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re: Severe Weather Thread: 4/17 --Extra Bonus Easter Edition-- North LA and Northshore
Posted on 4/16/22 at 11:24 pm to razorbackfan4life
Posted on 4/16/22 at 11:24 pm to razorbackfan4life
quote:
I've always been jealous of the tools local TV mets have.
No reason to be jealous of C band radar
1
Posted on 4/17/22 at 7:23 am to The Boat
Tornado or no?
quote:
This is video from a friend's security camera looking toward Friday night's severe storm from Crystal Cove. This was the start of the storm, which became even stronger as it moved southeast. I have TWO thoughts here. FIRST, I would not be shocked if this does not eventually get confirmed as a tornado. BUT, if it does not, I 100% support anyone that legitimately thought this WAS a tornado and I would have still been in wall-to-wall coverage for this storm for the hail and for what I see in this video. This is 8 minutes of video. I'll post a timelapse of the video in the comments.
Posted on 4/17/22 at 11:32 am to pioneerbasketball
Oh and pioneer, I think that is a tornado. Dust getting blown around at the surface before the funnel condenses.
Posted on 4/17/22 at 11:38 am to Cosmo
quote:
Spring weather gonna spring weather
Most years our area only gets one or two of these big events. There have already been three, four if you count the one in December
Posted on 4/17/22 at 12:18 pm to Jim Rockford
It definitely seems likes it's been busier than usu this year. Mobile area has had at least an enhanced risk once a week since the beginning of march. Three days this week we've had a chance of severe weather. I'm ready for this crap to be over.
Posted on 4/17/22 at 12:22 pm to Easye921
quote:
It definitely seems likes it's been busier than usu this year. Mobile area has had at least an enhanced risk once a week since the beginning of march. Three days this week we've had a chance of severe weather. I'm ready for this crap to be over.
Welcome to every year for us North AL folks.
Posted on 4/17/22 at 12:23 pm to Easye921
La Ninas can actually tend toward having more severe threats. I think that is part of the story this year.
Working on a quick blog for the afternoon threat, putting together some stuff ive been reading about connecting weak low level shear and high upper shear to hail.
Working on a quick blog for the afternoon threat, putting together some stuff ive been reading about connecting weak low level shear and high upper shear to hail.
This post was edited on 4/17/22 at 12:25 pm
Posted on 4/17/22 at 12:25 pm to Duke
NE TX cell already with the golf ball hail.
Posted on 4/17/22 at 12:27 pm to Duke
quote:
Working on a quick blog for the afternoon threat, putting together some stuff ive been reading about connecting weak low level shear and high upper shear to hail.
All I know is the threat for large hail diminished for us the other night with a much higher freezing level. But....those storms still had a bunch of hail aloft, and that really put on a light show.
Posted on 4/17/22 at 12:28 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
All I know is the threat for large hail diminished for us the other night with a much higher freezing level.
That is part of the puzzle too. Giving it more time to melt. Its a little higher than idea for bigass hail today but close enough where the SPC upgrade makes sense.
Posted on 4/17/22 at 12:39 pm to Duke
Whelp, I started wondering if Arkansas could have broken the hail stone record Friday night. That's doubtful....their state record is 5.00". They had a close one back in 2019 that was 4.6".
This post was edited on 4/17/22 at 12:42 pm
Posted on 4/17/22 at 1:03 pm to LegendInMyMind
Some blogging on the threat today
Also, I try to keep the severe weather contained to one thread and people keep bitching. 
quote:
Storms should fire in northern Louisiana this afternoon and present a threat of large hail. These storms will eventually cluster up and start pushing south toward the warmth near the coast as the cold outflow pushes into that warm air, lifts it up and continues the storm producing process. The greatest threat is large hail, with straightline winds secondary, and a small risk of tornadoes. The risk is going to be greatest in northern Louisiana and into southern Mississippi and eventually down toward I12. The risk will also shift east as the evening progresses toward southern Alabama. New Orleans is in the margins as the timing of storms trying to cross the Lake will be when the best dynamics shift toward Alabama.
Just be weather aware this afternoon, and have a happy Easter (hopefully without hail coming to sour the day).
Also, I try to keep the severe weather contained to one thread and people keep bitching.
Posted on 4/17/22 at 1:10 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Whelp, I started wondering if Arkansas could have broken the hail stone record Friday night.
quote:I'm in my mid 40s, but don't believe I've ever heard the term "ice loafs" at any point thus far.
Reed Timmer
@ReedTimmerAccu
My car is going to come apart today. Absolute gorilla ice loafs falling from the sky.
Posted on 4/17/22 at 1:10 pm to Duke
quote:
people keep bitching.
That's what makes the world go 'round, baw.
Posted on 4/17/22 at 1:14 pm to Taxing Authority
quote:
I'm in my mid 40s, but don't believe I've ever heard the term "ice loafs" at any point thus far.
Hell it's a new one for me too, and weather is what I do.
Posted on 4/17/22 at 1:15 pm to Duke
Let's not forget that Reed almost single-handedly got the NWS to use "gorilla hail" in a discussion.
Posted on 4/17/22 at 1:21 pm to Duke
Stolen from Twitter:
2011 can frick off and keep fricking off. I bet at least half of those came in April with half of the April ones coming between April 26-28.
quote:
Rough breakdown of tornado emergencies since 1999 based on collection from Wikipedia:
No tornado confirmed: 14
E/F0: 14
E/F1: 33
E/F2: 47
E/F3: 59
E/F4: 28
E/F5: 6
quote:
Based off IEM Database (TOR Emergencies per year):
1999: 1
2000: 0
2001: 0
2002: 6
2003: 14
2004: 8
2005: 3
2006: 11
2007: 4
2008: 12
2009: 7
2010: 15
2011: 60
2012: 28
2013: 10
2014: 20
2015: 5
2016: 8
2017: 8
2018: 3
2019: 11
2020: 11
2021: 20
2022: 5
2011 can frick off and keep fricking off. I bet at least half of those came in April with half of the April ones coming between April 26-28.
Posted on 4/17/22 at 1:31 pm to LegendInMyMind
2011 was a once every 40 years type of event
Posted on 4/17/22 at 1:36 pm to deltaland
quote:
2011 was a once every 40 years type of event
The whole year?
Just kidding. April 2011 may be the most active month for severe weather in recorded history. Even if you take out April 26-27, I bet it would still rank fairly high.
Posted on 4/17/22 at 1:52 pm to Duke
I just realized that Radar Omega has a METARS overlay. That's handy.
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