companies lose money all of the time. But Insurance companies increase their rates to offset prior losses and to anticipate future claims.
The more you use your insurance claims, the more pressure you place on increased premiums.

So you are correct. Insurance companies will do what companies do (stay in business). They will charge rates that reflect claims activity within the state. And when they are wrong, they will adjust hard to be right next year.
Posted by DCtiger1
Member since Jul 2009
11862 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 11:09 am to
Co-mingling data from a stock company that must price at a profit with a mutual company that prices at a loss is an interesting strategy.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26997 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 11:11 am to
quote:

Nobody engaging in this industry is an historic loser unless there mismanaging institutional investments with a risky portfolio


Lol

No one is a historic loser because insurance companies file rate changes annually.
You obviously can't wrap your head around cause and effect.
You think there is some magic where there isnt.

Insurance companies do not have control over investment income. Markets determine that. And insurance companies do not have enough reserves to assume risk. These are pension level investments.
Posted by The Third Leg
Idiot Out Wandering Around
Member since May 2014
12706 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 11:16 am to
The exemptions they’re granted by their exclusions from the commerce clause make it legal for them to pool data in matters of risk and pricing. An activity that is illegal for all other industries. It is regulated only at the state level.

In California: Homeowners in high wildfire risk areas, including parts of Northern and Southern California, allege that insurers systematically withdrew from local markets. Instead of competing fairly, companies allegedly communicated directly or through shared industry platforms to limit consumer choices and inflate premiums.

The lawsuits argue that insurance collusion allowed companies to avoid market competition and artificially raise prices, violating California’s strict consumer protection laws.

Key Allegations Include:

Coordinated Non-Renewals: Multiple insurers canceled policies in the same neighborhoods around the same time, leaving homeowners few alternatives.

Artificial Premium Inflation: Companies allegedly used shared risk models to justify raising premiums across the board.

Steering Toward Limited Options: Insurers pushed homeowners into costly surplus lines insurance, offering less protection.

"Tacit" Collusion via Shared Risk Models: Companies may use shared or similar risk modeling tools to justify uniform, high-rate increases across a region, reducing competition on price.Coordination on Claims Payouts: Insurers in specific regions may collude with service providers, such as auto repair shops, to underpay claims or use standardized, low-ball repair estimates.

Oklahoma - State Farm currently being sued and backed by the attorney general:

In 2020, a mysterious meeting in a State Farm high-rise in Illinois cooked up a pernicious scheme, the petitions said. A Wind Hail Model Enhancement Team — a star chamber, one petition called it — was formed to oversee a practice of pre-denying claims of hail damage. Adjustors were trained to refuse total roof replacements, the petitions said, and State Farm colluded with the global consulting company Accenture and Haag Engineering, a firm that provides forensic damage assessment, to distort the definition of hail and disguise policy terms.

The goal was to reduce hail claim costs by 50%, the petitions said. The initiative was rolled out in June 2020 in Dallas County, Texas, the petitions said, and was quickly extended to three other hail states, including Oklahoma. Within six months, the program was expanded to the rest of the country.

In open court on Nov. 7, Reggie Whitten and Mike Burrage put it simply.

“You got a scheme when you are going to reduce the claim before it even happens, and make billions,” Burrage said.

“We have people all over the state who don’t know why they are being cheated,” Whitten said. “They cheated hundreds of millions in Oklahoma between 2020 and 2023, and billions more in the United States.”

Leffel (State Farm Attorney) did not deny the special State Farm meeting or the pilot program in Texas. Rather, he objected to how those events were characterized.

“We heard all these adjectives: cheating, fraud, and on and on,” Leffel said. “But adjectives are not evidence.”

Leffel described the meeting as a group of people gathering to decide whether to adopt a new feature on claims adjustment.


Oklahoma Attorney General Intervention: The Oklahoma Attorney General is currently attempting to intervene in these cases (specifically Hursh v. State Farm), characterizing the company's actions as a pattern of racketeering.

Posted by The Third Leg
Idiot Out Wandering Around
Member since May 2014
12706 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 11:18 am to
quote:

No one is a historic loser because insurance companies file rate changes annually.

I’m not saying historic winners, I’m saying every fricking year, except 1 (2001) they’ve never failed to be profitable as an industry. It isn’t magic, it’s math, and ethics.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26997 posts
Posted on 5/2/26 at 11:22 am to
quote:


I’m not saying historic winners, I’m saying every fricking year, except 1 (2001) they’ve never failed to be profitable as an industry. It isn’t magic, it’s math, and ethics.



And yet they are the 19th most reliably profitable industry.

And I agree with the math.
My company loses money in 2024.
I raise rates in that state for 2025. Worst case scenario (unfriendly DOI), I may not hit profitability with filed rate changes until 2026.

If the DOI is extremely unfavorable, I retire the insurance product and file a new one with the department of insurance not dependent upon rate increases for base level rates of newly written customers.
The prior customer base is grandfathered on an unprofitable product, but I have stopped the bleeding with newly written business.
This post was edited on 5/2/26 at 11:23 am
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